yisman's ATP/WTA picks thread

[yisman]

Not sure when this is going to be played, but...

ATP: Isner over Simon +120, risk 1 unit

[Regul8er]

Is it true....the rain has stopped and players are now getting warmed up?

[Demonata]

Not sure when this is going to be played, but... ATP: Isner over Simon +120, risk 1 unit

Good to see the USA support man.

[BetWhisperer]

Nadal's price has dropped (got better) ever since he cramped during that press conference. Do you think there is value on betting him and Djokovic to win, since you can get Nadal @ 6.5 or better. Also, what do you think of Tsonga to beat fed again?

It's funny (weird) I saw Nadal on Letterman last week; before the US open had started, and Letterman asked him, " Do you ever get cramps?" and Nadal said "No, I guess I'm lucky" or something like that.

[yisman]

I assume you don't mean Nadal at 6.5. I would bet Nadal, I think, at the lower price.

I would bet Tsonga given the right price.

[yisman]

End of the road for the Americans, IMO.

ATP parlay: Nadal -455 and Murray -588, risk 2 units to win .85 units

[Demonata]

End of the road for the Americans, IMO. ATP parlay: Nadal -455 and Murray -588, risk 2 units to win .85 units

Man tomorrow one has to win.

[Optional]

End of the road for the Americans, IMO.

Agree 100%. But I'm greedier than you. Think they will both lose 3-0, without a tiebreaker.

A.Murray Games Won* -5½ -105
R.Nadal Games Won* -5 -115

+265

[QuangX]

Question, Is under 38.5 a smart play? for ISner vs Murray?

[TheCommish]

Agree 100%. But I'm greedier than you. Think they will both lose 3-0, without a tiebreaker.

A.Murray Games Won* -5½ -105
R.Nadal Games Won* -5 -115

+265

I like your thinking... I'm booked for:

Rafael Nadal 3-0 @ +110
Andy Murray 3-0 @ -138

+262

[yisman]

Agree 100%. But I'm greedier than you. Think they will both lose 3-0, without a tiebreaker.

A.Murray Games Won* -5½ -105
R.Nadal Games Won* -5 -115

+265

Yeah, would agree with taking the handicap as well.

Question, Is under 38.5 a smart play? for ISner vs Murray?

Pretty simple bet when isner is involved. Will there be three sets played or will it be 4 or more?

Essentially the same thing in this case.

[yisman]

ATP: Simone Bolelli +11 (+120) over Rafael Nadal, risk 2 units to win 2.4

[yisman]

ATP: Gasquet over Murray +150, risk .5 units
ATP: Gasquet/Murray OVER 38.5 games (-115), risk 4.6 units (Heritage)

[JNic]

ATP: Gasquet over Murray +150, risk .5 units
ATP: Gasquet/Murray OVER 38.5 games (-115), risk 4.6 units (Heritage)

Wow that would suck if Gasquet won in the under! Good pick nonetheless hope it hits

[yisman]

yeah it would. I liked Gasquet but bet the over big because of the great price.

[Optional]

6-1. :\ gonna be tough to cash in less than 5 now.

[yisman]

amazing murray only holding once in a set

[yisman]

Gasquet=flake

he's folded up the tents and is vigorously waving his french surrender flag now

should retire

[yisman]

well, that was brutal

ATP: Federer/Del Potro Under 40½ (-115) games, risk 2.3 units

[yisman]

Not doing so well here.

I'll post my bets from Heritage and Bovada.


#1) Sport : Tennis Other Sports
Selection : D. Ferrer (Sets) 6/6/2012 7:00AM - (PST) Spread +2½ -950 for Game



#2) Sport : Tennis Other Sports
Selection : N. Almagro (Games) 6/6/2012 7:00AM - (PST) Spread +8½ -105 for Game



#3) Sport : Tennis Other Sports
Selection : N. Almagro (Games)/R. Nadal (Games) 6/6/2012 7:00AM - (PST)

Single #256152002
Tennis - ATP Props (Prop) Moneyline
If either player retires before the 1st set is completed then the event will be settled as no action.
Almagro, N vs Nadal, R - 1st Set Winner
Almagro, N (1st Set) +700 Jun 06/12@09:00a
Competitor: Nadal, R (1st Set)

Single #256151910 Tennis - ATP Props (Prop) Total If either player retires before the match is completed then the event will be settled as no action. Ferrer, D vs Murray, A - Total Games Played Over Games vs. Under Games Under 39½ (-115) Jun 06/12@09:00a

[yisman]

oh yeah, and I obviously have to do Almagro ML, regardless of Nadal's dominance over Almagro.

Almagro+clay+over 10/1 odds=auto-bet


Almagro +1600 ML, risk .5 units

[baskets]

u serious w/ Almgro? I think anything anti-Nadal will end up a loser. no offense

[yisman]

Single #256158520
Tennis - All tournaments for men (Game) Moneyline
If either player retires before the match is completed then the event will be settled as no action.
ATP - Men's Singles - French Open - Mens
Ferrer, D -180 Jun 06/12@10:20a
Competitor: Murray, A

[yisman]

u serious w/ Almgro? I think anything anti-Nadal will end up a loser. no offense

over just cashed, Almagro handicap just cashed.

[yisman]

5 dimes offering nadal -9700, wish I had more funds to bet on that.

[zilchy]

over just cashed, Almagro handicap just cashed.

Congrats on the win man but that shit was fishy if you ask me. Both lines off by half a point. Almagro didn't play well at all but Nadal kept him in that first set by feeding him short balls for winners and putting no pressure on his serve. No more betting anything involving Nadal for me.

[yisman]

lost ferrer total by a half a game. Ferrer almost had the 2nd set and almost had the break on Murray to win the final set 6-1. Total: 40 games

[yisman]

Single #256523663
Tennis - ATP Props (Prop) Moneyline
If either player retires before the match is completed then the event will be settled as no action.
Djokovic, N vs Nadal, R - Most Aces
Djokovic, N -140 Jun 10/12@09:00a
Competitor: Nadal, R



at Bovada

risk 14 units

Bovada rejecting my CC right now

[Optional]

Nice odds. -185 now at 5D. GL

[yisman]

was going to try another CC this morning but bovada moved it to -175

oh well

[yisman]

From Heritage:

#1) Sport : ATP Match Betting Tennis
Selection : J. Tsonga 11/5/2012 11:55AM - (PST)


Spread +1½ +155 sets

risk 4 units



#2) Sport : ATP Match Betting Tennis
Selection : J.W Tsonga (Sets) 11/5/2012 11:55AM - (PST) Spread -1½ +950 for Game


.2 units

#3) Sport : ATP Match Betting Tennis
Selection : N. Djokovic (Games)/J.W Tsonga (Games) 11/5/2012 11:55AM - (PST) Total Points OVER 21½ -120 for Game

.6 units



#4) Sport : ATP Match Betting Tennis
Selection : J.W Tsonga (Games) 11/5/2012 11:55AM - (PST) Spread +4½ -110 for Game

6.6 units

[yisman]

Adding Tsonga ML (1 vice and DSI have +385)

MU [4504] J. TSONGA +385 (N. DJOKOVIC vrs J. TSONGA)

risk 3 units

[PharaohUB]

Any particular reason you like Tsonga so much?

[mrpooh]

wow, your picks suck.

[5mike5]

^^^^^

says the troll with no posted plays himself