UCF vs. Pitt Prediction, Picks & Best Bets: College Football Week 2 Odds

My best UCF vs. Pitt prediction focuses on both offenses struggling against defenses far superior to the ones they faced last week.
UCF running back Duke Watson in action as we break down our UCF vs. Pitt prediction. Photo by Mike Watters-Imagn Images.
UCF running back Duke Watson in action as we break down our UCF vs. Pitt prediction. Photo by Mike Watters-Imagn Images.
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My best UCF vs. Pitt prediction focuses on how seriously we should be taking the offensive performances from both these teams in Week 1. Both teams put up over 550 yards and 59 or more points, but each will face a greater test this week.

Pitt is favored by 6.5 to 7.5 points at every major sportsbook ahead of Saturday's 3:30 p.m. ET game at Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh. The game will air on ESPN2 and stream on ESPN Unlimited.


🏈 UCF vs. Pitt picks & odds: Week 2

See the latest college football odds and our college football picks.

💰 Pick ⚖️ Units 🧠 Why I bet this
Pitt -7.5 (+105 via bet365) 1u → 1.05u UCF is a run-first team, but Pitt has one of the best rush defenses in football and a quarterback that can light up a scoreboard.
Under 57.5 (-110 via bet365) 2u → 1.82u These offenses combined for 132 points last week, but the defenses will make life difficult for those units, especially Pitt's run defense against UCF's rushing attack.
Duke Watson anytime touchdown scorer (+115 via DraftKings) 1u → 1.15u Watson carried just seven times in the opener, but he still scored once, and he had eight touchdowns on 72 touches his freshman year.

Total wagered: 4 units | Max profit: 4.02 units

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💰 UCF vs. Pitt prediction & best bet

Under 57.5 (-110)

Though neither defense was great last season, Pitt ranked 32nd in yards allowed per game, while UCF ranked 37th. Mason Heintschel, who threw for 453 yards last week, started nine games for Pitt last year, and only three featured a final total greater than 55.   

UCF rushed for 360 yards and seven touchdowns last week. Yet, I expect the Knights to struggle against a defense that allowed just 2.7 yards per carry last year.

This total opened at 51.5, but thanks to these two offenses combining for 132 points last week, the total has climbed six points.

Score prediction: Pitt 30 UCF 20


🙌 UCF vs. Pitt touchdown scorer prediction

Duke Watson to score a touchdown (+115)

Last week, Watson rushed just seven times, but he managed 110 yards and a touchdown. With Louisville last season, Watson struggled through injuries and the presence of Isaac Brown. However, the year before, he scored seven rushing touchdowns and one receiving touchdown. That production came on just 72 total touches.

Pitt allowed only 27 rushing yards last week but still gave up a rushing touchdown. While Pitt only allowed 12 rushing touchdowns last season, UCF has a run-first offense that should do most of its scoring on the ground.


🚀 UCF vs. Pitt same-game parlay

I've already explained why I like the Under so much, so it's really just about what to pair with it. For Pitt to win, Heintschel will have to be outstanding. Last season, he threw for at least 300 yards in four of his six starts against unranked opponents. He's attempted at least 27 passes in nine of his 10 collegiate starts, and last week, Pitt proved it's a pass-first team when he attempted 41 passes in a 45-point win.

💵 UCF vs. Pitt SGP picks

  • Under 57.5
  • Mason Heintschel 300+ passing yards

Best odds: +360 via DraftKings (0.5u → 1.8u)


📊 Live UCF vs. Pitt odds: Week 2

Our live UCF vs. Pitt odds update in real time.


📈 UCF vs. Pitt betting trends

UCF Statistic Pitt
1-0 W-L record 1-0
1-0 ATS record 1-0
1-0 O/U record 1-0
9.33 Yards per play 8.61
3.02 Yards allowed per play 4.98
+1 Turnover margin +1
1-0 Last 5 games 1-0
W, 73-6 vs. Bethune-Cookman Previous result W, 59-14 vs. Miami (OH)

📺 How to watch UCF vs. Pitt: Week 2

  • Date: Saturday, Sept. 12
  • Kickoff: 3:30 p.m. ET
  • Location: Acrisure Stadium (Pittsburgh)
  • TV: ESPN2
  • Streaming: ESPN Unlimited