Storm vs. Fever Prediction: WNBA Picks for Friday, July 17
My Storm vs. Fever prediction for today backs Indiana in a bounce-back spot against bottom-feeding Seattle, with tipoff from Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis set for 7:30 p.m. ET (ION).
Coming off a 13-point loss to the red-hot Golden State Valkyries, the Fever are an 8.5-point betting favorite against the Storm - and this is a good time to back the most popular team in the WNBA championship odds.
🏀 Storm vs. Fever prediction: WNBA picks
See all of our experts' WNBA picks based on the latest WNBA odds.
| 💰 Pick | ⚖️ Bet size (units) | 🧠 Why I bet this |
|---|---|---|
| Fever -8.5 (-105 via DraftKings) | 0.5u → 0.47u | Indiana has a +7.5 net rating at home this year, which ranks fifth in the league. |
| Storm Under 84.5 points (-115 via Caesars) | 1u → 0.87u | The Storm have finished below this team total in 18 of their 26 games, averaging 80.4 points this season. |
| Caitlin Clark Under 2.5 3-pointers (-143 via DraftKings) | 1u → 0.7u | Caitlin Clark has failed to clear this line in 13 of her 20 games this year. |
Total wagered: 2.5 units | Max profit: 2.04 units
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🏆 Who will win Storm vs. Fever?
I predict the Fever to win by 10 points in Friday's home meeting with the Storm. Indiana is 8-5 at home this year, while Seattle's young roster is a putrid 2-12 on the road. The Fever's home net rating of +7.5 ranks fifth in the league, while the Storm's road net rating of -12.5 ranks 14th. This should be quite the mismatch tonight.
Score prediction: Fever 91, Storm 81
💰 Storm vs. Fever prediction & best bet
Storm Under 84.5 points (-115)
If you are like me, Seattle's team total is the first market I look at in each game. The Storm rank 13th in the league in scoring (80.4 points per game) and offensive rating (100.8) this season.
Seattle has failed to clear a team total of 84.5 points in 18 of its 26 games. Of the eight times that the Storm scored 85-plus points, four of them have been victories.
Seeing as I expect the Fever to cruise tonight, I like the idea of taking the Under on the Storm's team total. I'd play this down to 83.
🔥 Best Storm vs. Fever player prop bet
Caitlin Clark Under 2.5 3-pointers (-143)
Similar to Seattle's team total, I'm always interested in the Under on Caitlin Clark's 3-point line at the right price. This prop is typically overvalued in the market.
Clark has struggled from distance over the past two WNBA seasons. Since the start of the 2025 season, Clark has failed to clear this 3-pointers prop in 22 of her 33 games. This season, Clark is shooting 32% from long range.
This will be Clark's fourth game back from injury. She's hit just one triple in each of her past three outings. I'll continue to back that trend, especially with DraftKings offering a favorable value.
🚀 Storm vs. Fever same-game parlay
DraftKings offers great odds on all three of my Storm vs. Fever predictions, so it makes sense to place this parlay at that shop. In a way, all three legs are counting on a comfortable win for the Fever. Clark and Co. could get some rest in the fourth quarter if Indiana makes quick work of a Seattle team that struggles on the road.
💵 Storm vs. Fever SGP picks
- Fever -8.5 (-105)
- Storm Under 84.5 (-120)
- Caitlin Clark Under 2.5 3-pointers (-145)
Best odds: +315 via DraftKings (0.1u -> 0.31u)
💵 My betting record for WNBA picks
All WNBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since May 9.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 62-80-1 | +6.75 units ✅ | 6.7% ✅ |
| Player props | 22-15 | +5.42 units ✅ | 14.7% ✅ |
| Parlays | 3-32 | -1.99 units ❌ | -56.7% ❌ |
📊 Live Storm vs. Fever odds
📺 How to watch Storm vs. Fever
- Date: Friday, July 17
- Tipoff: 7:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse (Indianapolis)
- TV: ION
- Streaming: WNBA League Pass
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