EP36's Weekly Wankoff: Western & Southern Open (Cincy)

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  • riffraff24
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 04-20-11
    • 7234

    #36
    What a disgrace. Only 4 games won in the match by that frenchie fuk
    Comment
    • EaglesPhan36
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 12-06-06
      • 71662

      #37
      Tuesday, August 14th
      Lopez +240
      Baghdatis +110
      Bogomolov +140
      Raonic -145


      Rarely see a lot of wins when I like too many dogs, so 0.5 unit on each dog since I full expect to get squashed.

      Comment
      • MagicDiceFlow
        SBR MVP
        • 01-15-12
        • 4585

        #38
        Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
        Tuesday, August 14th
        Lopez +240
        Baghdatis +110
        Bogomolov +140
        Raonic -145


        Rarely see a lot of wins when I like too many dogs, so 0.5 unit on each dog since I full expect to get squashed.

        All those look good except for Bogomolov. That dude is in some auto fade form right now.
        Comment
        • EaglesPhan36
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 12-06-06
          • 71662

          #39
          One wench play.

          WTA: Mattek-Sands +105
          Comment
          • zoo youk
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 10-23-11
            • 10701

            #40
            Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
            Tuesday, August 14th
            Lopez +240
            Baghdatis +110
            Bogomolov +140
            Raonic -145


            Rarely see a lot of wins when I like too many dogs, so 0.5 unit on each dog since I full expect to get squashed.

            starting your fade of Fish this earlier, eh?
            Comment
            • EaglesPhan36
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 12-06-06
              • 71662

              #41
              Fish is boom or bust for me this week. This is the tougher match-up if Lopez starts with a solid serve and keeps the sets tight. If Fish survives today, he should make the quarters. Desire always a little question with the Flodonis from week to week, but I do like that he wisely skipped Toronto to rest after Olympic play.
              Comment
              • zoo youk
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 10-23-11
                • 10701

                #42
                ok, going to tail here. probably the kiss of death.
                Comment
                • riffraff24
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 04-20-11
                  • 7234

                  #43
                  Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                  One wench play.

                  WTA: Mattek-Sands +105
                  LMAO Wench. Dude im seeing this line at -200 now...you are absolutely destroying the closing numbers!
                  Comment
                  • EaglesPhan36
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 12-06-06
                    • 71662

                    #44
                    You must have read a different line. BMS got to -115 I think, but that was the highest I saw. She's about to be down a set. Yizzzooo fukko, wake up !!
                    Comment
                    • younghandicapper
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 07-09-12
                      • 305

                      #45
                      ATP:
                      Niemenen-2 (Not sure)
                      Fish-3.5
                      Giraldo-3.5
                      Stepanek-4.5
                      Simon+1.5
                      Gasquet+2
                      Chardy+4 (Like this one)
                      Melzer+4.5 (against Querrey, not that sure)
                      Berdych-4 (Like)
                      Baker+2 (Like)

                      What do you think EP? Here's my system's leans today. Hope you have the time to give comments on each. Thank you!

                      Comments are those next (2nd games) only. Prioritizing those first.
                      Comment
                      • riffraff24
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 04-20-11
                        • 7234

                        #46
                        Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                        You must have read a different line. BMS got to -115 I think, but that was the highest I saw. She's about to be down a set. Yizzzooo fukko, wake up !!
                        Duhh I was looking at the doubles line lol.. wooops put it in a $9 parlay hahah
                        Comment
                        • EaglesPhan36
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 12-06-06
                          • 71662

                          #47
                          Adding ...

                          Tomic -130
                          I am a glutton for punishment. This is part of the theory I use on Tomic though that makes low chalk plays like this worth a roll to me. When guys have not faced his slicey, junkball game - I think they can struggle to adjust whereas Tomic knows he's going to face another aggressive player in Baker. This has the smell of immediate regret, but I train wreck on.
                          Comment
                          • EaglesPhan36
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 12-06-06
                            • 71662

                            #48
                            Baghdatis bet cancelled due to the player sub. Tomic made it no sweat for once ... Whoa.
                            Comment
                            • zoo youk
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 10-23-11
                              • 10701

                              #49
                              Lopez playing really well...has come close to breaking Fish a few times already this first set. now at duece, Fish serving.
                              Comment
                              • MagicDiceFlow
                                SBR MVP
                                • 01-15-12
                                • 4585

                                #50
                                Lopez is playing like crap. His serve looks weak as hell today. That's his only weapon cus his groundstrokes were always his weak spot. He's been like this for the last 6 months. Maybe on a downward spiral, his career is winding down.
                                Comment
                                • EaglesPhan36
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 12-06-06
                                  • 71662

                                  #51
                                  Six months? You underestimate Lopez. He's been mainly big serve and not muc else for a couple years. Problem is he shows up now and again like @ Wimbledon last ywar and in an odd tourney or tw elsewhere that makes you think he can compete. I still think most of his play is purely lack of desire. Once things roll downhill, he isn't much of a fighter. But hey, I will take a split on the dogs with Bogo winning. First time in a long time that I did not get buried when I liked three dogs or more, probabpy helped getting Baggy cancelled. Need Raonic to finish a good day.
                                  Comment
                                  • abeinortas
                                    SBR Rookie
                                    • 08-11-12
                                    • 22

                                    #52
                                    rodick and lopez- two players i am not betting since San Jose, because every time you bet they fu..k your day
                                    Comment
                                    • JayDelight729
                                      SBR Hustler
                                      • 12-04-10
                                      • 58

                                      #53
                                      With how poor Mayer has looked since Wimbledon, I lean Davydenko tomorrow, but given each player's inconsistent play, hard to put any real stock in their matches.
                                      Comment
                                      • EaglesPhan36
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 12-06-06
                                        • 71662

                                        #54
                                        Raonic finishing off a nice little day.

                                        Poor Roddick. Back spasms do him in today in a tournament where he could have potentially made some noise. Some big price mis-matches tomorrow.
                                        Comment
                                        • EaglesPhan36
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 12-06-06
                                          • 71662

                                          #55
                                          Wednesday, August 15th
                                          Stepanek +145
                                          Istomin -155
                                          Stephens-Giorgi Over 20.5 [-110]
                                          Comment
                                          • EaglesPhan36
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 12-06-06
                                            • 71662

                                            #56
                                            If Istomin is too chalky, a parlay with Hewitt looks nice. Hewitt carried his form over to this surface and Troicki was not overly impressive against Dodig.
                                            Comment
                                            • riffraff24
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 04-20-11
                                              • 7234

                                              #57
                                              Good luck today EP!
                                              Comment
                                              • matt1216
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 10-27-11
                                                • 14683

                                                #58
                                                Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                                                If Istomin is too chalky, a parlay with Hewitt looks nice. Hewitt carried his form over to this surface and Troicki was not overly impressive against Dodig.
                                                i watched troicki's last game, he only made it thru because dodig was god awful. Troickis return game was very poor, if he trie to keep up with hewitts return gme he wll get buried
                                                Comment
                                                • riffraff24
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 04-20-11
                                                  • 7234

                                                  #59
                                                  Troicki already up 3-0 in the first set...
                                                  Comment
                                                  • EaglesPhan36
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 12-06-06
                                                    • 71662

                                                    #60
                                                    Yeah Hewitt back in retirement mode so far. Long way to go though. I'd venture to say Troicki yacks something up on-serve in this set still and makes it interesting. Of course Hewitt has to hold once for that to matter ...
                                                    Comment
                                                    • tevari
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 02-02-07
                                                      • 4959

                                                      #61
                                                      Don't know why anyone would lay chalk on Hewitt. He's unbackable IMO anywhere outside the Aussie Open. He has no tools to hurt anyone.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • EaglesPhan36
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 12-06-06
                                                        • 71662

                                                        #62
                                                        There's the yack.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Semper Fidelis
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 09-22-11
                                                          • 1999

                                                          #63
                                                          There we go, shit just got interesting. Hewitt breaks serve, now should be 4-4 as long as he can hold his own serve.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • EaglesPhan36
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 12-06-06
                                                            • 71662

                                                            #64
                                                            Wait, I am only scoreboard watching ... now corrected to 5-2 Troicki. Derp.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Semper Fidelis
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 09-22-11
                                                              • 1999

                                                              #65
                                                              What just happened? He didn't win that set? They changed the score...
                                                              Comment
                                                              • nicsbr
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 05-03-10
                                                                • 839

                                                                #66
                                                                Originally posted by Semper Fidelis
                                                                What just happened? He didn't win that set? They changed the score...

                                                                Lost 6-2
                                                                Comment
                                                                • EaglesPhan36
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 12-06-06
                                                                  • 71662

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Yeah that dude is cooked. Oh well. Sorry guys. That's why I took Istomin by himself last night instead before the price got walloped, did not really feel much else outside him + Stepanek.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • riffraff24
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 04-20-11
                                                                    • 7234

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Stephens also dominating Giorgi. Doubt this goes to a third set
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Demonata
                                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                      • 07-12-11
                                                                      • 25829

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Dang thought Hewitt could beat Troicki.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • jagaf22
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 01-22-08
                                                                        • 2932

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Hewitt with the no show today. 6-2, 6-0
                                                                        Comment
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