🏀 NBA Player Props Today: NBA Playoffs Best Bets & Picks for Wednesday, May 6
📡 SBR Edge: Wemby Goes Low vs. Gobert
My NBA player props today feature Quentin Grimes Under 6.5 points (-125), as he has scored five or fewer in three straight games. My second NBA best bet is Victor Wembanyama Under 26.5 points (-108). He has recorded a median of just 20 points when facing Rudy Gobert. I wrap up my top picks with OG Anunoby Over 17.5 points (-105), as he has scored 18+ points in four of his last five games.
🏀 Best NBA player props today: May 6
See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds.
| 💰 Pick | 💡 Best odds | ⚖️ Bet size | 🧠 Why I'm making this bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Quentin Grimes Under 6.5 points | -125 via BetMGM | 1.25u -> 1u | Has scored 5 or fewer points in 3 straight games |
| Victor Wembanyama Under 26.5 points | -108 via DraftKings | 1.08u -> 1u | Has posted a median of 20 points in games vs. Gobert |
| OG Anunoby Over 17.5 points | -105 via BetMGM | 1.05u -> 1u | Has scored 18+ points in 4 of his last 5 games |
Total wagered: 3.38 units | Max profit: 3 units
💰 Best NBA player prop bet today
Follow all of our NBA analysis and expert predictions this season.
Quentin Grimes Under 6.5 points (-125) at Knicks
I bet the Under on Grimes’ points in Game 1, and the bet went according to plan. He has scored five or fewer points in each of his last three games and has attempted just four field goals in each of his last two.
Grimes just doesn’t appear to be part of Nick Nurse’s offensive plan moving forward, especially with Paul George and VJ Edgecombe each attempting 10 or more shots in three straight games. BetMGM lists Grimes Under 6.5 points at -125, but this bet is good up to -145 on the best sports betting sites.
🔥 More NBA player prop picks
The Spurs have the second-shortest odds to win the NBA Finals.
Victor Wembanyama Under 26.5 points (-108) vs. Timberwolves
I was shocked to see Wembanyama’s points total this high when I opened my odds screen. He hasn’t been an elite scorer against Gobert, as he has posted a median of just 20 points in nine career games against the four-time Defensive Player of the Year.
He averaged just 21 PPG in the first round, so it’s unreasonable to set his line at 26.5 in Game 2 when he’s actually in a tougher matchup this time around. Wembanyama Under 26.5 points is -108 at DraftKings, but I would play this up to -125 on the best NBA betting sites.
OG Anunoby Over 17.5 points (-105) vs. 76ers
I’m going to continue playing Anunoby’s Overs until either (a) the line gets too high or (b) Mike Brown drastically changes the offense. Anunoby has scored 18 or more points in four of the Knicks’ last five games - and the one outlier was a 17-point performance.
He has become the dependable second option the Knicks have needed in the playoffs and is averaging 21 PPG, ahead of Karl-Anthony Towns (18.4 PPG). His Over 17.5 points is -105 at BetMGM, but I'd be comfortable playing this up to -125 on the best sports betting apps.
🚀 Best NBA parlay picks today
One of the biggest threats to Wembanyama going Under on his points would be the Timberwolves keeping the game close and Wembanyama being forced to provide offense late in the fourth quarter. If the Spurs cover -10, there is a solid chance that Wembanyama may not be needed late in a blowout win. Bet365 offers this SGP at +290, while FanDuel lists it at +234.
💵 Best NBA parlay bet today
- Spurs -10
- Victor Wembanyama Under 26.5 points
Best odds: +290 via bet365 (0.34u -> 1u)
💵 My betting record for NBA picks
All NBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since Feb. 10.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 167-182-4 | -8.96 units ❌ | -2.5% ❌ |
| Player props | 146-127-4 | -9.13 units ❌ | -2.8% ❌ |
| Parlays | 17-50 | +1.06 units ✅ | 5.2% ✅ |
| Spreads | 2-3 | -0.8 units ❌ | -13.1% ❌ |
| Totals | 2-2 | -0.09 units ❌ | -4.1% ❌ |
My betting record in the NBA postseason
Tracked since April 14.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 59-56 | +8.08 units ✅ | 9.2% ✅ |
| Player props | 47-28 | +10.4 units ✅ | 14.5% ✅ |
| Parlays | 9-23 | +0.07 units ✅ | 0.7% ✅ |
| Spreads | 1-3 | -2.3 units ❌ | -52.5% ❌ |
| Totals | 2-2 | -0.09 units ❌ | -4.1% ❌ |
💡 How I'm betting NBA player props today
We’re handicapping Game 2s in the conference semifinals, which means what’s most important is how the players were used in their Game 1s. The next most important data we’re using is how players performed at the end of the first round. The beginning of the first round isn’t as relevant because coaches’ game plans change throughout a series, which is likely to happen when these matchups shift locations for Game 3.
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