Stacocakes Madrid Open thread

MUHerd37 · 05-14-10, 05:09 PM

I'm afraid that the break is too early in the set. Exactly what happened in the first set.

Stacocakes · 05-14-10, 05:14 PM

3 bps Murray

Ferrer is just blowing it this service game

Stacocakes · 05-14-10, 05:15 PM

break Murray oh geez

EaglesPhan36 · 05-14-10, 05:20 PM

No worries fellas. If Murray continues to only get 1st serves in half the time, Ferrer will continue to win points off Murray's serve and have break chances.

Stacocakes · 05-14-10, 05:22 PM

bp Ferrer take it

Stacocakes · 05-14-10, 05:23 PM

Geez that was Ferrer's break right there.Can't believe he missed that shot

Stacocakes · 05-14-10, 05:36 PM

2 bps cmon Ferrer

MUHerd37 · 05-14-10, 05:43 PM

Break!!!!!!!!! So many chances and he finally cashed one in. Ferrer serving for the match!!! Come on Ferrer!!!

MUHerd37 · 05-14-10, 05:45 PM

Ferrer Wins!!!!!!!!

Stacocakes · 05-14-10, 05:46 PM

Ferrer wins and the parlay cashes

Most seem to have been on Ferrer here so it was a good win

Stacocakes · 05-14-10, 07:20 PM

Lines out for the semifinals. Federer is -236 over Ferrer and Nadal is -1450 over Almagro

I think Ferrer might be worth a look at +215. Was hoping the odds would be better but what you have to do to beat Federer these days is keep the ball in play as much as possible and Ferrer can do that. His ability to keep returning the ball also puts pressure on Federer to keep the ball in play which he has been having problems doing. Might be worth a chance on Ferrer here.I am going to think about it a bit. Line is surely to go up for Ferrer with all of the public hitting Roger

EaglesPhan36 · 05-14-10, 07:35 PM

Federer was owned Ferrer 10-0, 3-0 on clay. It's either Roger in a parlay with something or nothing in this match for me. No play for the Nadal-Almagro match. Parlay lean is Federer & Venus.

Stacocakes · 05-14-10, 08:12 PM

I think I may pass on the matches tomorrow. Not really feeling any of the plays.Just going to ride the Nadal outright

raydog · 05-14-10, 10:39 PM

little sweat on ferrer eh boyzzz.

Stacocakes · 05-15-10, 10:08 AM

Nadal wins but it sure wasn't easy. Didn't realize this match was on so early,missed it all. Ferrer/Federer is on in about three hours. Since Nadal finished alot earlier today he will have an advantage tomorrow, especially if the Federer match is long. Sounds good to me

Stacocakes · 05-15-10, 10:46 AM

Another day another retirement in tennis. When did this retirement occur?Oh ya right after the first set is completed just like 95% of the other retirements occur. If I was injured during the first set of a match would I retire when I was injured or would I say to myself "Hey I am going to play it out until the first set is over and then retire". Just so happens that most books need to have one set complete for the bets to stand. What a coincidence....... Wouldn't be very profitable for a book if the players retired before the first set was completed and the bets were voided.

All the players know the rules of betting and you have to be very naive if you don't think that. Hopefully the Safarova retirement didn't affect anyone here today.

beefcake · 05-15-10, 11:06 AM

Luckily I had rezai,but ive been on the other side alot as well...

Yesh your right,the players know that and I wouldnt be surprised if the whole WTA and ATP is fixed.Safarova's family most likely laid the farm on rezai..

MUHerd37 · 05-15-10, 11:54 AM

I have Federer beating Ferrer today. Federer vs Nadal is always a great final in any tournament. Especially if it's a major. However, do you think Federer wants to play Nadal in the final in Madrid tomorrow? I'm sure the competitor in him wants to, but I'm not sure the rest of him wants to. Who really wants to play Nadal on clay tho? What is everybody's thoughts on Federer really wanting to play Nadal in a final, on clay, 1 week before the French Open starts?

hels · 05-15-10, 12:04 PM

Feds comments yesterday about clay courters only having to return and not having to be all that great to win on clay should give him some motivation to take out Rafa.

Stacocakes · 05-15-10, 12:26 PM

MUherd Federer definately wants to beat Nadal tomorrow if he makes it to the finals. He beat Nadal at Madrid last year before the french open in 2 sets so he definately has motivation to beat Nadal. What I think you might be getting at is a player maybe not wanting to give away all of his tricks in a non-slam in the tournament before the French Open. It's like a football coach not wanting to show the other team all of their special plays that they will use against them if they meet in the playoffs. I hope for tennis Federer wins today and the Nadal/Federer matchup is renewed again tomorrow. With that being said, I just don't think he will be able to beat Nadal, Rafa is to good on clay and has been in Roger's head his whole career

Stacocakes · 05-15-10, 01:07 PM

Not going to play it but I think Ferrer has a chance here. Federer is an unforced error machine these days if you can get a rally going with him long enough and I think Ferrer is able to do that since he can get to almost every ball. Federer will have to hit harder and more accurate to win the points and may try to hard to hit the perfect shot thus creating errors. Live dog here I think

Stacocakes · 05-15-10, 01:44 PM

bp Federer. He is playing great today

EaglesPhan36 · 05-15-10, 01:53 PM

I have Federer to complete my parlay. This is his to lose, he hasn't cashed any break points yet but through 5 service games - Ferrer has won ONE point, that is amazing. Hopefully he can get a breaker before a potential tie break, but Federer should be able to take the 1st set with the way he is serving.

Stacocakes · 05-15-10, 01:54 PM

Federer gets the break

Looks like he is in good form here.Should be a good final tomorrow

Stacocakes · 05-15-10, 01:55 PM

Eagles I think you will be ok. Federer playing great

Stacocakes · 05-15-10, 02:12 PM

3 bps Ferrer

Stacocakes · 05-15-10, 02:14 PM

Break Ferrer

Stacocakes · 05-15-10, 02:39 PM

Ferrer wins the second set

Stacocakes · 05-15-10, 03:23 PM

Federer wins

Should be a good final tomorrow vs Nadal

EaglesPhan36 · 05-15-10, 03:24 PM

Federer got it done. He just lost it in the 2nd like he's done some times where he goes from God to mortal real quick. Got it back in the 3rd. Should be a good final. Hard to believe it's the first time Rafa & Fed have met since last year here. My first inclination is to look at the OVER if it's 22 or so. Except when he murders Fed at Roland Garros, most of the non-French Open meetings are competitive.

Stacocakes · 05-15-10, 03:39 PM

Nadal has opened at -270

I think Nadal wins this match but I still have the outright for this tournament which is a worse line then this final line. I wasn't expecting Federer in the final here but now that he is I still think Nadal will win this tournament though I was hoping it would have been against someone else so that it would be easier.

EaglesPhan36 · 05-15-10, 03:45 PM

If Federer gets out to about +260 or +270, I might have a go. Still most likely will just do the over.

ji03 · 05-15-10, 04:17 PM

I agree if Federer's price climbs higher I will definitely have a go, but it looks like it is dropping just a tad right now.

Stacocakes · 05-15-10, 11:27 PM

I see some Nadal outrights for the French Open at -180 right now. Wonder what will happen to this number after tomorrow's final. I want to take the -180 but knowing my luck I take it and then he blows out his knee tomorrow and my outright is ruined haha. Will see what happens with it after the match

TennisBabe · 05-15-10, 11:28 PM

-180 right now is huge value. I would jump on it. It opened up at -150 and at last glance I saw it at -250