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Athletics vs. Red Sox Prediction & Picks: MLB Odds for Sat., August 8

My Athletics vs. Red Sox prediction breaks down the best bets, player props, home run pick, and same-game parlay I’m betting today.
Athletics starting pitcher Gage Jump throws a pitch as we make our best Athletics vs. Red Sox prediction
Pictured: Athletics starting pitcher Gage Jump throws a pitch as we make our best Athletics vs. Red Sox prediction. Photo by Darren Yamashita-Imagn Images
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The Athletics take on the Boston Red Sox for the second game of this weekend series on Saturday afternoon. My Athletics vs. Red Sox prediction features a run total, two player props, and an SGP to bet ahead of first pitch at 4:10 p.m. ET from Fenway Park in Boston. You can catch the action on FS1 or stream it on MLB.TV.

Boston is one of the hottest teams in baseball, coming off a dominant 13-1 win and improving to 9-1 in its last 10 games, firmly in playoff contention. Today's matchup pits Gage Jump vs. Jake Bennett on the mound. The Red Sox are massive -254 betting favorites, with the run total set at a flat 9.0.


⚾ Athletics vs. Red Sox picks & odds today

See all of our experts’ MLB picks based on the latest MLB odds; picks rated on a 1-to-5 star confidence scale based on betting value.

⚾ Pick 💵 Units 📝 Notes
Under 9.0 (+100 via Caesars) 1u → 1u Red Sox are the sixth-most profitable team on run total unders in 2026. 
Gage Jump Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-118 via FanDuel) 1.18u → 1u Jump has gone under 5.5 Ks in 2 of last 5 starts, while facing a Red Sox lineup that has a low strikeout rate (8.19/game) this season. 
Jarren Duran Over 0.5 Home Runs (+630 via FanDuel) 0.25u → 1.57u Duran is red-hot, mashing 3 home runs in his last 5 starts, while ranked 85th in bad speed and 65th in barrel rate.  

Total wagered: 2.43 units | Max profit: 3.57 units

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🏆 Who will win Athletics vs. Red Sox?

The Red Sox lost to Gage Jump the last time he started against them in Sacramento. Despite so many bettors on Boston (94%), I think there is a strong possibility that the Athletics snap their losing skid with an upset in Fenway today. The A's grind out a 5-3 win. 

Score prediction: Athletics 5, Red Sox 3


💰 Athletics vs. Red Sox prediction & best bet

Under 9.0 (+100)

I'm more interested in the total during this game. While the public is hammering Boston, there is value on the run total, especially since the Red Sox have cashed run total unders at the sixth-highest rate in the MLB this season. 

Gage Jump has held four of his past five lineups to five or fewer hits. Jake Bennett has allowed three or fewer earned runs in five consecutive starts for the Red Sox.

Sixty-seven percent of public bets are on the run total over. Let's play contrarian and take runs being scored at a premium. Bet under 9.0 at +100 odds at Caesars Sportsbook. 

📡 SBR Edge: A.L. West Unders

Before last night's 13-1 thrashing, the Red Sox had gone under the run total in four straight starts against A.L. West opponents. 


🔥 Best Athletics vs. Red Sox player prop bet

Gage Jump Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-118)

Gage Jump has had some strong moments during his rookie season with the Athletics. However, he's now facing a Red Sox lineup that averages 8.17 strikeouts per game (13th), putting them in the top half of the league for fewest strikeouts.

Jump has gone under 5.5 strikeouts in two of his last five starts. The southpaw is also ranked below the 30th percentile for walk rate, avg exit velo, and hard-hit rate in 2026

This means we'll likely see runners on base for the Red Sox, which could lead to an early deficit for Jump on the bump. It's also difficult to strikeout Boston's lineup, so let's fade Jump in the total strikeout market.

Bet on Gage Jump to go under 5.5 strikeouts at -118 odds on FanDuel. 


💣 Athletics vs. Red Sox home run prediction

Jarren Duran to hit a home run (+630)

Jarren Duran has burst to life at the plate for the Red Sox lately. He's mashed three home runs across his last five starts, while he also gets to face a left-handed pitcher as a left-handed batter. 

Duran's ranked 85th in bat speed (75.1) and 65th in barrel rate (10.2) in 2026. Jump allowed three home runs recently, while limiting the Red Sox to no home runs in his last start against them on July 28th.

Duran gets revenge in Fenway today. Go to FanDuel to bet on Jarren Duran's home run prop at +630 odds. 


🚀 Athletics vs. Red Sox same-game parlay

We're backing two of the top hitters in the Red Sox lineup to each record a hit in this two-leg SGP. Wilyer Abreu and Andruw Monasterio both have a five-game hit streak intact, with seven multi-hit performances during their respective streaks. 

💵 Athletics vs. Red Sox SGP picks

  • Wilyer Abreu Over 0.5 Hits (-264)
  • Andruw Monasterio Over 0.5 Hits (-191)

Best odds: +110 via DraftKings (1u -> 1.1u)


💵 My betting record for MLB picks

All MLB picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since May 31.

Bet type Record Net profit ROI
Overall 35-78-3 -21.40 units  -21.3% ❌
Game picks 12-14-2 -4.03 units ❌ -14.39% ❌
Player props 14-45-1 -10.08 units ❌ -24.9% ❌
Parlays 9-19 -7.30 units ❌ -30.3% ❌

💡 How I'm betting Athletics vs. Red Sox: MLB strategy

Follow all of our MLB analysis and expert predictions for baseball season.

I'm betting 3.43 total units on today's Athletics vs. Red Sox matchup. It starts with 1 unit on under 9.0 at even odds (+100), followed by a 1.18 unit play on A's starter, Gage Jump, to finish under 5.5 strikeouts.

Jarren Duran warrants a 0.25 unit wager for a home run at +630 odds. Then, 1 more unit on a SGP for Wilyer Abreu and Andruw Monasterio to each log a hit at plus odds. 


📊 Live Athletics vs. Red Sox odds

Since opening, the Red Sox have grown shorter in the moneyline market, moving from -235 to -254 odds. The run total has dropped from 9.5 to a flat 9.0.

67 percent of public action is on over 9.0 total runs. A whopping 95 percent of bets are on the Red Sox run line (-1.5), along with 92 percent of public action on Boston's moneyline (-254). 


📈 Athletics vs. Red Sox betting trends

Athletics Statistic Red Sox
45-71 W-L record 64-51
54-62 Run line record 58-57
56-56-4 O/U record 51-60-4
1-9 Last 10 games 9-1
5.47 Team ERA 3.48
.244 Team batting avg. .247
.718 OPS .720

🚑 Athletics vs. Red Sox injuries


📺 How to watch Athletics vs. Red Sox

  • Date: Saturday, Aug. 8
  • First pitch: 4:10 p.m. ET
  • Ballpark: Fenway Park (Boston)
  • TV: FS1
  • Streaming: MLB.TV
  • Athletics starter: Gage Jump (4-7, 4.59 ERA)
  • Red Sox starter: Jake Bennett (7-4, 2.90 ERA)