EP36's Racquet Abuse

sluggy1616 · 05-10-15, 03:36 PM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

I wrote a little bit on that one today. I think Simon unless Sock is able to have one of those other wordly serving days. Once they get into rallies, I think Simon has the big edge because Sock still is mostly a forehand player. If Simon crafts points correctly and forces Sock to play his backhand enough, I think Simon will get the errors he needs to win. Pretty sure Rome won't give Sock a ton of extra pop on-serve to my knowledge.

Thanks

EaglesPhan36 · 05-10-15, 06:38 PM

ATP Rome Futures
Just swept through the draw. At Pinnacle, Djokovic is the -105 favorite. Nadal second at +334. Murray third at +800.

Even with Murray playing well, he's stuck in Djokovic's half of the draw so I don't fancy that one. Don't like Nadal this week either. Think there is a chance he has some hangover effect from how poorly he played in the Final and I mean just in general, he still doesn't look to me like he's in form to win a tournament against a top tier player right now. I may take a look at longer odds on Federer +1250 or even longer on guys like Dimitrov, Berdych, etc. I mean honestly what you're looking for here is to hopefully get the Finalist opposite of Djokovic picked correctly at a great price. I will be waiting for the first couple of days to see if there's even a point to investing that way this week. Off-hand, I would say Federer but that is assuming motivation which I want to see in his 1st match at least before I even try him. More than likely this is a week where I will skip futures. Next week with 250s will present better opportunities before the French.

EaglesPhan36 · 05-10-15, 08:34 PM

For anyone who suffered through the Milos Raonic-Murray match the other day. Milos underwent foot surgery. Still a chance he will be ready for the French Open. It's a 1-2 week recovery reportedly.

EaglesPhan36 · 05-10-15, 10:35 PM

5.11.15 ATP Rome
Lajovic +1.5 Sets @ -130
Simon @ -120

fitguy67 · 05-11-15, 10:09 AM

nice double-tap start to the week, E

EaglesPhan36 · 05-11-15, 10:15 AM

Thanks. Thought about this one overnight, gonna go ahead and do it.

Add...ATP Rome
Fabbiano +6 @ -105

Stokes36 · 05-11-15, 11:54 AM

How you feeling about Stevie Johnson +1.5 sets?

Possible Fognini being Fognini? Or is it a home country pride thing that keeps Fogs focused?

EaglesPhan36 · 05-11-15, 12:27 PM

I'm on a Fognini free diet. I don't think this clay is conducive to Johnson sticking around, but we know anything is possible with Fogs.

EaglesPhan36 · 05-11-15, 01:07 PM

Guess my rule should be if you have to sleep on it, skip it. At least ended up the day in positive territory still.

EaglesPhan36 · 05-11-15, 01:30 PM

Well hooty f-ing hoo, might get a push if Fabbiano lets this 2nd set go ...

beefcake · 05-11-15, 01:31 PM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

For anyone who suffered through the Milos Raonic-Murray match the other day. Milos underwent foot surgery. Still a chance he will be ready for the French Open. It's a 1-2 week recovery reportedly.

LOL...That Dr. IVO ace future now looks a lot better!

EaglesPhan36 · 05-11-15, 01:39 PM

Will be interesting. You need Ivo to make a couple big runs in tournaments to get some more matches since he plays less.

EaglesPhan36 · 05-11-15, 04:08 PM

2015 Profit Margin: -3.31
2015 Futures: +3.20
Good mojo to start the week.

EaglesPhan36 · 05-12-15, 12:02 AM

5.12.15 ATP Rome
Wawrinka -1.5 Sets @ +100
K.Anderson +3 @ -105
Troicki-Tomic Over 22 @ -108

beefcake · 05-12-15, 08:11 AM

Wawrinka bombs it..Boo..

EaglesPhan36 · 05-12-15, 08:32 AM

Yeah I can't say I am shocked. Been mostly against him. Ah well.

EaglesPhan36 · 05-12-15, 08:37 AM

Add... ATP Rome
Almagro +1.5 Sets @ +400

fitguy67 · 05-12-15, 08:37 AM

Wawrinka = the Swiss Fognini

Djoking · 05-12-15, 08:46 AM

Originally posted by fitguy67

Wawrinka = the Swiss Fognini

Swiss Winnie Pooh

EaglesPhan36 · 05-12-15, 09:33 AM

I wouldn't quite label him as uncaring as Fognini, but a definite pattern for him has been starting great in January & then tails off greatly for months.

koko22 · 05-12-15, 10:01 AM

no profit so long betting

EaglesPhan36 · 05-12-15, 10:07 AM

Add...ATP Rome
Tsonga-Querrey Ends in 3 Sets @ +125

Vinnie Paz · 05-12-15, 10:32 AM

Can gasman win?

EaglesPhan36 · 05-12-15, 10:41 AM

Think he has a shot. Should be a good match. Still debating a play.

sluggy1616 · 05-12-15, 10:43 AM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

Add... ATP Rome
Almagro +1.5 Sets @ +400

There's your profit

EaglesPhan36 · 05-12-15, 10:45 AM

That was sweet.

brodie · 05-12-15, 11:04 AM

bold play brotha, good hit

brodie · 05-12-15, 11:17 AM

Originally posted by brodie

bold play brotha, good hit

classic novak though... lose a set, still cover the game spread. not saying he dropped the set on purpose... wait that's exactly what I'm saying

take that novak future while it's still at a good price, he's winning this tournament

Vinnie Paz · 05-12-15, 11:26 AM

Lol @ this tsonga match

QuangX · 05-12-15, 11:35 AM

any angle on ferrer? wa once told he is god on clay?

EaglesPhan36 · 05-12-15, 11:38 AM

Originally posted by Vinnie Paz

Lol @ this tsonga match

Breaker breaker.

EaglesPhan36 · 05-12-15, 11:57 AM

Originally posted by QuangX

any angle on ferrer? wa once told he is god on clay?

Ferrer 1st Set perhaps. It comes from the God of Fades. Honestly though that match can go just about any way.

EaglesPhan36 · 05-12-15, 12:01 PM

Looks like I'll settle at +1.5 units today unless Tsonga chokes hard. I'm good with positive momentum thanks to Djokovic.

STAY STRONG · 05-12-15, 12:09 PM

Sam Querrey has the heart of a loser.

EaglesPhan36 · 05-12-15, 06:51 PM

2015 Profit Margin: -1.81
2015 Futures: +3.20