Stacocakes French Open Thread

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  • Stacocakes
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 04-10-08
    • 7126

    #666
    Where was this Berdych all those years that I backed him as an outright? He has really matured as a player
    Comment
    • beefcake
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 11-26-09
      • 14029

      #667
      5-3 in the first set,I hope their is blood on the court in Paris this evening and they go 7-6 in every set and play is suspended at 9:30 pm then they go 5 in AM on monday,and the russian chills in the hot tub.Rest baby rest..
      Comment
      • Stacocakes
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 04-10-08
        • 7126

        #668
        haha anything is possible

        Berdych takes the first set

        Hate these assholes with umbrellas in the stands.Makes you wonder if its raining or not and if it's not, why do they have the umbrella?
        Comment
        • Stacocakes
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 04-10-08
          • 7126

          #669
          Berdych is just blowing Murray off the court. If this keeps up its going to be a 3 set match. Murray needs to get more aggressive.This pushing the ball back to the other player is going to get him killed
          Comment
          • EaglesPhan36
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 12-06-06
            • 71662

            #670
            I think Murray needs this set bad. With as well as Berdych's serve is going, it's going to be tough for him to climb out of a 0-2 hole against someone with that sort of weapon. I'm only on the over in this match, so I just need Murray to take a set at some point to give it a chance.
            Comment
            • TT22
              SBR Sharp
              • 09-02-09
              • 409

              #671
              Looks like Murray is going down today.
              Comment
              • EaglesPhan36
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 12-06-06
                • 71662

                #672
                Got the break back. This is far from over. If he can win this set, you get to find out what Berdych is made of because he's never been a good pressure player.
                Comment
                • EaglesPhan36
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 12-06-06
                  • 71662

                  #673
                  Looks like rain got us for the rest of the day. 4-3 Murray with Berdych serving. Don't know that the delay till tomorrow will help or hurt either. Murray had some momentum after getting the break back. Berdych though was still probably in a better groove overall. Will be interesting to see how it shakes out on Monday.

                  Any thoughts on Verdasco? I really like him at -130. Fatigue just doesn't seem to get this guy. Think the price is pretty awesome considering how well he has played this spring.
                  Comment
                  • beefcake
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 11-26-09
                    • 14029

                    #674
                    yeah -130 is an awsome price,only thing is the fatigue factor and the 5 setter to de german.Like you were saying its going to catch up eventually.I know to be a tennis player your cardio has to good,but verdascos might be on pars with nadals right now if shows no ill effect of that 5 setter(which the price being so low reflects),hope its not a trap..
                    Comment
                    • mtneer1212
                      SBR MVP
                      • 06-22-08
                      • 4993

                      #675
                      french is always good for pricey upsets
                      Comment
                      • beefcake
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 11-26-09
                        • 14029

                        #676
                        yes it is
                        Comment
                        • obie
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 03-09-10
                          • 192

                          #677
                          Dont you think Murray will pull himself up now?
                          Comment
                          • tailmypicks
                            SBR MVP
                            • 11-09-09
                            • 1005

                            #678
                            cant win the french without the forehand
                            Baba-e-qaum ne farmaya, too chal me aya
                            Comment
                            • Stacocakes
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 04-10-08
                              • 7126

                              #679
                              Play is going to end shortly for the day. Can't see Murray coming back from this 2 set deficit
                              Comment
                              • Stacocakes
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 04-10-08
                                • 7126

                                #680
                                Berdych gets the break. Surely Murray will want to get out of here as soon as possible because they can't play much longer and he doesn't want to wait around overnight down 2 sets and a break
                                Comment
                                • obie
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 03-09-10
                                  • 192

                                  #681
                                  I dont get it .. Embarassing to be Murray right now ..
                                  Comment
                                  • EaglesPhan36
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 12-06-06
                                    • 71662

                                    #682
                                    I can't believe Murray couldn't even get a set. Thought this was going to be a real competitive back & forth affair. Berdych too good today. 92% on 1st serve is incredible against someone of Murray's return prowess.
                                    Comment
                                    • EaglesPhan36
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 12-06-06
                                      • 71662

                                      #683
                                      Bye bye Murray. Good riddance. Monday for me, two plays without a doubt: Verdasco even with the price falling and Stosur at close to +300 against Henin? Hell yeah.
                                      Comment
                                      • Stacocakes
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 04-10-08
                                        • 7126

                                        #684
                                        When Murray sulks the match is pretty much over unless the other player gives away the match himself, like Gasquet did. Berdych playing in this form will steamroll a sulking Murray and that's what happened.Glad I didn't bet it because I was leaning Murray. That pretty much destroys my sbr brackets though
                                        Comment
                                        • beefcake
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 11-26-09
                                          • 14029

                                          #685
                                          Youre so right about stosur eagles..
                                          Comment
                                          • tailmypicks
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 11-09-09
                                            • 1005

                                            #686
                                            have stosur winning it all in sbr contest
                                            but not gonna play for real
                                            Baba-e-qaum ne farmaya, too chal me aya
                                            Comment
                                            • Stacocakes
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 04-10-08
                                              • 7126

                                              #687
                                              Anyone hear any grumblings about dementieva being injured or fatigued? I am guessing by the line of a +139 dog for Dementieva against Petrova that the line has to be reflecting some sort of injury. Surely Dementieva would be favored over Petrova if both healthy.....
                                              Comment
                                              • Stacocakes
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 04-10-08
                                                • 7126

                                                #688
                                                Guess I should have rephrased that differently. I have heard some discussions about Dementieva being injured or fatigued and barely being able to finish her match today.Just wondering if anyone else has heard any news about this. I am guessing by the line that these rumors could have some truth
                                                Comment
                                                • tailmypicks
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 11-09-09
                                                  • 1005

                                                  #689
                                                  watched dementieva play
                                                  she looked alright
                                                  Baba-e-qaum ne farmaya, too chal me aya
                                                  Comment
                                                  • beefcake
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 11-26-09
                                                    • 14029

                                                    #690
                                                    nice one on stosur
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Stacocakes
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 04-10-08
                                                      • 7126

                                                      #691
                                                      Thing that worries me about Stosur is the same thing I have said before, she wins matches but never against the top players. As far as value though in a +300 line against Henin, there definately is that. Might be worth a shot
                                                      Comment
                                                      • beefcake
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 11-26-09
                                                        • 14029

                                                        #692
                                                        Dammit what a crock..berdych is -185!!

                                                        i can see that coming back down to -150..Are people over reacting to his win vs a shit murray?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • fixxer
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 09-13-05
                                                          • 1877

                                                          #693
                                                          Murray has some big problems mentally...still, an easy 0-3? LOL
                                                          Comment
                                                          • beefcake
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 11-26-09
                                                            • 14029

                                                            #694
                                                            Regardless of my future,I still would be all over the russian
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Stacocakes
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 04-10-08
                                                              • 7126

                                                              #695
                                                              2 russians = 3 set match

                                                              Take the over in the Petrova/Dementieva match
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Stacocakes
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 04-10-08
                                                                • 7126

                                                                #696
                                                                Looking ahead to tomorrow, some initial thoughts:

                                                                Melzer/Gabashvilli.........whatever.Not betting that match

                                                                Ginepri's magical run will end tomorrow. Of course I have been thinking Ginepri would lose every single round so what do I know. Djokovic is just on another level and should take this match in 4 sets. He always likes to drop one for fun and for people to make some gambling profit.....I mean he drops it due to lack of concentration...

                                                                We all know Nadal wins.That match is unbettable

                                                                Verdasco/Almagro is very interesting. I am leaning Almagro because I don't know how much longer Verdasco can go here. He has to be fatigued and throw in the injury concerns that he had in Nice and Almagro might be a good pick here BUT with a career head to head record of 0-3 vs Verdasco I was really hoping to get a better price on Almagro then +113. Will think about this match

                                                                Hantuchova/Jankovic.... Hantuchova won the last two matches the two have played. Head to head in their careers its tied at 3. Interestingly the last two wins by Hantuchova over Jankovic were both this year and both on clay. Was really thinking of taking Jankovic till I saw the two recent wins by Daniela so I might pass on this match.

                                                                Stosur/Henin - As I stated before Stosur plays well against lesser opponents but when the chips are down and she is playing a top women's player she usually loses. Could be worth it to just take a shot at +300 but I really can't see her winning.Would just be a good value play that I was hoping would win. Will think about this match some more but I probably won't bet it.

                                                                Peer/Serena is a no play for me because I have the serena outright but if I didn't I would defintately see some value in the +429 on Peer.Going to pass on the match though

                                                                Will be back later with some plays.Going to think about this for a bit
                                                                Comment
                                                                • beefcake
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 11-26-09
                                                                  • 14029

                                                                  #697
                                                                  Peer is going to win
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • raydog
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 11-07-07
                                                                    • 6984

                                                                    #698
                                                                    wonder if nadal could win any points vs. smitch on clay?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • birdmanweezy
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 04-18-10
                                                                      • 4635

                                                                      #699
                                                                      probally taking hantachova and stouser...loving belluci +10 for the spread 6-4, 6-4, 6-4 nadal....some great betting options tomorrow
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Stacocakes
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 04-10-08
                                                                        • 7126

                                                                        #700
                                                                        Play for Monday:

                                                                        Almagro +118


                                                                        You look at Verdasco's line and you say, "This is to good to be true"....then what happens whenever a bet is to good to be true?It's loses. Going with Almagro tomorrow over Verdasco. Head to head is 3-0 Verdasco but that doesn't matter at this point of the tournament. Verdasco has got to be running on fumes at this point of the tournament. His heavy schedule will surely catch up to him at some point in this French Open and I think this is the match. Verdasco also may be carrying with him an injury from the tournament before the French Open in Nice so that could also come back again when he has to play these difficult five set matches. Going to go with the dog here and see what happens.

                                                                        For the other matches I am going to pass. I see that Stosur's line is now +271 so she is getting bet heavily and that is not surprising. She is in good form and is a great price. I will pass though because Stosur hasn't proved that she can beat the top player's in the big spots.

                                                                        Best of luck tomorrow guys. Let's make some money
                                                                        Comment
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