Oklahoma vs. Florida State Odds, Picks, Predictions College Football: Can Favorite Cover in Cheez-It Bowl?
The Oklahoma Sooners won outright and covered the spread in each of their last three meetings with the Florida State Seminoles, dating back to 2001. Read on for our top Oklahoma-Florida State college football picks based on the best NCAAF odds.
It was a trying first year at Oklahoma (4-8 ATS, 5-6-1 O/U) for head coach Brent Venables. After a 3-0 start, the Sooners lost each of their first three Big 12 Conference games. OU extended a 24-year bowl game streak, beating rival Oklahoma State in the penultimate regular season contest.
Meanwhile, Florida State (8-4 ATS, 6-6 O/U) played some of the best college football of any team down the stretch. The Seminoles rebounded from losing three straight ACC matchups in early October to close the regular season on a five-game winning streak. The run included a thrilling win over Florida in the finale.
Here is our best Oklahoma vs. Florida State Cheez-It Bowl pick (odds via BetMGM; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5 star scale).
Check out our college football best bets and all of our top odds and picks for college football's bowl season.
Oklahoma vs. Florida State Game Info
- Date: Thursday, Dec. 29, 5:30 p.m. ET
- TV: ESPN
- Location: Camping World Stadium, Orlando, FL
- Weather: 70 degrees, 4 % chance of precipitation, 6-8 mph E winds
Oklahoma vs. Florida State Odds
Oklahoma vs. Florida State Odds Analysis
Florida State has drawn the majority of support from bettors and that has helped move the consensus line from FSU -6 at the opener to -9.5 as of Thursday morning. The Seminoles are supported by 77% of the tickets and 84% of the betting handle.
The consensus Over/Under opened at 62 but that's up to 65 on the morning of game day with 75% of the tickets accounting for 81% of the handle on the Over.
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Oklahoma vs. Florida State Pick
Florida State -9.5 ⭐⭐
The matchup between Florida State's offense and Oklahoma's defense is one of the biggest mismatches of the entire bowl season. If the Seminoles play at an offensive level similar to how they finished the regular season, a double-digit victory is very attainable.
Florida State ranks college football's eighth in adjusted offensive efficiency. The Seminoles scored 38+ points in each of their final five games, all victories. While Venables will build up Oklahoma's D, it takes more than a year to do this.
Florida State quarterback Jordan Travis could be a major problem for a Sooners' defense that struggles against dual-threat QBs. The Seminoles also have three quality running backs, Trey Benson, Lawrence Toafili and Treshaun Ward. Add in the threat of Travis and you have an offense averaging over 200 rushing yards per game.
Oklahoma has issues stopping the run, allowing 189.0 YPG. With defensive lineman Jalen Redmond opting out to prepare for the NFL Draft, it’s tough to see how OU contains the Seminoles’ ground game.
Sooners’ QB Dillon Gabriel could be a sitting duck in the pocket as both of Oklahoma’s starting tackles opted out, along with leading rusher Eric Gray. Add a pro-Florida State crowd in Orlando and laying the points is the best option for bettors.
Oklahoma vs. Florida State Best Odds
BetMGM (-110)
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | PointsBet |
| -9.5 (-110) | -9.5 (-110) | -9.5 (-110) | -9.5 (-110) | -9.5 (-110) |
The vast majority of sportsbooks list the spread at Florida State -9.5. In addition, there's very little variance in accompanying odds on this line. BetMGM is one of several shops where bettors can lay points with the Seminoles while only laying the standard -110 price.
Keep in mind that the line could move before kickoff. Confirm where the best value lies before placing your wager.
Oklahoma vs. Florida State picks made Wednesday, 12/28/2022 at 1:30 p.m. EST.
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