Michigan vs. Minnesota Prediction: Week 5 Odds, Picks & Best Bet

Our Michigan vs. Minnesota prediction for Week 5 includes our best bet, projected score, and the latest odds for Saturday's matchup.
Minnesota quarterback Drake Lindsey (5) motions to his team as we break down our Michigan vs. Minnesota prediction.
Pictured: Minnesota quarterback Drake Lindsey (5) motions to his team as we break down our Michigan vs. Minnesota prediction. Photo by Richard Dizon / Imagn Images.
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Big Noon Kickoff in Week 5 features a pair of 3-1 Big Ten programs for my Michigan vs. Minnesota prediction.

The Wolverines fell out of the Top 25 with their last-second loss to Iowa in Week 4, while the Golden Gophers just beat Washington 27-24 on the road. Michigan enters as a 5.5-point betting favorite Saturday, with kickoff at Huntington Bank Stadium in Minneapolis set for noon ET (FOX). 


🏈 Michigan vs. Minnesota picks & predictions

See all of our experts' college football picks for Week 5 based on the latest college football odds.

Pick Bet size
Minnesota +5.5 (-108 via BetMGM) 1.08 units to win 1 unit
Over 43.5 (-105 via bet365) 1.05 units to win 1 unit

Total wagered: 2.13 units | Max profit: +2 units

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💰 Michigan vs. Minnesota prediction & best bet

Check out all of our college football predictions for more analysis across this week's slate.

Minnesota +5.5 (-108 via BetMGM)

The line has steamed toward Minnesota since Michigan's loss to Iowa, dropping from +8.5 to +5.5. The Golden Gophers have sophomore quarterback Drake Lindsey under center, who has impressed with 200+ passing yards in all 4 starts this season, including 6 touchdown passes across his previous 2 starts. 

Michigan's QB Bryce Underwood has committed turnovers in most of his starts this season, putting the Wolverines behind schedule. He played a clean game against Oklahoma's stout defense, but Underwood struggled against Western Michigan and Iowa's stingy defensive units.

Minnesota has limited opponents to 3.2 YPC and 4 total rushing touchdowns. The Golden Gophers have forced 5 turnovers in their past 3 outings, which bodes well against Underwood's miscue tendencies. 

I'm still willing to take the home underdog at +5.5 instead of Minnesota's initial +8.5 line. Go to BetMGM for the best price on Minnesota +5.5 at -108 odds. 

📡 SBR Edge: Wolverine Woes in Secondary

Michigan has allowed 4 passing touchdowns in its past 2 outings, while giving up 227 passing yards to Iowa in Week 4. 

Drake Lindsey Leads Minnesota To A Home Underdog Cover 

Minnesota has a strong quarterback talent in Drake Lindsey this season. The Golden Gophers' signal-caller can exploit Michigan's secondary, as he just picked apart a strong Washington defense. 

Bryce Underwood's raw talent is undeniable. However, he's still developing and has logged 5 turnovers, including 3 fumbles lost, so he's difficult to trust against a stout Minnesota defense under head coach P.J. Fleck. Lindsey's Golden Gophers give Michigan a scare in a back-and-forth thriller. 

Score prediction: Michigan 27, Minnesota 24


📊 Michigan vs. Minnesota odds

See the latest college football odds for every Week 5 matchup.

Michigan vs. Minnesota opening odds

  • Moneyline: Michigan -255 | Minnesota +210
  • Spread: Michigan -8.5 (-112) | Minnesota +8.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under: Over 44.5 (-105) | Under 44.5 (-115)

📺 How to watch Michigan vs. Minnesota: Week 5

  • Date: Saturday, Oct. 3
  • Kickoff: Noon ET
  • Location: Huntington Bank Stadium (Minneapolis)
  • TV: FOX

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Sportsbook Review may receive a commission if you sign up through our links. Not intended for use in MA. Bonuses not applicable in Ontario. 21+ only. (Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)