Valkyries vs. Sun Prediction: WNBA Picks for Friday, July 10
The Golden State Valkyries (16-7) carry a six-game win streak into today's road battle with the Connecticut Sun (5-17), with tipoff from Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville, Conn., set for 7:30 p.m. ET (ION).
The Sun also have their own active streak, covering the spread in five straight contests. With Golden State listed as a 6.5-point betting favorite, my Valkyries vs. Sun prediction calls for a more competitive contest in Friday's WNBA picks and best bets.
🏀 Valkyries vs. Sun prediction: WNBA picks
See all of our experts' WNBA picks based on the latest WNBA odds.
| 💰 Pick | ⚖️ Bet size (units) | 🧠 Why I bet this |
|---|---|---|
| Sun +7.5 (-112 via DraftKings) | 1u → 0.89u | The Sun are 7-3 ATS over their last 10 games, covering the spread in five straight. |
| Over 154.5 (-106 via FanDuel) | 0.5u → 0.47u | I project slight value on the Over, as both teams are a combined 23-21 at clearing the total. |
| Leila Lacan Over 4.5 assists (+106 via FanDuel) | 1u → 1.06u | Lacan has cleared this assist line in seven of her 13 games since she joined the team in late May. |
Total wagered: 2.5 units | Max profit: 2.42 units
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🏆 Who will win Valkyries vs. Sun?
I predict the Valkyries will win by five points against the Sun on Friday. Despite my belief that Connecticut is underrated from a betting perspective, I still have more faith in Golden State prevailing on the road. The Valkyries rank second in the WNBA with a +6.5 net rating this year, though that mark drops to +2.1 in their 10 road contests.
Score prediction: Valkyries 80, Sun 75
💰 Valkyries vs. Sun prediction & best bet
Sun +7.5 (-112)
With the spread for this game being as low as 5.5 at Pinnacle, DraftKings offers quite the discount for anyone wanting to take the points with the Sun. I'd back them at +6.5 or better, but the +7.5 is worth a full-unit play.
Connecticut continues to be underrated from a betting perspective, going 9-4 against the spread since Leila Lacan returned to the team in late May. According to Databallr, the Sun's net rating is 8.1 points better with Lacan on the floor.
There is a reason why the Sun look like a much more competitive outfit of late.
🔥 Best Valkyries vs. Sun player prop bet
Leila Lacan Over 4.5 assists (+106)
Like I said, Lacan has been a crucial part of the Sun's recent form. She's made a solid impact on both ends of the floor, which is why I like the idea of backing her in a game where I'm taking the home underdog.
In my opinion, the best angle is Lacan's assist line. She's coming off a game where she dished 15 potential assists against the Minnesota Lynx. She's cleared this assist line in six of her last 10 games, averaging 4.9 dimes on 10.9 potential assists.
I like the idea of getting a plus-money price on this Over. FanDuel offers the best price tag at +106, though it might not last long. DraftKings charges -111 for the same ticket.
🚀 Valkyries vs. Sun same-game parlay
It's clear that I believe the Sun are undervalued, especially when you notice Valkyries wing Gabby Williams is questionable on the injury report. As such, I wouldn't be surprised to see the market move in my favor throughout the day. To maximize the profit, I've put together a +417 SGP at FanDuel that features taking the points with the Sun and backing Lacan's assist line.
💵 Valkyries vs. Sun SGP picks
- Sun +6.5 (-110)
- Leila Lacan Over 4.5 assists (+106)
- Over 154.5 (-106)
Best odds: +417 via FanDuel (0.1u -> 0.41u)
💵 My betting record for WNBA picks
All WNBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since May 9.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 51-65 | +5.22 units ✅ | 6.2% ✅ |
| Player props | 19-13 | +4.36 units ✅ | 13.7% ✅ |
| Parlays | 3-26 | -1.39 units ❌ | -47.8% ❌ |
📊 Live Valkyries vs. Sun odds
📺 How to watch Valkyries vs. Sun
- Date: Friday, July 10
- Tipoff: 7:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Mohegan Sun Arena (Uncasville, Conn.)
- TV: ION
- Streaming: WNBA League Pass
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