JNic's tennis picks

**kop1987** · 06-24-10, 09:03 AM

omg.. he lost his 4th set.. -_-

**JNic** · 06-24-10, 09:03 AM

o wow chardy drops 2 in a row.... Is lacko favored now?

**kop1987** · 06-24-10, 09:05 AM

yes.. he is favoured now.. should i cover some on lacko?

**JNic** · 06-24-10, 09:07 AM

i really don't know, this match has no feed so i haven't been watching

**kop1987** · 06-24-10, 09:08 AM

icic.. ok.. hope chardy can do it.. or i will be down badly

**JNic** · 06-24-10, 09:08 AM

chardy is a known choker and lacko has pulled off lots of tight 5 setters and 3 setters in his short career. so lacko definitely has the edge here

**JNic** · 06-24-10, 09:08 AM

how much did you put on chardy?

**kop1987** · 06-24-10, 09:11 AM

quite a bit.. put all my winnings on chardy, as i saw him progessing well in the 4th set.. hu knows

**kop1987** · 06-24-10, 09:12 AM

omg seems like lacko's serving is owning chardy.. =(

**kop1987** · 06-24-10, 09:19 AM

why chardy suddenly plays so poorly? he is not even winning a small point when lacko is serving? is he known to be like this?

**JNic** · 06-24-10, 09:19 AM

yea 3 straight love holds isn't a good sign

**kop1987** · 06-24-10, 09:21 AM

should i take back some on lacko wads ur advise jnic.. i could get back 1.4 for lacko nw..

**JNic** · 06-24-10, 09:25 AM

it looks like lacko will win. but 1.4 is one of the worst prices for a 5th set on serve 3-3

**kop1987** · 06-24-10, 09:26 AM

so i buy it?? please advise jnic

**JNic** · 06-24-10, 09:27 AM

no don't do it. lacko's first serve is going in above 80%, he can always cool down at any moment. yes i think lacko will win but it's a terrible bet at 1.4 when they are on serve like this

**JNic** · 06-24-10, 09:28 AM

i mean i'm also not even watching the match so my advice could be bad. everything does point to lacko getting the win here - his 5th set experience, serving first, 1st serve% well above 80, chardy's known for choking

**kop1987** · 06-24-10, 09:28 AM

seeing from stats, chardy has 79 unforced error.. and thats alot

**JNic** · 06-24-10, 09:29 AM

yea but he has 80 winners to lackos 43. so he is controlling the majority of the points

**kop1987** · 06-24-10, 09:31 AM

its 4-4 now.. miracle to happen?

**kop1987** · 06-24-10, 09:36 AM

really feel so tempted to cover back on lacko

**JNic** · 06-24-10, 09:40 AM

is it still 1.4?

**JNic** · 06-24-10, 09:40 AM

i mean chardy can easily luck this one out... haha it would help a lot if they had a feed on court 19

**kop1987** · 06-24-10, 09:41 AM

its at 1.44.. at 5-5 it was at 1.57

**kop1987** · 06-24-10, 09:47 AM

now its at 1.8.. should i cover jnic sorry to keep bothering about covering laacko

**JNic** · 06-24-10, 10:34 AM

i hope you took my advice here kop? great luck pulling out that 5th by chardy

**kop1987** · 06-24-10, 10:41 AM

yea.. but i did put a small bit on lacko.. just in case chardy chokes..

i am now on zakopalova

how u see her?

**kop1987** · 06-24-10, 10:43 AM

does zakopolva chokes easily?? she is leading 4-1 now.. just lost her one set..

**JNic** · 06-24-10, 03:11 PM

Originally posted by JNic

YTD 8-6 +2.13u
Pending: Isner -140 5.6u to win 4u - W

2 dogs tomorrow and 2 favs: Dolgopolov +300 i was so close to playing, if he wins i'll be pissed

Chardy +100 - Chardy has the game to match Lacko, Lacko is obviously in better form and pulled off the upset against Baghdatis so he is favorite. A simple 50/50 in my mind with good odds. 2u to win 2u W

Kubot +230 - I'm not sold on Petz being this big a favorite, he played great in the leadup tournies while Kubot lost to Almagro in straights in his only match. Kubot's serve looked good and could pull off the upset here 2u to win 4.6u L

Fognini -135 - Russell is a dud, Fognini is also a dud on grass but he's more of a big match player. Gotta take Fognini here, better serve, baseline game is about equal. 2.7u to win 2u W

Bellucci -145 - Bellucci had a dominant serve in first round, his power clay game quickly translates to grass. Fischer doesn't have the experience and I don't think mentally he's ready to pull off the upset, his game speaks volumes to pull off this upset, with 10 straight grass court sets won but we will see a Bellucci vs Soderling matchup here 2.9u to win 2u W

Originally posted by JNic

Late Add: Isner -120 - 1.2u to win 1u W

YTD 13-7 +9.13u
2 plays tomorrow
Hewitt -275 - 11u to win 4u - call me crazy, i don't usually take juice but this is a lock for me
Brands -105 - 2.1u to win 2u

**noober** · 06-24-10, 03:54 PM

congrats on the good day. I don't see much value in Hewitt though. Monfils is playing much better now.

**JNic** · 06-24-10, 04:31 PM

yea perhaps a went a little too big on hewitt, i'm confident though.
Late Add:
Isner +155 - 2u to win 3.1u - really couldn't help myself, idc if de bakker won junior wimbledon, his grass game is his weakest and i think Isner should have enough stamina to get though this

**Marty Funkhouser** · 06-24-10, 07:39 PM

Originally posted by noober

congrats on the good day. I don't see much value in Hewitt though. Monfils is playing much better now.

Curious as to what makes you say this. He beat Leo Mayer, which isn't really all that impressive and looked hobbled against Beck. Prior to Wimbledon, he lost in the first round at Queen's to Schuettler. Monfils is a nutjob and against lesser opponents, he can get away with half the crap he pulls. Against Hewitt, I don't think he'll be so lucky.

**Marginalis** · 06-25-10, 03:13 AM

Good luck today

**JNic** · 06-25-10, 06:52 AM

late add: this should be cancelled but i'll try
M.Przysiezny/D.sela +220 over Isner/Querrey - 2u to win 4.4u

**JNic** · 06-25-10, 10:04 AM

ah well the isner doubles was cancelled of course, hewitt is up 2-0 so i'm gonna take roddick -475 to cover my isner losses. 9.5u on him
Brands might come through again, playing 2 injured guys in a row and maybe Hanescu isnt 100%
just need hewitt to hold on for this to be a good day

**JNic** · 06-25-10, 02:56 PM

YTD 16-8 +15.13u
PHM looks good at +145, Chardy a +285 dog looks like a great handicap against Ferrer, Fognini could beat Benneteau at +220 but nothing I will probably take. soderling will cruise but i don't have 3-0 in my book and can't take those dumb handicaps.
parlay nadal/soda/murray/serena - 30u to win 10u - a completely unconventional play but need some more breathing room, i'm 110% sure and done with a bookie that voids retirements