EP36's Tennis Things I THINK I THINK

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  • yoshiments
    SBR Rookie
    • 01-27-11
    • 45

    #1716
    if you keep avoiding every single person that you lose a bet on your just gonna have anymore people to bet on dude
    Comment
    • EaglesPhan36
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 12-06-06
      • 71662

      #1717
      ATP MIAMI

      HAASE +157
      So which Tipsarevic do we get this week? The one who made the Chennai semis? The one who lost the Delray Beach final? The one who lost to Devvarman at the Davis Cup or the one who lost to Querrey in Indian Wells? Too many questions for me. Haase is just 5-6 in ATP events this season, but his losses have all been competitive outside of a whipping bu Soderling. He lost last week to Schuettler at Indian Wells 7-6, 7-5 in a match he said he had very little energy and preparation time due to Davis Cup travel prior to the event. That should not be the case this week. When Haase is on, he brings some of the same weapons as Tipsarevic - big serve and a big forehand.

      FOGNINI +185
      Two players in "meh" form here. Stepanek is the big favorite, but maybe not justified. Outdoor hard courts have not traditionally been kind to him as he is about a 53% winner on the surface for his career. He has lost three of his last four on this surface since a nice run in Brisbane early this year. Some predictably tough against Del Potro & Isner, but also losing to Chela. Fognini has lost eight straight on this surface, but rarely does not give himself chances. Coincidentally his last win on an outdoor hard court came against Stepanek last summer in Toronto.
      Comment
      • Brian891
        SBR MVP
        • 04-28-10
        • 2049

        #1718
        ep i have safarova in a parlay. do u think she takes care of patty schnyder?
        Comment
        • EaglesPhan36
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 12-06-06
          • 71662

          #1719
          Given Schnyder's underwhelming win yesterday and her ass whipping from Cornet at Indian Wells, I would think Safarova has a good shot.

          Damn Haase ran out to a 4-2 lead and lost the first set 6-4. Putz.
          Comment
          • Brian891
            SBR MVP
            • 04-28-10
            • 2049

            #1720
            thanks for insight. any leans with petzschner or stepanek? got the ith and was thinking of sprinkling a little on each.
            Comment
            • EaglesPhan36
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 12-06-06
              • 71662

              #1721
              I'm on Fognini over Stepanek. Petz is more talented, but wildly inconsistent.
              Comment
              • EaglesPhan36
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 12-06-06
                • 71662

                #1722
                BERANKIS +105
                Was trying to find a reason not to back my boy Berankis today against Felciano Lopez and well, there's not enough for me to not give him a whirl. These two met at Wimbledon and Berankis acquitted himself well on the Grand Slam stage for the first time with a four set loss that was pretty tight. Berankis has continue to work hard and looks to be on the rise. He was forced out at Indian Wells with a back problem, but has trained this week with no issues. Interesting to note that Lopez has been his training partner for parts of the lead-up here in Miami. Lopez himself has been a mess with a 3-7 mark at ATP level events this year. Lopez is always capable of turning it on and winning, but his desire is always a question. That should not be the question for the young Lithuanian looking to rise in the rankings. He'll need to do a better job of getting his 1st serve in consistently, something that pestered him last week but may have been due in part to the back issue.
                Comment
                • EaglesPhan36
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 12-06-06
                  • 71662

                  #1723
                  Haase goes down 6-4, 7-6. I had it at +3, but switched to the money line. Don't think Tipsarevic was unbeatable at all today, but Haase did not show enough consistency.
                  Comment
                  • Brian891
                    SBR MVP
                    • 04-28-10
                    • 2049

                    #1724
                    boy when u say wta is a crapshoot u arent kidding.
                    Comment
                    • EaglesPhan36
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 12-06-06
                      • 71662

                      #1725
                      Took some shots on bigger dogs today, does not look like they will pan out. If Berankis wins though, it will be a good day even at 1-2 hopefully.
                      Comment
                      • Brian891
                        SBR MVP
                        • 04-28-10
                        • 2049

                        #1726
                        safarova won 1st set 6-2 but just got broken in 2nd set. she is awfully inconsistent. i really hope she can win this one and doesnt shut down mentally.
                        Comment
                        • Brian891
                          SBR MVP
                          • 04-28-10
                          • 2049

                          #1727
                          3-0. yikes, not sure if shes even scored a point 2nd set.
                          Comment
                          • EaglesPhan36
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 12-06-06
                            • 71662

                            #1728
                            Not too many WTA players have met the word consistency.
                            Comment
                            • Brian891
                              SBR MVP
                              • 04-28-10
                              • 2049

                              #1729
                              im learning slowly but surely. of course i still like wickmayer today. any lean on that one? might as well pick the brain of the master.
                              Comment
                              • EaglesPhan36
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 12-06-06
                                • 71662

                                #1730
                                STAKHOVSKY -108
                                Going against the other wunderkind today in Dimitrov. He just has not shown the ability on a consistent basis to step up against Top 40-types on most surfaces. He will, I have no doubts - but right now, haven't seen enough from him. Stakhovsky has been pretty consistent on this surface over the past year plus a few months. Outside of a stray loss or two, his losses on outdoor courts have come to top tier talent. He'll need to bring his "A" serve today and I will not be surprised to see Dimitrov start fast as he has some court time from qualis in Miami. I think over the course of the match though that Stakhovsky will have just a bit more consistency.
                                Comment
                                • EaglesPhan36
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 12-06-06
                                  • 71662

                                  #1731
                                  Originally posted by Brian891
                                  im learning slowly but surely. of course i still like wickmayer today. any lean on that one? might as well pick the brain of the master.
                                  Heh. Based on my picks, far from a master. I think Wickmayer is pretty safe for parlay usage.
                                  Comment
                                  • brandoc
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 11-18-10
                                    • 386

                                    #1732
                                    Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                                    Not too many WTA players have met the word consistency.

                                    Lol - true that
                                    Comment
                                    • brandoc
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 11-18-10
                                      • 386

                                      #1733
                                      this kid Sock by the way is a total choke machine.
                                      Comment
                                      • EaglesPhan36
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 12-06-06
                                        • 71662

                                        #1734
                                        That was one of the ugliest betting matches. Taking a teenager with little experience or a guy who never plays on hard courts ... PASS!
                                        Comment
                                        • brandoc
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 11-18-10
                                          • 386

                                          #1735
                                          Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                                          That was one of the ugliest betting matches. Taking a teenager with little experience or a guy who never plays on hard courts ... PASS!

                                          i know mate, but i can´t help but support the young up-and-comers in the industry.
                                          Comment
                                          • EaglesPhan36
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 12-06-06
                                            • 71662

                                            #1736
                                            Yeah Sock is supposed the be the next big thing for America on the tennis scene. At least he's real young, maybe he can develop. US needs a men's player who can be good again. Querrey & Isner were not the answers and they're both floundering now.
                                            Comment
                                            • Pew Pew
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 12-21-10
                                              • 2267

                                              #1737
                                              WTA boycott over lol.

                                              Which of the following heavy favorite should I choose to add to one of my parlay:

                                              Maria Sharapova or Shuai Peng?

                                              Anyone have any info on Aravane Rezai? Never heard of her and she's playing against Peng.
                                              Comment
                                              • EaglesPhan36
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 12-06-06
                                                • 71662

                                                #1738
                                                Rezai is usually more of a threat on clay. I'd probably take Peng. Sharapova's serve shit always worries me.
                                                Comment
                                                • EaglesPhan36
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 12-06-06
                                                  • 71662

                                                  #1739
                                                  Stakhovsky rolls. Dimitrov still with much to learn.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • EaglesPhan36
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 12-06-06
                                                    • 71662

                                                    #1740
                                                    Damn it Berankis. Did not close F-Lo out in the 2nd. Gotta go to a 3rd.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • iceman8847
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 12-16-08
                                                      • 526

                                                      #1741
                                                      I wish I would have taken Berankis in the 1st set only, hope this doesn't give Lopez momentum.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • EaglesPhan36
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 12-06-06
                                                        • 71662

                                                        #1742
                                                        Break Berankis in the 3rd. Up 2-0. Consolidate here and send the nice Spanish girl with the hair packing.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • reformed
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 11-18-10
                                                          • 1384

                                                          #1743
                                                          i wish i would have taken hidalgo...I knew +500 was great going against mannarino with a guy who holds a 2-0 H2H edge. it seemed too easy!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • EaglesPhan36
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 12-06-06
                                                            • 71662

                                                            #1744
                                                            Ah crap he won? Shit I had the same thought that the price was ridiculous on Mannarino. Could not pull the trigger though because Hidalgo was like 1-9 in his last ten matches. Damn.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • EaglesPhan36
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 12-06-06
                                                              • 71662

                                                              #1745
                                                              Damn it gave the break back. Sheesh. Berankis you twat, try your best to hand it to him.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • EaglesPhan36
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 12-06-06
                                                                • 71662

                                                                #1746
                                                                Absolute choke job. Up 3-0, probably gonna get ridden out 6-3 now. Not watching, maybe his back tightened up - but I think this was just a choke through & through by Berankis. Damn it.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • iceman8847
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 12-16-08
                                                                  • 526

                                                                  #1747
                                                                  WTF. I CAN'T BELIEVE THIS SHIT 4 units gone how is this shit possible up 3-0
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • EaglesPhan36
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 12-06-06
                                                                    • 71662

                                                                    #1748
                                                                    Just making some notes to check on these in the morning, not making these bets as of yet:

                                                                    Parlays: Malisse,Fish,Radwanska,Kleybanova,Groth,

                                                                    Blake +150
                                                                    Kirilenko -120 or Mirza +100
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • EaglesPhan36
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 12-06-06
                                                                      • 71662

                                                                      #1749
                                                                      CALTANISSETTA CHALLENGER: SCHOOREL -125
                                                                      The Dutch youngster is back on his preferred clay surface and it has shown this week. He was made to work in his opener, but absolutely dominated his 2nd round match. Ungur is his opponent. Ungur took out the top seed Volandri, but he's beaten him before & Volandri has been total horse shit this year. I give Schoorel the edge with his big serve that can dominate. Ungur is the more experienced player here, but Schoorel is a talent that needs more seasonsing but can win this type of match.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • EaglesPhan36
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 12-06-06
                                                                        • 71662

                                                                        #1750
                                                                        FRIDAY DEUCE: MALISSE + RADWANKSA +107
                                                                        Malisse draws Llodra and Llodra is just a different player on an outdoor hard court vs. the indoor court. Outdoors, he's just 18-32 in his last 50 matches. He's 2-3 this year. Malisse looked good against Sweeting to open and is coming in off a solid showing at Indian Wells. Should be lots of big serving here, but Malisse seems to show better on the surface. Radwanska is up against Strycova who has some okay results on this surface in 2011 with a 7-4 mark. She generally though has lacked the ability to topple players in the Top 20 on the surface. Radwanska is a solid 8-4 on this surface & outside of a loss to Safarova in Doha, her losses are to WTA premier players. She's got a good track record in Miami, while Strycova's win over youngster Sloane Stephens was just her 2nd in six matches here all-time. At the end of the day, Radwanska has the consistency in her ground strokes and defense to trouble Strycova. Would be best if she could start fast and not have to dig her way out of a hole.
                                                                        Comment
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