Best Home Run Predictions Tonight: MLB Odds, Picks & Prop Bets for May 14

Last updated: May 14, 2025 1:41 PM EDT β’ 3 min read X Social Google News Link

Julio Rodriguez may not be enjoying the season I'd hoped for when I backed him as a preseason MLB MVP odds contender, but he headlines our best home run predictions tonight against the New York Yankees.
Be sure to read on for our best prediction and home run parlay, which pays out nearly $2000 in profit if it hits!
π° MLB best home run predictions & odds tonight: May 14
Here are my best home run predictions and odds tonight, with my pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale. You can also check out our MLB player prop odds tool for the latest MLB odds at the best legal sportsbooks in your region.
π§¨Julio Rodriguez to hit a home run (+500 via FanDuel) vs. Yankees ββββ
𧨠Kyle Tucker to hit a home run (+550 via BetMGM) vs. Marlins ββββ
𧨠Zach Neto to hit a home run (+480 via FanDuel) vs. Padres ββββ
𧨠Trevor Larnach to hit a home run (+575 via bet365) vs. Orioles (Game 1) ββββ
π Best home run parlay picks
Here is our best MLB home run parlay for Wednesday's baseball action; use our parlay calculator to get the best odds for any parlay.
π£ Julio Rodriguez to hit a home run (+450)
π£ Kyle Tucker to hit a home run (+500)
π£ Zach Neto to hit a home run (+480)
Parlay odds: +19040 via FanDuel ($10 to win $1,904)
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π£ Best home run prediction tonight: MLB expert picks & prop bets
Here's a breakdown of my best home run prop prediction tonight. Check out the rest of our MLB picks along with our guide on how to bet on MLB.
βΎ Julio Rodriguez (Mariners) to hit a home run ββββ
Best odds: +500 via FanDuel (bet $10 to win $50)
Unfortunately, Rodriguez hasn't had the type of bounce-back season I hoped for when I bet on him to win AL MVP. After a disappointing campaign last season, Rodriguez once again owns an OPS in the low .700s after appearing to be one of baseball's best players during his first two MLB seasons.
However, one thing Rodriguez can still do is hit absolute rockets. His 114.7-mph max exit velocity ranks in the 95th percentile in the majors, and he does appear to be well on his way to crushing his home run total of 20 from last season, with seven through the first 40 games.
Rodriguez and the Mariners get a tasty matchup today, too, as Yankees starter Will Warren is just simply not good.
Warren's 93.3-mph average exit velocity against is among the worst in baseball, as is the 52% hard-hit rate batters are managing against him. He's done well to limit the long ball by forcing more grounders this season. But if J-Rod can elevate one today, it's getting nuked.
π Yankees vs. Mariners odds
π΅ Best MLB betting sites
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Andrew Brennan X social