Moar Threads? Moar Picks

[fitguy67]

Thanks.

Bouchard winning streak alert!?!?

She isn't playing a Romanian next by any chance, is she?

she's not too popular with the czechs either (nor the entire eastern-european world)...stunned, spoiled "world revolves around me" twat should not have been invited back onto the fed-cup team this year...but after pulling the same horseshit twice (and trying to pass it off as "superstition" or-even worse-"principle")...and having it backfire on her twice...SMH@spoiled brats

comforting thought...Halep is only slightly older and will be kicking her ass for years to come (with added incentive to "twist the knife" score-wise...on behalf of the snub to her country last month and Genie's class-less demeanor towards her during last Wimbledon SF, when Simona was trying to battle through an injury)

[Hardcoar]

I'm very late, but there isn't much interest on the cards today, IMO.

Jankovic 2-1 @6+ might be worth a look, as well as Bellucci @ 20+ or any variation thereof (Djokovic 2-1; spread, over etc etc)

[Hardcoar]

Zverev @ 4.6 – 5 units

[fitguy67]

HC...good hit on Zverev...

you still churning away at the value-finding mill?...

qualies and early-rounds at a slam coming up...nice to have the motivation-thing out of the equation for a change

[Hardcoar]

My bad; that should be reading "Zverev 2-1". Anything else would be presumptious, hah!

I just have not been spending much time at all on tennis for the past few days, if nothing else these qualies take a lot of time.

On a side note, what the penetrate is Pereira doing in qualifying??

[Hardcoar]

Only ones I really like today are:

Fucsovics @ 2.6+, Trungelliti @ 3.25+, Saville @ 3.75++, Lamasine @ 3, Arnaboldi @ evens, Jung @ 7.

[Hardcoar]

Jung @ 8.8

[Hardcoar]

Vinci @ 4.5 – 10 units

[Hardcoar]

Such a pity Kerber didn't tank instead...

[Hardcoar]

Some bets I like for today:

Lorenzi 2-1 @ 4+
Stosur 2-1 @ 4+
Mayer @ 2.1+; 2-1 @ 4.5+
Sousa @ 3.5+; 2-1 @ 7+

Thoughts:

Stosur ML @ 1.4 is also attractive, but you can never trust her to win in straights, and certainly not in a final against the albino home-girl. Mladenovic has had a series of free wins in this tournament, but wasn't bad lately or in the earlier rounds of this tournament by any means and is still a threat. With that in mind, this is a match that I would be surprised if Stosur ended up losing

Mayer is the clear favorite here. I have no idea what people are thinking making him more of an underdog than he should be the favorite. The only way Thiem would ever be favorite here is if there were some sort of guarantee of him close to GOAT-ing; let's just say there isn't. In spite of this, we're likely to go three in Geneva, not least considering the notorious choking tendencies of the players, both of whom have been looking good in this tournament. Mayer in particular has been impressive. Also, Jizzner jizzed his pants yesterday – suffice to say that the American Pig won about 22% of his 2:nd servie points.

Somehow defying the laws of time, space and the WTA themselves, this is a final with an even greater choke-factor than that of the aforementioned one. Mainly because of this, Bellucci is in my opinion being overrated and should be closer to the @1.55 area. While the Brazilian has been delivering as more or less expected this week, Sousa has been in (his limited) prime form, and never passes on the opportunity to vulture another title with his limited game.

[Hardcoar]

Sousa @ 3.7 – 5 units

[Hardcoar]

Mayer @ 2.24 – 10 units
Mayer 2-1 @ 5.6 – 5 units

[Alex405]

Mayer @ 2.24 – 10 units
Mayer 2-1 @ 5.6 – 5 units

I do not quite understand is prediction for the one who loses?

[ManeOnFire]

Can TD beat Fernando?

[Hardcoar]

He can, but I'd be very surprised if he did this match. If anything, Verdasco @ 1.15+ is value to me unless there is some concern I'm unaware of. I'm not betting it though.

[Hardcoar]

At similar odds, I much prefer Tiafoe @5.5+

[Hardcoar]

Bemelmans 1:st @ 2.12 – 3 units

[Hardcoar]

Lisicki 2-1 @ 4.6 – 2 units

[Hardcoar]

Tiafoe @ 6.2 – 2 units

[ManeOnFire]

Thx didnt bet it considering Verdasco showed up last year and would expect the same again.

He can, but I'd be very surprised if he did this match. If anything, Verdasco @ 1.15+ is value to me unless there is some concern I'm unaware of. I'm not betting it though.

[Hardcoar]

Basilashvili @ 4.7 – 5 units

[Hardcoar]

Torro-Flor @ 15 – 5 units

[Hardcoar]

Istomin @ 5.5 – 10 units

[Hardcoar]

Zheng @ 3.2 – 5 units

[Hardcoar]

How unfortunate.

[Hardcoar]

Nieminen @ 100 – 2 units

[Hardcoar]

Rogers @ 4.1 – 5 units

[kenz]

Nieminen @ 100 – 2 units

You are the best, HC

[Hardcoar]

Bets I'm liking for tomorrow presuming approximately current market odds:

Cilic ML; Cilic 1:st
Chardy ML; Chardy 1:st
Gasquet ML; Gasquet 1:st

Pennetta 2-1
Stephens ML; Stephens 1:st
Goerges ML
Van Uytvanck ML
Kvitova 2-1

[Hardcoar]

Gasquet @ 29 – 4 units

[Hardcoar]

Stephens @ 6.4 – 5 units

Hedging up a set or more is advised.

[Hardcoar]

Van Uytvanck @ 2.08 – 10 units

[Hardcoar]

Gasquet @ 34 – 2 units

[krenwinkle]

did you hedge the stephens?

[Hardcoar]

No, I did not like the odds enough. Moreover, for the purposes of this thread (as mentioned time and time again, before) I never hedge.