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Kyle Larson, driver of the #5 Ruby Chevrolet, enters his car as we offer our best AutoTrader EchoPark Automotive 400 picks and predictions for Sunday's NASCAR Cup Series race at Texas Motor Speedway.
Kyle Larson, driver of the #5 Ruby Chevrolet, enters his car for the NASCAR Cup Series Cook Out 400 at Martinsville Speedway on April 07, 2024 in Martinsville, Virginia. Photo by James Gilbert/Getty Images via AFP.

On Sunday, Kyle Larson is the favorite to grab his second win of 2024, but we find our best AutoTrader EchoPark Automotive 400 picks further down the board, based on the NASCAR odds from our best sports betting sites for Texas Motor Speedway.

Kyle Larson is the favorite at most of our best sportsbooks to win Sunday's AutoTrader EchoPark Automotive 400 at Texas Motor Speedway after a month of racing on short tracks and road courses. The race will start at 3:30 p.m. ET and can be watched on FS1.

Larson won the last race at an intermediate oval in early March, cruising to an easy victory at Las Vegas Motor Speedway for his first (and only) win of the season. He enters this weekend with among the favorites by the latest NASCAR Cup Series championship odds and could seize the top spot with another checkered flag after capturing the pole for Sunday's race.

He'll be tested by William Byron, who won last week at Martinsville and is the defending winner on this 1.5-mile track. Previous winners Denny Hamlin and Tyler Reddick are the only other drivers with consensus odds shorter than 10/1 to win the ninth race of the NASCAR season.

Here are our AutoTrader EchoPark Automotive 400 picks for Sunday's race based on the NASCAR odds for Texas Motor Speedway (odds via our best sports betting apps; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

AutoTrader EchoPark Automotive 400 picks

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Odds to win 2024 AutoTrader EchoPark Automotive 400

Odds as of 12:44 p.m. ET.

Kyle Larson+275+320 🔥+310+280 ❄️+333
Tyler Reddick+500 🔥+500+500+460 ❄️+425
William Byron+750 🔥+750+750+650 ❄️+650
Denny Hamlin+900 ❄️+800+900 🔥+800+800
Ty Gibbs+850 ❄️+850 🔥+1000+900+900
Ryan Blaney+1100 ❄️+950+1300 🔥+1200+1000
Martin Truex Jr.+1300 🔥+1200+1000 ❄️+1200+1000
Bubba Wallace+1400+1600 🔥+1400+1200+1200
Christopher Bell+1300+1400 🔥+1300+1500+1200
Ross Chastain+1600 ❄️+2000 🔥+2200+2000+1800

AutoTrader EchoPark Automotive 400 field

Sunday's field features 38 drivers looking to win the first spring race at Texas Motor Speedway since 2019, when Hamlin captured his third and most recent checkered flag at the 1.5-mile oval.

Larson is the clear favorite to secure his first win here since 2021 after dominating the previous race at an intermediate track in early March. He also has the pole position for Sunday's race.

After a string of races on short tracks, prepare for higher speeds and more potential chaos at Texas, which has seen its fair share of race-defining wrecks in recent years. That makes betting on the favorites even riskier, and it could lead to some long-shot value for this loaded field.

AutoTrader EchoPark Automotive 400 expert predictions

Favorite: Kyle Larson (+425 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐

Larson won this race in 2021 and has been dominating at intermediate tracks in recent years, including a clinical win at Las Vegas back in March on a similarly sized oval. He also led 99 laps and won Stage 2 during the last race at Texas Motor Speedway in September before a late accident knocked him back to 31st.

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Larson leads the NASCAR points standings after a runner-up finish last weekend at Martinsville, and he figures to be near the front of the pack for much of Sunday's race. These odds are among the shortest we've seen all season, but for good reason.

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Long shot: Erik Jones (+8500 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

This is absolutely ridiculous value for Jones, who ranks fourth among active drivers in average finish at Texas Motor Speedway (11.75) and 10th in laps led (116) over just 12 races at the intermediate track. He's also coming off back-to-back top-15 finishes during 2024 and placed 14th at Las Vegas, which profiles similarly to Texas.

Even so, the No. 43 is dealing anywhere from +5500 to +8500 across our best live betting sites to win Sunday's race, an event that comes with more potential for chaos than the short tracks we've been enjoying over the last month. We saw that last September, when Jones finished second in Stage 2 before a late wreck knocked him back to 30th.

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Jones has scored four top-five results and seven top-10 finishes at this track, and he's a solid bet to end up in the top 10 on Sunday (+250 via bet365). He's an even better value to win the whole thing at these insanely generous odds.

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Prop: Ryan Blaney top Ford (+130 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

I'm tempted to bet Brad Keselowski to finish in the top 10 (+100 via BetMGM), which he's done in five consecutive races at Texas. But another Ford driver delivering on Sunday at longer odds is even more intriguing.

Nobody has done better in qualifying at Texas than Blaney, who ranks first in average start position (9.93) among active drivers and second all-time. He's led 432 laps in 15 races at the intermediate track, scoring eight top-10s in his last 10 races in Texas and winning the All-Star race in 2022.

A wreck this past September sullied his chances of another top-10 finish. But the 2023 Cup Series champion has logged three top-five results in his last five races on tracks this size, including a third-place finish at Las Vegas in March. I like his chances of pacing a Ford field that doesn't feature most of the top contenders for this race.

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Pick to win: William Byron (+700 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐

If you're looking for the best bang for your buck, I'd recommend betting Ty Gibbs at +2000 via DraftKings, as the youngster's speed should play well at Texas. If you're looking for a winning ticket, though, it's hard to go wrong with Byron at this price.

The Cup Series favorite was the last winner at Texas Motor Speedway, where he's scored three straight top-10 finishes with 103 laps led in that stretch, and he's the only driver with three victories during 2024. He also notched a top 10 at Las Vegas earlier in 2024, leading 15 laps before Larson eventually took hold of the race.

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There's a strong possibility of carnage at this much-maligned track, so my lean is to spread your investment across a handful of drivers. Byron should be among those wagers though, and my money is on the 26-year-old whiz kid scoring his fourth win in nine races during 2024.

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Previous AutoTrader EchoPark Automotive 400 winners

William Byron2023
Tyler Reddick2022
Kyle Larson2021
Kyle Busch2020
Kevin Harvick2019
Kevin Harvick2018
Kevin Harvick2017
Carl Edwards2016
Jimmie Johnson2015
Jimmie Johnson2014

AutoTrader EchoPark Automotive 400 info

  • Date: Sunday, April 14 at 3:30 p.m. ET
  • Track: Texas Motor Speedway, Fort Worth, Texas
  • How to watch: FS1
  • Defending winner: William Byron
  • Favorite: Kyle Larson (+400 via FanDuel)

AutoTrader EchoPark Automotive 400 picks made Friday at 2:30 p.m. ET

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