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Kings vs. Thunder NBA Player Props, Odds: Picks & Predictions for Super Bowl Sunday

Rob Paul

Last Updated: February 11, 2024 10:55 AM EST • 4 min 25 sec read.

Sacramento and Oklahoma City are jockeying for position in the Western Conference ahead of the Super Bowl, and we’re offering our favorite Kings vs. Thunder NBA player props based on the best NBA odds.

While the Super Bowl commands the spotlight on Sunday, the matchup between the Sacramento Kings and the Oklahoma City Thunder is the NBA's premier event, featuring two significant contenders in the Western Conference. Scheduled for 3 p.m. ET, this game promises to be an electrifying showdown, showcasing the abundance of young talent on both teams.  

As Oklahoma City aims to boost its prospects in the NBA Finals odds, the Thunder, who are coming off consecutive losses, rely on emerging talents like Chet Holmgren and Jalen Williams to step up against a spirited Kings squad. The outcome of this high-octane offensive battle hinges not only on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's performance but also on the collective effort surrounding him.  

If Sacramento wants to rise in the West, this is a prove-it type game as Mike Brown’s team looks for its eighth win in its last 11 games. To do that, De’Aaron Fox will need to show up in a big way in a game our best sports betting sites have the Thunder favored by 3.5 points at the Paycom Center. Fox has a chance to put the NBA on notice for his All-Star snub in a duel against a fellow Kentucky alum in SGA. 

Here are our best Kings vs. Thunder NBA player props and NBA picks (odds via our best NBA betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Kings vs. Thunder NBA player props: Sunday

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Kings vs. Thunder player props

De’Aaron Fox Over 32.5 points, assists, and rebounds (-111 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Despite averaging a career-high 26.6 points per game this season, De’Aaron Fox wasn’t voted to the All-Star team after making his first appearance at the event last season.

While he may not be getting the individual accolades Sacramento Kings fans think he deserves, the former fifth-overall pick has continued to be the heart and soul of a new era in Sacramento, an era that has the team set to make back-to-back playoff appearances for the first time since 2004-05 and 2005-06.

Fox has the Kings sitting fifth in the West and is going to need to take advantage of an Oklahoma City Thunder defense that’s giving up 113.7 points per game this season. With a usage rate (29.9%) that ranks eighth among players who have played at least 40 games, Fox has an opportunity to boost his numbers against the Thunder. Oklahoma City is allowing an average of 23.4 points, 8.6 assists, and 6.4 rebounds to opposing point guards this season, and Fox has been making the most of his shots as he averages a career-high in both 3-point percentage (37.9%) and attempts per game (7.7).

Along with his 26.6 points per game this season, Fox is averaging 5.4 assists, and four rebounds and has had a combined 33 points, assists, and rebounds 29 times in 45 games this season.

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Chet Holmgren Over 2.5 blocks (+145 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐

It’s a two-man race by the NBA Rookie of the Year odds and Victor Wembanyama has finally overtaken Holmgren as the leader in the clubhouse at our best sports betting sites. While Holmgren may no longer be the favorite for the award, he’s still one of the most tantalizing young talents in the NBA with his ability to stretch the floor on offense and protect the rim on defense.

Holmgren is the only player in the NBA shooting over 39% from three and averaging at least two blocks per game, and his 2.6 blocks per game rank fourth in the league this season. Holmgren’s 110.1 defensive rating puts him 21st in the league among players who have played at least 40 games and he’s set up well to have a block party in Sacramento on Sunday. While the Kings get blocked an average of only 4.7 times per game, the Thunder are first in the league with 6.6 blocks per game, thanks to Holmgren.

Centers are averaging 1.97 blocks per game against the Kings this season and the former Gonzaga star has had 23 games of at least three blocks this season, including three the last time these two teams played.

Jalen Williams Over 1.5 threes made (-110 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐

After making the All-Rookie team last season and finishing second in the Rookie of the Year race, Jalen Williams has managed to get even better in his second season. The 12th overall pick in last year’s draft is second on the Thunder with 18.6 points per game and second on the team in 3-point percentage among players taking at least one three per game.

His ability to hit shots from behind the arc at a high clip should come in handy against a Kings team that hasn’t been able to stop teams from deep this season. The Kings are allowing teams to connect on 39.6% of their threes this season, last in the NBA, and the lackluster perimeter defense has been a killer for Sacramento.

With Williams shooting 45% from three and the Kings allowing power forwards to hit an average of 2.63 threes per game, the former Santa Clara star should get more than a few great looks. He’s hit at least two threes in 19 of 46 games this season.

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Kings-Thunder NBA player props made Sunday at 7:10 a.m. ET.

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Written By:
Rob Paul
Rob is a Publishing Editor at Sportsbook Review. He’s been with the team since early 2024, with this being his first full-time role in the sports betting industry. Before joining SportsbookReview.com, he contributed to various sports outlets, including FanSided and Pro Football Network. During that period, he spent five years working full-time as a local community journalist, after attending Durham College for journalism and Wilfrid Laurier University for history. He previously hosted an NFL draft and college football-focused podcast where he had the opportunity to interact with future NFL players such as Maxx Crosby and Quinn Meinerz. Rob has spent multiple years working as a freelance podcast producer for numerous sports-related podcasts while making guest appearances on several college football shows. He’s also made guest appearances on SportsTalk Mississippi on several occasions to talk all things NFL draft. Rob values the way sports betting acts as a catalyst for telling stories and growing interest in certain sports, particularly FCS football, WNBA, and mid-major college basketball. He’s always been drawn to the more obscure teams and conferences in major college sports, but most of all, Rob loves using stats to find the best player props to back.