Stacocakes Romes Masters Series thread

[EaglesPhan36]

Yeah that GGL one over Hewitt might be a good option. Hewitt has pretty much done the same thing in his two clay court tournaments, worked 3 set wins and then lost in straights. GGL buried Chela which was a surprise to me, so I think he's got a shot. Will have to think more on that one, but it sounds pretty good.

[Stacocakes]

Murray cruising in his match

Ferrer having some problems.Its like an atp match.I think 2 breaks each now in the first 8 games

[tankman777]

wow hewitt beats youzhny

[EaglesPhan36]

Ferrer is one of those guys on clay though that can be losing 4-0 and win a set, 7-5. His defensive skills are amazing on this surface.

[EaglesPhan36]

Ljubicic +155. Man I like that one. Quite a few good looking dogs on the board, always scares me since it seems like there is only maybe one day when the dogs bark together in a given week. Don't really see too many chalk parlay options that are worth it, I might actually go with a parlay on two underdogs together. Not sure. O/U numbers will be interesting to see too before I scale my plays in for tomorrow. Good luck brutha!

[Stacocakes]

I'm going to pass on Ljubicic.I lost a big bet on him once on clay vs Fernando Gonzalez and I have just had so much hatred towards him since that bet that I try to pass on his matches all together. Almagro hasn't been playing that well but he is definately the better clay court player here. Good luck on LJubicic if you go in on it.

Here are my plays for the day:

Volandri +127

Garcia-Lopez +143

Line went down on Garcia-Lopez.Pisses me off. Oh well I am going to take him anyways. Good luck on your plays tomorrow guys.

[tailmypicks]

gonna take fellatio lopez +200

[birdmanweezy]

good luck...i like benneteau...lubjic and love garcia-lopez as well

[EaglesPhan36]

Good luck Staco. I decided to lay off Volandri, something inherently dirty about his history. I think he's a good choice, but I decided to sit on Ljubicic & Wawrinka tomorrow. I really like Wawrinka the best, just think his form on the surface is superior to Berdych ... but Berdych certainly is capable at any moment.

[tailmypicks]

MICHAEL LLODRA 3.00
VICTORIA AZARENKA 2.15
YANINA WICKMAYER 2.40
GISELA DULKO 2.70
SHAHAR PEER 3.00

playing these 5 dogs

[Stacocakes]

Volandri +127 Winner
Garcia-Lopez +143 Winner

Good day so far today. Nadal also wins easily to preserve the outright as well. Did you end up taking Wawrinka Eagles?Nice win for him.Tight match it looks like.
Nice hit on Peer and Wikmayer TMP.

[EaglesPhan36]

Yeah. Wawrinka & Ljubicic + the Over in the Isner-Bellucci match. That Berdych-Wawrinka match was what I expected, best match-up of the day - thought Wawrinka had blown it when he got up the mini-break and then choked it and another breaker in the tie break, but he held through.

Nice hits on GGL & Volandri.

[Stacocakes]

Nice call on Wawrinka and Ljubicic Eagles. Did your over in the Isner match hit?25 games in the match I am guessing that it did go barely over

Tsonga wins the first set over Troicki 6-2. Will be interesting to see what he can do here. Not the greatest on clay but he is getting better

Do you guys like anything for tomorrow?

[EaglesPhan36]

I got the over in the Isner-Bellucci match at 22.5. Felt that was a solid number to go over even in two sets which is what happened.

Tomorrow, will be looking at Garcia-Lopez against a tired Verdasco perhaps at the right price, might go OVER on that too. Will wait and see what the Soderling-Wawrinka line is at, but that is one that intrigues me just to see what it is. I'll gladly take Ljubicic as a dog over Cilic if Cilic wins today or really at any reasonable price. Parlay material: Ferrer & Tsonga maybe, assuming Ferrer advances today.

[birdmanweezy]

good calls

[EaglesPhan36]

GGL is +390 against Verdasco, that is one I like quite a bit. Verdasco has played a heavy schedule by getting to consecutive finals in Monte Carlo & Barcelona. Certainly looked sluggish in the 1st set against Bolleli and Bolleli had him dead to rights, but choked hard in that set - still taking him to an epic tie break, 13-11. GGL has looked pretty good so far. If Verdasco's serve falters any, he'll have a legit shot I think.

Cilic looks to be in his 2010 form again today. Rolled in set 1. Tie break loss coming up in 2nd. Headed to a 3rd. Still like Ljubicic against either F.Lopez or Cilic.

[Stacocakes]

I agree with GGL.I am watching a replay of the Verdasco match today and Bolelli should have won that first set but he blew it. Definately worth a price on GGL at those odds

Cilic down a break in the third set.Lopez will be serving it out. I am not surprised really. Typical Cilic. TMP did you take Lopez in the end as a +200 dog?

[Stacocakes]

break point cilic

[Stacocakes]

and Cilic loses. What a dissapointing player. Can never tell what you will get when you bet on him. That's why I stay away

[EaglesPhan36]

Yep. Sound advice. Parlay options tomorrow might include Tsonga, Ferrer, Gulbis or Ljubicic. Can't decide yet. Still a little trigger shy on Gulbis, but he has been solid of late and has a favorable match-up. Want to see where Ferrer's price is against Murray. Realistically, it shouldn't be below -200 on this surface, but I'm thinking books might make it close based on "rankings"

[tailmypicks]

yes sir took him yesterday
great dog day today even the fellatio man won

[EaglesPhan36]

Ferrer at -135. I won't think twice about getting on board with that.

[Stacocakes]

I agree. Ferrer over Murray is the play. I see -139 now. Will likely just rise

[raydog]

yep, i like it too

[BernardMadoff]

I wouldnt count out Volandri.

[Bostonknowledge]

what about Warwinka? Soderling has been that impressive so far this year. Any chance of an upset in this one?

[birdmanweezy]

heres what i like

parlay of tsonga and soderling...... ferrer....and savina in wta

[tailmypicks]

thinking to throw a little something on bellucci

[EaglesPhan36]

Bellucci won't beat Djokovic. He lacks consistency at this stage of his career. He may stick tight for a set and maybe even grab one, but Djokovic gets it done. He's made the final here two years straight, he likes this court.

[Salmon Steak]

I would not be so quick to blow off S. Giraldo. I do like Ferrer here. Best of luck whatever you decide.

[Stacocakes]

Eagles I am so used to seeing your avatar of that guy from the beer commercials haha.Hard to get used to this new caveman guy

Djokovic wins tomorrow.No point in fading him.

Garcia-Lopez +314 over verdasco looks very nice. Verdasco has to be fatigued and really didn't look that good in his match earlier today. I am going to pass on this play though.Hopefully I don't regret that.

Really like Volandri +262 over Gulbis but there is just something that is holding me back from betting it.Not to sure what it is. Usually a player with a big win usually bows out in his next match and I could see that happening here since Gulbis is inconsistant. Going to pass here

Soderling and Tsonga should both win. Would be a decent parlay. I've considered it but I am thinking the same as you guy with regards to Soderling. Wawrinka is definately capable of knocking him off here in this spot.Going to pass on that.

Play for the day:

Only one play for today and that will be Ferrer over Murray.

Ferrer -131

Ferrer is great on clay surfaces and Murray is not.Simple as that.

Best of luck tomorrow guys. Let's make some money

[xXxBallin21xXx]

GL with Ferrer!

[stomptheboard]

ferrer to win 2-0

[obie]

I think murray's serve will have a big fact in this game. Ferrer will a LEAST give af set away, im staying away. Murray wants this! He wants to show that he can beat a claycourter..

[EaglesPhan36]

Good luck Staco. I've got a Gulbis-Ljubicic parlay today. Took a small shot on Garcia-Lopez. He played tough, but Verdasco looks like he's going to win in straights.