+6 is not that great in a best of five match. I would suggest going for the ml if you are backing him. On the other hand, Fed hasn't lost before the semi in grand slam in something like 7 years.
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very true, i have faith in soderling here but its so hard to see federer ever losing and its tough to just back somebody with handicap in a best of 5 with only thoughts of them losing and coveringComment -
With the butt whipping fed gave sod last year,I would think he still thinking about that..Edge soda..Comment -
JNic I agree with the Soderling +6 play. Federer likes to give away sets here and there so I think Soderling can get one off of him. Plus at least one tiebreak in this match is probably likely. I might follow you on this one. Going to think about itComment -
Only problem I have with Soderling is as good as he's played here, he went through a real patch of apathetic tennis in the clay court season. Could have been an injury, could have been boredom, but the point for me is Federer is not bored here and even if it's a blood bath, he wants Nadal in the final here about as badly I think as he has wanted anything in awhile. I think Soderling actually played better in losing a set to Montanes than he did against Cilic who was just awful. The fact that Soderling has taken just one set off Fed in Slams [4] is also a warning sign. Not even sure that +6 is a great play here as Federer has whipped Soderling in some lopsided sets before. Soderling has also played him real tough [Wimbledon]. Point being for me that you just don't know which Soderling you might get. I'd just say go for broke if you think Soderling is gonna keep it close and take the moneyline.
Youzhny has gotten bought down a bit, so I will have to think a little on that although I still think I like the Russian at those juicy odds. No pressure on him whereas Berdych being a favorite could bring out his mental fragility. Federer + Wozniacki would be my parlay choice I think.Comment -
Guys I think Federer might even win in 3, slight chance of 4. I can't see sod winning this match beefcake- how are you giving Sod the edge?
Federer has been waiting for this moment for 2 years. To play Nadal at full strength on his best surface. He's been waiting for this.Cause Sleep is the Cousin of DeathComment -
Plays for tomorrow:
Federer to win 3-1 +248
Petrova/Dementieva over 21.5 games -107
Best of luck tomorrow guys.Comment -
If you parlay all the favs tomorrow you get around +337 as the payout which is great but I am not feeling to confident in any of the matches besides the Federer match. You could convince me that either side would win the match for the other 3 and I would not be surprised. Just something for you guys to think about with that parlayComment -
Staco if you are so sure on Federer winning, why not just hammer the ml? I really want to hammer the ml but I also have to stop. I keep doing that and lucking out, but my luck is gonna run out eventually. The thing that worries me is that Soderling is the one who knocked Nadal out in the semis last year. It could have just been that Nadal was thinking about the finals already and forgot that Soderling is a sold player. However, Federer pounded his ass in the finals. I really like Fed here.Comment -
I know if I bet Federer at -410 or whatever it is now that I will be worrying all match about it. Plus the fact that I saw it for -330 yesterday and it has moved this much makes me realize how good the line could have been. Just going to play the 3-1 sets bet and thats it. Thinking Soderling may take a tiebreak off Federer possibly. Decent payout with the 3-1 setsComment -
5Dimes whole website is down. Been down a little while now. Gotta get my bets in!Comment -
i'm surprised to see schiavone making such a nice run hereComment -
Just getting up now and surprised to see Petrova losing to Dementieva. With all of that line movement and the line being way off in my opinion I figured that Dementieva would lose or would retire from the match. Surprise surprise though the match is three sets as I was saying. 2 Russians equal a 3 set match probably 80% of the time.It's always a good bet.
Fed match has just started.This should be good
Wozniacki loses to Schiavone. Pretty surprised by that especially since it was only in two setsComment -
Please just serve out the match now Elena. Going to go over the total by .5
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Nice work Dementieva. Glad Petrova finished off the match. She was clearly hurtingComment -
Petrova/Dementieva over 21.5 games -107
Break FedererComment -
Federer wins the first set.He only lost 2 points on his service games in the first set hahaComment -
The thing with Soderling is no matter when he is playing he always looks like he doesn't give a shit. Just kinda walks around with that prick look on his face. Think the only way he gets a set off Federer here is if it is one of the first two sets. I think if Federer win's the first two sets it will be lights out for Soderling and a Federer 6-2 or 6-3 third set.
With that being said BP Federer already here.He is playing greatComment -
Bp Soderling take it
CmonComment -
Boom break Soderling
Sucks that it happened right at the start of the set.He has to hold all his service games now hahaComment -
I said it in my thread, two things you can almost always bank on for Russian vs. Russian in WTA. OVERs are a solid shot and underdogs. The fact that the OVER made it by 0.5 should tell you all you need to know about Russian matches.
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Berdych/Youzhny underwayComment -
For sure Eagles. It's always good to be on the right side of the fix. Wish they would send emails or something to everyone to let them know what the plays are in advance. I wouldn't rat them out I would just bet it
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Soderling is about +250 to win each set in this match. If Soderling wins this second set and then Federer wins the third set to go up 2-1, I am going to hedge my 3-1 sets bet by taking Soderling to win the fourth set at +250.Will be a good hedgeComment -
I would also be shocked now if Youzhny won. I had Dementieva & Youzhny today, figuring a split would be the best the Russian Syndicate wanted.
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noooooo raaaaaiiiiiinnnnnn
Hope this rain goes away soon. Dont want any delays
The Youzhny match should be interesting.Really had no idea which way to go in that match. Good price on Youzhny though. Best of luckComment -
Cmon Soda win this setComment -
Berdych has the early breakComment -
Soderling wins the second set. Perfect
Now need Federer to take overComment -
gotta love soderlings game, hope i hit this handicap...Comment -
JNic looks like its you and I in the SBR bracket contest. Going to come down to Djokovic or Youzhny winning their matches today and tomorrowComment -
Berdych saves a bpComment -
o wow i completely forgot about that, am i in the lead? so if youzhny wins i would clinch?Comment -
lol i still cant believe djokovics draw to the semis, hes been playing really badComment -
You and I are tied for first place. We basically have the same players left except I have Djokovic winning his next match and you have Youzhny winning this match today. We both have the same finals so if Djokovic and Youzhny both lose in the quarters then we will end up tied I thinkComment
