🏀 Spurs vs. Timberwolves Player Props Today: NBA Playoff Picks & Best Bets for Game 6
The San Antonio Spurs aim to advance to their first Western Conference finals since 2017 when they take on the Timberwolves in Minnesota on Friday night.
My Spurs vs. Timberwolves player props today for Game 6 are headlined by breakout rookie guard Dylan Harper. Julius Randle and De'Aaron Fox are also featured in my NBA picks and best bets for Friday. Tipoff is at 9:30 p.m. ET (Prime Video) from Target Center in Minneapolis, with the Spurs priced as a 4.5-point betting favorite to win and close out the series.
🏀 Best Spurs vs. Timberwolves player props today: NBA playoff picks for Game 6
See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds.
| 💰 Pick | 💡 Best odds | ⚖️ Bet size | 🧠 Why I'm making this bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Harper Over 15.5 points + rebounds | +100 via bet365 | 1u -> 1u | Averaging 21 points + rebounds in this series. |
| Julius Randle Under 16.5 points | -110 via BetMGM | 0.5u -> 0.46u | Struggling against Spurs' defense. |
| De'Aaron Fox Under 5.5 assists | -110 via bet365 | 0.5u -> 0.46u | Finished Under 5.5 assists in six of eight games vs. Timberwolves. |
Total wagered: 2 units | Max profit: 1.92 units
💰 Best Spurs vs. Timberwolves prop bet
Dylan Harper Over 15.5 points + rebounds (+100)
Dylan Harper has been a consistent force for the Spurs in this series. The rookie guard is averaging 21 points + rebounds against the Timberwolves while shooting 54% from the field.
Harper's minutes have been steady, and he's only gone Under this combo total once in the second round. It's my favorite prop bet for Game 6, which I'm backing at bet365's +100 odds. There's value paying up to -112 at your sportsbook of choice.
🔥 More Spurs vs. Timberwolves prop picks
Julius Randle Under 16.5 points (-110)
The Spurs are an awful matchup for Julius Randle, who can't have the same impact in the lane that he usually does going up against the league's premier shot-blocker in Victor Wembanyama. Randle is shooting wildly inefficiently against San Antonio (36.6%) and has gone Under this scoring total in three of the last four games.
The Timberwolves can't rely on Randle in a win-or-go-home game, which means the ball should be squarely in Anthony Edwards' hands on most possessions.
While the market is split on a 16.5 or 15.5 scoring total for Randle, I prefer the safety net of the higher option. BetMGM offers the best value on that number at -110 odds.
De'Aaron Fox Under 5.5 assists (-110)
De'Aaron Fox remains a significant part of San Antonio's attack, but this line is too high for him. The Spurs guard hasn't cleared this assist total since Game 1 of this series.
While he's gotten close a couple of times during that stretch, he's only averaging 4.2 assists per game in the playoffs against the Timberwolves. If you include the regular season, he's gone Under 5.5 assists in six of eight games (75%) versus Minnesota. I'm placing my wager at bet365's -110 odds, the top value among the best sports betting sites.
🚀 Spurs vs. Timberwolves same-game parlay
I'm backing a 2-leg parlay built around my prediction that another strong performance from Dylan Harper will help lead the Spurs to victory in Game 6 to clinch the series for San Antonio. I'm placing my wager at bet365's +205 odds, the top value among the best sports betting apps.
💵 Spurs vs. Timberwolves SGP picks
- Spurs ML (-190)
- Dylan Harper Over 15.5 points + rebounds (+100)
Best odds: +205 via bet365 (0.2u -> 0.41u)
💵 My betting record for NBA picks
All NBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since April 18.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-29 | +1.02 units ✅ | 3.83% ✅ |
| Player props | 18-18 | +1.2 units ✅ | 5.07% ✅ |
| Parlays | 3-11 | -0.18 units ❌ | -6% ❌ |
💡 How I'm betting Spurs vs. Timberwolves
Follow all of our NBA analysis and expert predictions this season.
We're deep enough into the second round that I'm confident in basing my picks on statistical evidence from this series alone. Spurs vs. Timberwolves is well-established at this point, especially Dylan Harper's breakout. That's why the rookie guard going Over his points + rebounds total is my favorite player prop for Game 6 and receiving a full-unit wager from me. Bankroll management is crucial in sports betting, so be smart with yours.
🚑 Spurs vs. Timberwolves injuries
📺 How to watch Spurs vs. Timberwolves
- Date: Friday, May 15
- Tipoff: 9:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Target Center (Minneapolis)
- Streaming: Prime Video
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