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something appropriate to the occasion (winning a gash-rackets bet...sweeping two of 'em in fact)...
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tsonga +1.5 sets +130
tsonga +4.5 +107
tsonga +229
tsonga/wawa over 41 +102
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lots and lots of early rounds of non-slam action now to turn our attention...far more likely to have misplaced lines to take advantage of
when we're down to the last few rounds of a slam like this the lines get so sharp (aka. accurate) from action that the chalk spread between the two sides of most plays amount to a pure 5% "rake" (at Pinny, the best of the lot...much more elsewhere...
see http://www.beatingbonuses.com/calc_take.htm
pretty well eclipsing any "edge" we might be lucky enough to find on a slightly-misplaced line)
the linesmakers will make lots more (and much bigger) line-setting mistakes on the early rounds of new non-marquis tourneys
...just thinkin' out loud again scouter...if you think you've found something sweet on wawa-tsonga/joker-murray, post away...
as for safa vs. thunder-thighs, i'll give that one a miss...safa payouts should be a lot higher than they are to compensate for their unlikelihood of cashng but who wants to put up a lot to win a unit on a pouty drama queen...only way to capitalize on the fave-value here would be to put exactly 1u on Serena to win just 0.35u, treating it as the first leg of an all-fave sequential parlay, so if/when it hits you can earmark 1.35 for the next fave you'd like to play...and snowball (aka. parlay) your winnings one-fave at a time
continued good luck to the good guysComment -
while i'm word-blizzarding, see u already snuck in a play on tsonga...the side i'd prefer, gun to the head, long-term value-wise and just "pulling for the underdog/usually hapless froggy"-wise...
would be nice if a frenchman actually made the French Open final once every quarter-century or so, lolComment -
gonna skip the murray/novak match.
agree with your thoughts on the sharpness of the last rounds of semi's. i always get ass blasted in these later rounds & I also always lose my wta bets so hopefully I'm turning the tide?
can only handle so many tennis bets..thankfully passed on krajinovic last night so I'm just ignoring that shit for now.Comment -
what do you see in tsonga? stan has been lights out.Comment -
not to mention the aclectic acid buildup strongly favoring tsongaComment -
the last 3 sets of the nishikori match jojowillie looked like complete shit. his serve is the only thing that won him that match. he's not going to be able to pull that shit with stanny. I think first set is close and then stan rolls him after that. stan LOOKS great to me. and it's on both sides of the ball, I'm telling you he's gonna force it to tsonga's back hand the whole match (similar to what sushikori was doing) but he's going to do it with the ability to finish points and come to the net.
but in the end... both were seen practicing their shots so it's really a toss upComment -
Acid won't matter with the extra day offComment -
novak -7 +130
said id skip but gotta fade wizzleComment -
safarova to win 2-1 +580Comment -
GS in 4 gamesComment -
Copil +171
In the Dominican on my phone so no record for now.Comment -
Cavaliers!!Comment -
let's be honest...NBA is a hi-variance crap-shoot (eg. 3-point shooting is a carnival-game reward for failing to/opting to move the ball, and officiating is a goddam series of 50-50 pinball jumps/excuses to review)
how anybody can actually form an opinion on a game, let alone a series, is beyond me...
NBA=constantly-interrupted legal proceedings (last 3 mins of reg-time, refs spend more time evaluating vid-replays than actual live play...expaining why that 3 minutes lasts an hour) in pajamas with slickly-produced TV-backup
NHL playoffs are competitive flowing sport...NBA is a marketed product you can bet on (which i'll do, based primarily on "story arc" =WWE-logic = "what result is best for the company")...but i won't waste any time watching that shit, especially the orchestrated bullshit "endings"...I just grade my bet, and adjust the story-arc accordinglyComment -
Fitguy, for the reason above, I love wagering on big dogs... Aside from to Houston wagers I had lost i thought Mephis @+400 game in GS was a steal along with +265 last night on Cleveland. I wouldn't be surprised if Clevland won this series without Irving. This would only cement Labrons legacy. The inexperience of GS may kill them in the end. Not to mention that insane defenceComment -
on a game to game basis, ML dogs the way to go with that horseshit...
playing spreads in baskets, with either plus- or minus-points...you're just begging Murphy's Law to fukk you to in the ear...the last two minutes of any NBA game is like goddam Vince-McMahon orchestrated shit...teams "deciding" to foul/not foul exactly contrary to common sense etc. etc. et-fukking-cetra
at least with the ML, especially in the playoffs, if you read the "story arc" angle correctly u cashComment -
Bachinger +127
Kush +120Comment -
Ito +2.5 -105
Pospisil +1.5 +121Comment -
I got this picture from girlscoutcookies on his Dominican vacation. This is how he powers their wiFi so he can post picks. Solid dude. Runs in a hamster wheel just so you guys can have picks.Comment -
😂😁👏👏Comment -
Goffin -1.5 sets +154
Chiudellini +314Comment -
Goffin always cashes for meComment -
Monfils +1.5 +102Comment -
Groth +112Comment -
Seems like a solid line. Only thing bothering me with this play is Troicki's return. It was outstanding in first two rounds. Alsmost no free points on serve for opponent. And when you are able to limit Groth in that area, he could find himself in trouble. GL with the play!Comment
