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  • Hardcoar
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 02-17-13
    • 15606

    #526
    Klizan is (a) great (play) unless he's still hampered by his injury. Look into that before placing any wayer. If the risk (uncertainty) is greater than the reward to you then simply do not bet it.

    I sincerely doubt Arnaboldi pulls the win, but the spread does hold some appeal to me at 6/6.5 iirc. I would rather abstain.

    Queerey is worth a small try at these odds. Konga 2-1 might be a better option though.

    I think Kohlschreiber destroys Anderson, and if anything he is value at close to @1.5. Consider (Kohlschreiber covering – to eliminate any remaining, albeit slight, risk of confusion) the spread there! A future on Kohl could prove be a very worthwhile investment given this draw, IMO.

    Much as it is with Klizan, the case is with Barthel. She has been bothered (supposedly, going by recent results) by some vaginal illness ever since Charleston. Make the same consideration here. I would rather not bet either one of these but to be honest Klizan looks a great deal better.

    That's all I know or opine on those plays, and I really have not done proper looking through Tuesday's card yet, so forgive me if I am preemptively passive. Do feel free to pose any questions and I will answer according to my perceived ability.

    My recommendations with regards to the above matches specifically, in short:

    Klizan 2-1, Konga 2-1, Kohlschreiber ML.
    Comment
    • picopico101
      SBR Sharp
      • 05-28-14
      • 390

      #527
      I like Kohlschreiber. But I doubt it a little bit. because He doesn't fight against a big server lately.
      Comment
      • Hardcoar
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 02-17-13
        • 15606

        #528
        How klooless am I?
        Comment
        • Hardcoar
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 02-17-13
          • 15606

          #529
          Jankovic 2-1 @ 4.7 – 3 units
          Comment
          • Hardcoar
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 02-17-13
            • 15606

            #530
            Gasquet 2-1 @ 6.4 – 5 units
            Comment
            • sluggy1616
              SBR MVP
              • 07-21-13
              • 1317

              #531
              Originally posted by Hardcoar
              How klooless am I?
              I didn't see any bets made by you on these leans. Your disciplined and bet on what you do well. Wish I was the same
              Comment
              • Hardcoar
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 02-17-13
                • 15606

                #532
                I've made lots of live bets today, but no I haven't even touched any of the matches I commented in my reply to Fit.
                Comment
                • Hardcoar
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 02-17-13
                  • 15606

                  #533
                  Will be on this huge but with late wager, so in the mean time I urge everyone reading to go big on Lee-roy Jenkins @ 4.1++
                  Comment
                  • Hardcoar
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 02-17-13
                    • 15606

                    #534
                    Niki @ 5.7 – 5 units
                    Last edited by Hardcoar; 05-12-15, 09:56 PM. Reason: Corrected odds from 5.9 to 5.7
                    Comment
                    • Vinnie Paz
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 03-27-12
                      • 12177

                      #535
                      The hell is lee Roy Jenkins? Sorry but I am not "hip" to the internet slang
                      Comment
                      • Hardcoar
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 02-17-13
                        • 15606

                        #536
                        Originally posted by Vinnie Paz
                        The hell is lee Roy Jenkins? Sorry but I am not "hip" to the internet slang

                        https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hooKVstzbz0&t=1m22s

                        P.S. Jarmere Jenkins.
                        Comment
                        • SirtySree
                          SBR MVP
                          • 12-19-13
                          • 2370

                          #537
                          Jarmere Jenkins

                          I was thinking about it since apparently Jenkins played well last match and Lu hasn't been very good of late. That being said, don't think I could ever go huge on Jenkins who can simply go from looking great one match to looking like an amateur the next.
                          Comment
                          • Hardcoar
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 02-17-13
                            • 15606

                            #538
                            I realize that risk, but he was playing incredibly well against JPS overall, and surely he'll be very motivated to build on that in this weak ass challenger field (disregarding Lu who obviously has game but looked awful against Saville and has been shit recently). If the two players perform anywhere near their most recent level this should be a comfortable win.
                            Comment
                            • ManeOnFire
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 05-13-14
                              • 851

                              #539
                              Originally posted by SirtySree
                              Jarmere Jenkins

                              I was thinking about it since apparently Jenkins played well last match and Lu hasn't been very good of late. That being said, don't think I could ever go huge on Jenkins who can simply go from looking great one match to looking like an amateur the next.
                              I want a piece of the pie. Is this your reasoning Hardcoar? Did you see him against JPS?
                              Comment
                              • felix_felicus7
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 04-19-13
                                • 175

                                #540
                                Hopefully Leroy can jag a break pt soon HC! What price/units did you end up investing?
                                Comment
                                • Hardcoar
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 02-17-13
                                  • 15606

                                  #541
                                  About 20 units @ 5.9 after Lu held the first game of the match.
                                  Comment
                                  • Hardcoar
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 02-17-13
                                    • 15606

                                    #542
                                    I hedged the stake back when Lu hit about @ 1.8, so I can't complain too much, but it's a pity he couldn't keep it up towards the end of 3:rd.
                                    Comment
                                    • felix_felicus7
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 04-19-13
                                      • 175

                                      #543
                                      Not a bad effort from jenkins, as lu is a very solid pro imo. You bring up an interesting pt HC - I reckon once you trade back your original stake, the original bet shouldn't count against you in your gradings?
                                      Comment
                                      • Hardcoar
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 02-17-13
                                        • 15606

                                        #544
                                        This thread does not reflect live bets in any way. I never hedge for the purposes of this thread. The Jenkins pick has never been part of this thread, which is why I posted in advance so as to allow those so inclined to tail me. The liquidity pre-math is an issue in some cases, e.g this one.

                                        Furthermore, as far as hedging goes, I typically hedge to assure initial stake back if original odds are significantly higher than hedging options (such as @6 as opposed to @ ~2.4 at the time of hedging), and only ever hedge entirely (or extremely; reversing my position) if I consider the given odds significant value at the time.
                                        Comment
                                        • Hardcoar
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 02-17-13
                                          • 15606

                                          #545
                                          Liking Ebden @ 3.5++ a great deal as well and will be big on that, but not for the purposes of this thread, once again just to be exceedingly clear.
                                          Comment
                                          • felix_felicus7
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 04-19-13
                                            • 175

                                            #546
                                            Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                            This thread does not reflect live bets in any way. I never hedge for the purposes of this thread. The Jenkins pick has never been part of this thread, which is why I posted in advance so as to allow those so inclined to tail me. The liquidity pre-math is an issue in some cases, e.g this one.

                                            Furthermore, as far as hedging goes, I typically hedge to assure initial stake back if original odds are significantly higher than hedging options (such as @6 as opposed to @ ~2.4 at the time of hedging), and only ever hedge entirely (or extremely; reversing my position) if I consider the given odds significant value at the time.
                                            Noted HC - exceedingly thorough & crystal. GL with all pre-match thread piks + other wagers tonite
                                            Comment
                                            • Hardcoar
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 02-17-13
                                              • 15606

                                              #547
                                              In case it interests anyone, I'll list what I like today, because there is a lot and I like it all a lot!

                                              Goafer 2-1 @ 5+
                                              Fognini 2-1 @ 5+
                                              Ilhan @ 20++
                                              Watson @ 4+
                                              Wozniacki @ 1.85+
                                              V. Williams 2-1 @ 4.4+
                                              Dulgheru 2-1 @ 7.4+
                                              McHale @ 3.75++
                                              Diyaz @ 2.3+

                                              Wagers sure to follow...
                                              Last edited by Hardcoar; 05-13-15, 04:46 AM.
                                              Comment
                                              • Hardcoar
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 02-17-13
                                                • 15606

                                                #548
                                                Copil @ 3.25 – 5 units
                                                Comment
                                                • Hardcoar
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 02-17-13
                                                  • 15606

                                                  #549
                                                  Mchale @ 3.95 –2 units
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Hardcoar
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 02-17-13
                                                    • 15606

                                                    #550
                                                    Diyaz @ 2.5 – 10 units
                                                    Comment
                                                    • lucasdawg
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 02-19-13
                                                      • 3399

                                                      #551
                                                      like diyaz also, Bouchard hasnt impressed on clay.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • lucasdawg
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 02-19-13
                                                        • 3399

                                                        #552
                                                        what you think about azarenka v woz?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Hardcoar
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 02-17-13
                                                          • 15606

                                                          #553
                                                          I think Wozniacki wins convincingly. Please refer to post #547.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • lucasdawg
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 02-19-13
                                                            • 3399

                                                            #554
                                                            oo thanks! missed out on mchale off too a good start
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Hardcoar
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 02-17-13
                                                              • 15606

                                                              #555
                                                              Dulgheru 2-1 @ 8.6 – 5 units
                                                              Comment
                                                              • ManeOnFire
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 05-13-14
                                                                • 851

                                                                #556
                                                                Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                                                Dulgheru 2-1 @ 8.6 – 5 units
                                                                5-5 I would definitely bet that Dulgheru ends up winning at this point.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • krenwinkle
                                                                  SBR Hustler
                                                                  • 05-13-15
                                                                  • 76

                                                                  #557
                                                                  Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                                                  Dulgheru 2-1 @ 8.6 – 5 units
                                                                  Nice cash!

                                                                  5-5 40-0 up serving for match and TB 6-1 up thank god it finally cashed
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Hardcoar
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 02-17-13
                                                                    • 15606

                                                                    #558
                                                                    Thanks.

                                                                    Bouchard winning streak alert!?!?

                                                                    She isn't playing a Romanian next by any chance, is she?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • fitguy67
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 03-13-11
                                                                      • 5082

                                                                      #559
                                                                      Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                                                      In case it interests anyone, I'll list what I like today, because there is a lot and I like it all a lot!

                                                                      Goafer 2-1 @ 5+
                                                                      Fognini 2-1 @ 5+
                                                                      Ilhan @ 20++
                                                                      Watson @ 4+
                                                                      Wozniacki @ 1.85+
                                                                      V. Williams 2-1 @ 4.4+
                                                                      Dulgheru 2-1 @ 7.4+
                                                                      McHale @ 3.75++
                                                                      Diyaz @ 2.3+

                                                                      Wagers sure to follow...
                                                                      like this format a lot, HC...

                                                                      the relative few nice hits in there more than making up for the relative many mishits (aka. business as usual, profitable over the long hau...but not for the impatient kiddies who'd rather count win-notches than dollars)
                                                                      Last edited by fitguy67; 05-13-15, 03:12 PM.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Hardcoar
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 02-17-13
                                                                        • 15606

                                                                        #560
                                                                        Well, this format isn't any different with regards as to the bets I make; it's only relevant to as to having far greater notice being of potential help to others who may be interested in input on matches; or conversely other's input to me. I would like to reiterate and stress, that it is not a list of bets I've necessarily made as of the time of writing it.

                                                                        In any case I'm glad you appreciate it!
                                                                        Comment
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