EP36's Tennis Talk

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  • gesiii
    Restricted User
    • 02-06-10
    • 88

    #106
    yeah

    nice
    Comment
    • iceminers26
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 10-13-08
      • 15600

      #107
      Eagles

      You still going to do that Russian Roulette you mentioned a week or so back?
      Comment
      • Boner_18
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 08-24-08
        • 8301

        #108
        You didn't make Leo Mayer over Gulbis an official play EP? I know you won that one.
        Comment
        • EaglesPhan36
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 12-06-06
          • 71662

          #109
          Updated Record: 7-13 (-6.15)

          I'm watching to see how these tournaments play out for the Russian Roulette deal. Been busier at work right now, moving offices, so might hold off a bit. Did not have that Mayer play as "official." Berrer didn't make things easy, but a win is a win.
          Comment
          • EaglesPhan36
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 12-06-06
            • 71662

            #110
            Play #21: [ATP - Rotterdam] James Blake -115
            Blake wins or Baghdatis is going to quit today. There seems to be some inside info trading hands around the net that Baghdatis' shoulder tendinitis or whatever it is, is not completely gone. I'll take the shot with the most hated man in tennis betting, but I guy I love to h8.
            Comment
            • sportscash
              Restricted User
              • 01-16-09
              • 2894

              #111
              Tailed you with berrer
              Comment
              • EaglesPhan36
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 12-06-06
                • 71662

                #112


                You must have the greatest luck in life sportscash, tailing one of my FEW winners. Red hot 33% win rate. James Blake, why do I ever back you. I get out and you keep sucking me back in! Rule #1. Don't trust Russians. Rule #2. F*ck James Blake as a favorite.
                Comment
                • EaglesPhan36
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 12-06-06
                  • 71662

                  #113
                  Updated Record: 7-14 (-7.30)

                  Interesting lines tomorrow, should have some more horrible picks that will pay to fade!
                  Comment
                  • sportscash
                    Restricted User
                    • 01-16-09
                    • 2894

                    #114
                    Originally posted by EaglesPhan36


                    You must have the greatest luck in life sportscash, tailing one of my FEW winners. Red hot 33% win rate. James Blake, why do I ever back you. I get out and you keep sucking me back in! Rule #1. Don't trust Russians. Rule #2. F*ck James Blake as a favorite.
                    I wish but it looks like i had some luck there because i didn,t bet blake.
                    Comment
                    • EaglesPhan36
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 12-06-06
                      • 71662

                      #115
                      Play #22: [ATP - San Jose] Bjorn Phau -125
                      Phau is one of those guys who once in awhile will get on a run and make it a little deeper in a tournament than you expect. He walloped Jeremy Chardy who is in miserable form to start 2010, but nonetheless a huge talent. Beranakis has been mostly a challenger level player to this point and beating Ginepri I think is more of a statement about where the American is at now. If Phau can serve anywhere in the neighborhood that he did against Chardy, I like his chances.
                      Comment
                      • Boner_18
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 08-24-08
                        • 8301

                        #116
                        Like the phau play. More importantly agree with your characterization of chardy. Is he on auto fade as a fave?
                        Comment
                        • EaglesPhan36
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 12-06-06
                          • 71662

                          #117
                          I think so until he wins consistently. I really thought he had a chance to be a breakout guy in 2010, break into the Top 20 or so, but he's just been frickin' horrible. I mean losing is one thing, but he's been getting totally rolled by guys he should beat with ease. He's barely winning any games. I can only think he's carrying some sort of injury. That or he joins the growing list of untrustable Frenchies.
                          Comment
                          • Boner_18
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 08-24-08
                            • 8301

                            #118
                            Yeah I bet him consistantly in brisbane and auckland on similar reasoning. Ideed I wrote that he should break through. Oh well cest la vie.
                            Comment
                            • EaglesPhan36
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 12-06-06
                              • 71662

                              #119
                              I am the kiss of death. Phau was up a break in the 1st serving for the set, lost a tie break. Up a break in the 2nd, now on-serve and destined for either a late set choke or tie break loss. I need to just bet opposite of my gut right now. So Michael Russell should be gold today because I was going to go with Malisse for my next pick.
                              Comment
                              • EaglesPhan36
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 12-06-06
                                • 71662

                                #120
                                Bagged & Tagged.
                                Comment
                                • EaglesPhan36
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 12-06-06
                                  • 71662

                                  #121
                                  Play #23: [ATP - San Jose] Michael Russell -105
                                  Reverse the curse and going for title of worst capper on SBR with this pick. I actually would pick Xavier Malisse, but hell maybe he is in a let down spot from beating Stepanek - doubt it since I am off Malisse now. So go Russell. If it loses and my reverseness Fs me in the A, I'll be going on tennis sabatical.
                                  Comment
                                  • EaglesPhan36
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 12-06-06
                                    • 71662

                                    #122
                                    Low and behold, oppo psycho works. Russell wins in straights. Would take Querrey next. So the oppo play is Dent, but I believe oppo plays only serve to straighten you out once. See if the Sam-urai is back on track. Laying off as hitting 1/2 two days in a row feels like I am a f-ing world beater.
                                    Comment
                                    • sportsfan2009
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 11-19-09
                                      • 2063

                                      #123
                                      I do like Dent vs Querrey i do not know why but i like the way dent has been playing he usually does good
                                      Comment
                                      • Jrod124
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 10-31-09
                                        • 5622

                                        #124
                                        yep got some luck too, down double break in the 2nd set and u don't even need a breaker. Weird
                                        Comment
                                        • EaglesPhan36
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 12-06-06
                                          • 71662

                                          #125
                                          Yeah I thought it was going to a 3rd set for sure. Maybe this was what I need to start turning this bullshotola around. Monfils-Youzhny tomorrow is an interesting one. Gonna watch where the line goes tonight. Both are seemingly in good form, although Youzhny hasn't beaten anyone worth a crap yet and narrowly escaped in the 1st round. Leaning to Monfils, but would like a price around -130 or lower. At the current odds, probably a no bet.
                                          Comment
                                          • dlweaver
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 01-28-10
                                            • 3428

                                            #126
                                            Congrats I was on Russell myself
                                            Comment
                                            • RobbReport
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 09-22-09
                                              • 2042

                                              #127
                                              Monfils beat him in Japan, he will probably frustrate him again for a win.
                                              Comment
                                              • Boner_18
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 08-24-08
                                                • 8301

                                                #128
                                                I'm a big monfils backer but he just seems beatable so far this season. Both have injury issues, monfils always and youzhny with a w/drawl in the AO. Definitely gonna blog about this one.
                                                Comment
                                                • RobbReport
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 09-22-09
                                                  • 2042

                                                  #129
                                                  he plays Youzhny pretty hard no matter what so he might go hard and then lay an egg in the next match.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • EaglesPhan36
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 12-06-06
                                                    • 71662

                                                    #130
                                                    Updated Record: 8-15 (-7.55)

                                                    Comment
                                                    • EaglesPhan36
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 12-06-06
                                                      • 71662

                                                      #131
                                                      Play #24: [ATP - Brazil Open] Lukasz Kubot +220
                                                      It's all about the serve. If Kubot's is working, he will give Montanes a run. Montanes has never done overly well at this tournament, so despite his better clay court game at this point, I'm giving the Pole a decent shot today. The over at 22 also looks like a solid shot, but if the serve isn't working - Montanes could potentially end it in two or vice versa for all I know. So I'll stick with the money line.

                                                      Comment
                                                      • beefcake
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 11-26-09
                                                        • 14029

                                                        #132
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Boner_18
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 08-24-08
                                                          • 8301

                                                          #133
                                                          Also on Kubot, though I got it about 36hrs ago at +175...
                                                          Comment
                                                          • beefcake
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 11-26-09
                                                            • 14029

                                                            #134
                                                            the polish rifle is smokin!!!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • EaglesPhan36
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 12-06-06
                                                              • 71662

                                                              #135
                                                              I think my Michael Russell reverse pick may have saved my tennis capping season.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • EaglesPhan36
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 12-06-06
                                                                • 71662

                                                                #136
                                                                Updated Record: 9-15 (-5.35)

                                                                Good way to make a dent into the massive negative unit total that I got myself into. Kubot wiped the court with Montanes: 6-2, 6-2.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Boner_18
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 08-24-08
                                                                  • 8301

                                                                  #137
                                                                  Good work on Kubot. Wish I had gotten a better line.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • EaglesPhan36
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 12-06-06
                                                                    • 71662

                                                                    #138
                                                                    Play #25: [ATP - Brazil Open] Igor Andreev -165
                                                                    Interesting match-up between Andreev and Kubot. Kubot has been on fire in this tournament and in-general to start of 2010. Andreev has flashed some decent form in this tournament with only a little hiccup in the 2nd round having to go three sets to win. Otherwise, he's dropped just 6 games in his two other matches. Going with Andreev here as I believe fatigue may catch Kubot who played two matches yesterday and a double match. He did not spend an overwhelming amount of time on court, but his serve has to be a solid weapon and fatigue often throws that off first. Andreev's 1st serve has been a big winner this week and I think if it stays that way, he outlasts Kubot in this one.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • EaglesPhan36
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 12-06-06
                                                                      • 71662

                                                                      #139
                                                                      Play #26: [Parlay] Ferrero/Roddick +113
                                                                      Roddick owns the San Jose tournament and showed his nerve again with the rally against Querrey. Verdasco just hasn't proven reliable in finals at this stage of his career. JCF takes on the Polish surprise, Lukasz Kubot. Kubot is the breakout player of 2010, period. Weird to find a player at age 27 being that sort, but he certainly is playing the part. Unfortunately today, JCF is his opponent. Looking healthy and rarely outclassed on dirt, looking for Ferrero to snag his first title of the season today.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • EaglesPhan36
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 12-06-06
                                                                        • 71662

                                                                        #140
                                                                        JCF rolling as Kubot finally ran out of gas. That guy is gonna have to make a choice if he keeps having singles success on whether he needs to foresake some doubles matches in the name of perhaps having a chance to continue singles success. Let's see if A-Rod bones the 2nd leg of this parlay now.
                                                                        Comment
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