🏀 Timberwolves vs. Spurs Player Props Today: NBA Playoffs Best Bets for Game 2
📡 SBR Edge: Fade Wemby and Gobert
My Timberwolves vs. Spurs player props for Game 2 today feature Victor Wembanyama Under 26.5 points (-108). He has posted a median of just 20 points in his career matchups against Rudy Gobert. My second NBA best bet is Gobert Under 7.5 points (+100), as he has attempted seven or fewer shots in five of the Timberwolves' last six games.
🏀 Best Timberwolves vs. Spurs player props: NBA Playoffs Game 2
See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds for the playoffs.
| 💰 Pick | 💡 Best odds | ⚖️ Bet size | 🧠 Why I'm making this bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Wembanyama Under 26.5 points | -108 via DraftKings | 1.08u -> 1u | Has recorded a median of 20 points when facing Gobert |
| Rudy Gobert Under 7.5 points | +100 via BetMGM | 0.5u -> 0.5u | Has attempted 7 or fewer FG in 5 of his last 6 games |
Total wagered: 1.58 units | Max profit: 1.5 units
💰 Best Timberwolves vs. Spurs prop bet
The Spurs have the second-shortest odds to win the NBA Finals.
Victor Wembanyama Under 26.5 points (-108)
I was not expecting Wembanyama's points total to be so high today.
He hasn't been an elite scorer against Gobert - posting a median of just 20 points across nine career matchups against the four-time Defensive Player of the Year. He averaged 21 PPG in the first round against the Trail Blazers, so 26.5 points in Game 2 against a tougher matchup is too high - especially since he scored just 11 points in Game 1.
DraftKings has his Under 26.5 points at -108, but this bet is good up to -125 on the best sports betting sites.
💸 More NBA player props
I feature Victor Wembanyama and OG Anunoby in my NBA player props tonight.
🔥 More Timberwolves vs. Spurs prop picks
Follow all of our NBA analysis and expert predictions this season.
Rudy Gobert Under 7.5 points (+100)
Even though this number has dropped by almost a full point since Monday, I still like Gobert to go Under. He hasn't been involved in the offense lately, even with Anthony Edwards dealing with an injury.
Gobert has attempted seven or fewer field goals in five of his last six games, scoring seven or fewer points four times in that span. Playing against this year's Defensive Player of the Year in Wembanyama also doesn't help his case to go Over. Gobert Under 7.5 is +100 at BetMGM, but I'd play this up to -115 on the best sports betting apps.
🏀 More Timberwolves vs. Spurs predictions
Our LJ Blut backs the Timberwolves to cover with his NBA play of the day.
🚀 Timberwolves vs. Spurs same-game parlay
If the Spurs are covering -10 in the second half, there's a strong chance they will be blowing out the Timberwolves. This would help with our Wembanyama Under 26.5 points bet, as the Spurs will be less likely to play him late in the fourth quarter if they already have a comfortable lead. Bet365 offers this parlay at +290, while FanDuel lists it at +234.
💵 Timberwolves vs. Spurs SGP picks
- Spurs -10
- Victor Wembanyama Under 26.5 points
Best odds: +290 via bet365 (0.34u -> 1u)
💡 More NBA expert picks tonight
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- NBA play of the day: Timberwolves vs. Spurs
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs player props
💵 My betting record for NBA picks
All NBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since Feb. 10.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 167-182-4 | -8.96 units ❌ | -2.5% ❌ |
| Player props | 146-127-4 | -9.13 units ❌ | -2.8% ❌ |
| Parlays | 17-50 | +1.06 units ✅ | 5.2% ✅ |
| Spreads | 2-3 | -0.8 units ❌ | -13.1% ❌ |
| Totals | 2-2 | -0.09 units ❌ | -4.1% ❌ |
My betting record in the NBA postseason
Tracked since April 14.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 59-56 | +8.08 units ✅ | 9.2% ✅ |
| Player props | 47-28 | +10.4 units ✅ | 14.5% ✅ |
| Parlays | 9-23 | +0.07 units ✅ | 0.7% ✅ |
| Spreads | 1-3 | -2.3 units ❌ | -52.5% ❌ |
| Totals | 2-2 | -0.09 units ❌ | -4.1% ❌ |
💡 How I'm betting Timberwolves vs. Spurs: NBA Playoffs Game 2 strategy
The market is going to be more efficient heading into Game 2 than it was in Game 1, as everyone now has a recent data point of what a playoff game between the Timberwolves and Spurs looks like. What has worked well for me in the past when betting Game 2 of a series (conference semifinals or later) is backing trends - you don't want to be contrarian in this spot. We've seen that Wembanyama has been failing to meet the market's expectations on offense, and Gobert is mainly being used for defensive purposes in the playoffs.
🚑 Timberwolves vs. Spurs injuries: Game 2
Injury report last updated at 4:15 p.m. ET.
Timberwolves
- Donte DiVincenzo (Achilles) - out for season
- Anthony Edwards (knee) - questionable
Spurs
- Carter Bryant (foot) - questionable
📺 How to watch Timberwolves vs. Spurs: West semifinals - Game 2
- Date: Wednesday, May 6
- Tipoff: 9:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Frost Bank Center (San Antonio)
- TV: ESPN
- Spread: Spurs -10.5
- Total: 216.5
- Moneyline: Timberwolves +345 | Spurs -395
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