Orioles vs. Guardians Prediction, Picks & Player Props Today, Aug. 3
The four-game series between two of the American League’s best teams continues as the Cleveland Guardians host the Baltimore Orioles, and we have you covered with our Orioles vs. Guardians player props based on the best sports betting sites.
Cleveland’s five-game winning streak is tied for the longest active streak in the majors, and it has bludgeoned Baltimore pitching through the first two games of this series, outscoring the Orioles 18-7.
That offensive outburst (averaging seven runs per game in the winning streak) is a big reason why we are so high on leadoff hitter Steven Kwan’s player props as one of our three best bets of the day.
Despite losing the series' first two games, the Orioles are -130 moneyline road favorites, with the first pitch from Progressive Field scheduled for 7:15 p.m. ET on Saturday night.
The Orioles and Guardians are among the World Series odds favorites, adding further intrigue to Saturday's tilt.
Orioles vs. Guardians player props
MLB odds via our best MLB betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale.
- Zach Eflin Under 0.5 walks allowed (+165 via Betway) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Steven Kwan Over 0.5 runs (+120 via Betway) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Adley Rutschman Under 1.5 total bases (-145 via Betway) ⭐⭐⭐
Orioles vs. Guardians expert picks
MLB picks made Saturday at noon ET.
Prediction: Under 0.5 walks allowed ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Zach Eflin’s first start in a Baltimore Orioles uniform was a success from a win/loss standpoint, as he earned the victory despite allowing 10 hits to the Toronto Blue Jays.
However, Eflin also turned in a vintage performance showcasing his pinpoint control, as he issued zero walks for the 11th time in 20 starts. Eflin has only allowed more than one walk in two starts this year, and he will likely look to attack a Guardians lineup that ranks 19th in the majors in walk rate (7.9%).
The fact that Eflin has allowed no walks in 55% of his starts makes the 37.74% implied probability for this wager seem extremely low, and that has us backing this prop at generous +165 odds, where a winning $10 wager would pay out $26.50.
Best odds: +165 via Betway | Implied probability: 37.74%
Terms and conditions apply.
Prediction: Steven Kwan Over 0.5 runs ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Steven Kwan leads all Guardians hitters in batting average (.316) and on-base percentage (.371) against right-handed pitching this year, which are impressive numbers considering his batting average dropped 30 points after batting just .250 in July.
However, he is an outstanding table-setter at the top of Cleveland’s lineup and has scored a run in four of the last eight games against teams over .500.
Considering Eflin allowed a season-high 10 hits in his last start, I expect Kwan to find his way on base at least a couple of times, which should provide plenty of RBI chances for big hitters like Jose Ramirez and Josh Naylor behind him.
For every $10 wagered on this prop, winning bets would pay out $12 in profits.
Best odds: +120 via Betway | Implied probability: 45.45%
Prediction: Adley Rutschman Under 1.5 total bases ⭐⭐⭐
Adley Rutschman’s odds are overvalued in this game, given a southpaw (Joey Cantillo) is on the mound for Cleveland, as the All-Star has slashed .357/.410/.571 against left-handed pitchers and .217/.292/.349 against righties.
However, now that Rutschman has been moved to fifth in the batting order following recent struggles, the switch hitter should only get one at-bat against Cantillo, as the Guardians will likely throw the southpaw for only a couple of innings in an abridged bullpen game.
Rutschman is batting just .143 with a .234 slugging percentage over the last 30 days, and the fact that he has not had an extra-base hit or multi-hit game in any of the last 10 games suggests the 59.18% implied probability for this wager is much too low.
A winning $10 wager at Betway’s -145 odds pays $16.90.
Best odds: -145 via Betway | Implied probability: 59.18%
Orioles vs. Guardians odds & game info
- When: Saturday, Aug. 3
- First pitch: 7:15 p.m. ET
- Where: Progressive Field (Cleveland)
- How to watch: FOX
- Favorite: Orioles (-130 via Betway)
(21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
* Bonuses not applicable in Ontario.
Not intended for use in MA.
Each betting site featured on SBR has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission.
Related Articles
