yisman's ATP/WTA picks thread

[himeshforex]

I marked this thread way back because you were winning with dogs. A -5000 fave? That's Crazylou territory.

look at the no. of badges on his siggy,

hes been there and seen it , dogs are dogs at the end of the day !!

[JBT]

Who you on tomorrow? Djokovic?

[yisman]

Good price in SBR Book.

D YOUNG -300 (P CAPDEVILLE vrs D YOUNG), risk 3 units

[yisman]

WTA: Suarez Navarro over K.Bondarenko +130, risk 2.5 units
WTA: Medina Garrigues over Begu +118, risk 2 units

[Optional]

Like those 2. Going to tail and parlay them for +377

[yisman]

I was thinking about parlaying but didn't bother. I'll do that now.

[yisman]

ATP: Ramos over Mannarino -130, risk 5 units (DSI)

[cobalt king]

How do you feel about bonderanko

[iMxth3xbossx5000]

Dude I HATE Bondarenko in this situation. I know you weren't asking me but I been saying it over and over in different threads, why in the hell is Dolonts only -125? Bondarenko been playing like trash, bad year so far and Dolonts seems pretty strong on the hard surface this yr

[cobalt king]

Thanks for the advice man

[yisman]

Sorry, went to sleep after the Ramos pick.

[iMxth3xbossx5000]

Good call on Ramos. Looking to get 1 more pick for the day yisman.. I'm thinking either Donald Young at -175 or G. Muller at -115

[yisman]

Women's in about two hours:

• 7/19/2011 2:00 AM WTA Tennis 311 N.Khrisanova Games Won* +6½ +120 vs T.Mikadze Games Won, risk 2 units
• 7/19/2011 2:00 AM WTA Tennis 334 Aravane Rezai* -1545 vs Kamilla Farhad, risk 20 units (parlay with other stuff if too chalky)

N.Khrisanova +820, risk .5 units

Rezai -8.5 games (-136), risk 1.36 units

[yisman]

Good prices at Bodog on Anderson, Blake, and Lu.

https://sports.bodog.eu/sports-betting/tennis-atp.jsp

I bet them all, alone and in parlays. Also did a parlay including Muller.

[yisman]

WTA: Chang over A.Radwanska +1150, risk .5 units

[iMxth3xbossx5000]

If Chang wins, I'm shooting myself... However, she won't. Taking her is as good as throwing your money away.

[yisman]

Nope.

[iMxth3xbossx5000]

You're taking Chang over Radwanska.... It doesn't make sense. It's not logical..

Do you have any reason for this?

[iMxth3xbossx5000]

If you want to take a decent sized underdog that even remotely stands a chance, at least takes Daniela Hantuchova at +210... She's a very good player, but Sharapova is better but if you want an underdog, thats a play you should be looking at.... not one like Chang over Randwanska LOL

[yisman]

Yes, my reason is that she has better than a 9% chance of winning.

If you don't like big underdogs, than this is not the thread for you.

[iMxth3xbossx5000]

What happened to this match anyway?? It was supposed to happen this afternoon then got postponed or something, now it's not showing on the sportsbooks or on the schedules... You know when the match got rescheduled to?

[yisman]

It's supposed to start soon. Within the half hour.

[iMxth3xbossx5000]

Did Chang actually just rally from 5-2 down to get to 5-4? 2 straight games for Chang now threatening to bring it 5 games apiece? Jeez

[iMxth3xbossx5000]

Are my actually seeing this correctly? Radwanska struggling in the 1st set to win 6-4 and getting dominated in the 2nd set by Chang? Wow, just wow... She's so much better then this to lose to a nobody like Chang. She better win the 3rd set.

[iMxth3xbossx5000]

Gotta say yisman, I'm sure glad Radwanska won the first set. She'd be toast right now if she didn't... Chang's taking the 2nd one.

[yisman]

Kicking myself for not taking spread, but 5 Dimes for some reason wouldn't offer a spread on that match.

All my other books only offer tennis MLs.

[iMxth3xbossx5000]

yisman, do you think Chang can actually win this whole thing? I mean, you took the game because there was something that lead you to believe Chang could actually beat Radwanska, but not enough to go big on it. With even a slight chance Chang might win, who do you really think will win this match?

[iMxth3xbossx5000]

Wow Chang just won the 2nd set. Heading for a 3rd set now. Unbelievable

[iMxth3xbossx5000]

I'm gonna be so fukkin pissed if this bitch Chang costs me my $500 parlay

[yisman]

yisman, do you think Chang can actually win this whole thing?

Win the match? Of course I think she can win the match.

I mean, you took the game because there was something that lead you to believe Chang could actually beat Radwanska, but not enough to go big on it. With even a slight chance Chang might win, who do you really think will win this match?

I think it's more likely Radwanska wins, but Chang has a chance.

I didn't go big on it because it's hard to bring myself to go big on large underdogs. I place small bets and have a chance to make a nice profit if it comes through.

Pretty much the premise behind this entire thread is taking underdogs, often big underdogs. I pick my spots. I developed such a underdog strategy that a guy even got annoyed when I made a few chalk bets, even though they won fairly easily.

[iMxth3xbossx5000]

Win the match? Of course I think she can win the match.


I think it's more likely Radwanska wins, but Chang has a chance.

I didn't go big on it because it's hard to bring myself to go big on large underdogs. I place small bets and have a chance to make a nice profit if it comes through.

Pretty much the premise behind this entire thread is taking underdogs, often big underdogs. I pick my spots. I developed such a underdog strategy that a guy even got annoyed when I made a few chalk bets, even though they won fairly easily.

And I won't deny the fact you've done a great job picking underdogs as well. Props to you bro. I've been in and out of your thread and you've done pretty well. I did think you were a little crazy for taking Chang over Radwanska, but I can never deny you always have a reasoning behind your picks. Here, Chang managed to tie up the set at 1 apiece so it was close. Radwanska not playing games here in the 3rd set though, she's absolutely wiping the floor with Chang LOL, I love it. I feel much better now. Just waiting on this match with Jovanovski and if she wins I'll be perfect.. Just 1 more match to sweat out. I'm not even worried about Wawrinka tomorrow, he's guaranteed to win.

[yisman]

WTA: Kirilenko over S.Williams +620, risk .5 units
WTA: Kirilenko +6 games (-115), risk 1.15 units

[Shifty107]

You like stosur today yisman. I think we are getting decent odds on her.

[yisman]

Kirilenko forces three sets and covers!

Shifty, I don't have a good read on the Stosur matchup. Lisicki is favored, but not by much. I think I'll pass.

[yisman]

WTA: Dulko over Date-Krumm +150, risk 2 units