Sets wagering. Something I've been noticing with some books

[thorny]

200$ to win 180$ for 2-0 sets

100$ to win 275$ for 2-1 sets

bet A) wins 180$ -bet B) 100$


total money won 80$.... 200$ to win 80$ in the end is 1.40... You guys need to learn math

SirtySree is right...

you spent $300 ($200 on Bet A, $100 on Bet B) to win $60...therefore it was technically at 1.20 odds because you spread your bets

[matt1216]

SirtySree is right...

you spent $300 ($200 on Bet A, $100 on Bet B) to win $60...therefore it was technically at 1.20 odds because you spread your bets

Yes, thankyou for your input.

[matt1216]

WTA Federation Play # 32

Zakapalova 2-0 sets 2.65

Resumes tonight

[matt1216]

Play # 33

Suarrez Navarro 2-0 sets 1.71

Resumes tonight vs Zakapolova

[freshguy222]

that is what happens when I start tailing someone, lose tiebreaks. Dodig dominated the whole match except for the tiebreak.

[matt1216]

that is what happens when I start tailing someone, lose tiebreaks. Dodig dominated the whole match except for the tiebreak.

He had break point up 5-4, shoulda won in straights, shit happens I guess

[freshguy222]

I know, it is just so sick what happens right now, I had three buzzer-beaters going against me in CBB and I sent 3 three teams with points into OT and lost. And I am winning 20% of my tiebreaks this year in tennis, which is still profitable, but could be so much more with 50% won.

[freshguy222]

hey matt,

an idea came to my mind earlier on how to play your picks.
as an example: you are saying Guillmero Garcia Lopez will not win in 3 sets.
I figured to take his Team Total (Player Total) Under 12.5, since there seems to be a huge chance he wins in 2 sets giving you a good chance to cash or he loses in 2 sets which would let your bet win anyway. ALso there is a small chance to cash when it does go 3 sets and he loses. What do you think?
GL rest of the way

[matt1216]

hey matt,

an idea came to my mind earlier on how to play your picks.
as an example: you are saying Guillmero Garcia Lopez will not win in 3 sets.
I figured to take his Team Total (Player Total) Under 12.5, since there seems to be a huge chance he wins in 2 sets giving you a good chance to cash or he loses in 2 sets which would let your bet win anyway. ALso there is a small chance to cash when it does go 3 sets and he loses. What do you think?
GL rest of the way

Hey, it seems when I post these plays that for the most part, the favs follow the trend. They won't win in 3 sets. Berrer won in 3 sets today, but I mean it's not 100% everytime. It's hit about 90% of the time so far. I would recommend maybe playing the dog here @ + money. They seem to win the 3rd set more than the favorite does. The other hard part is if it doesn't go to 3 sets the Fav usually wipes the floor with there opponent.

I will ill come up with some percentages in the next few days on what side to play. It's hard to do write ups and entertain the GF at the same time lol

[matt1216]

ATP Play #48 Memphis

Not Pryziensny in 3 sets. Russle hasn't been playing that well. Prsienzy has just bumped into stiff opponent but he's been playing well.

2-0 @2.20 is worth a shot here

[fitguy67]

przys wins 9 of the first 12 games...then implodes, winning just 1 of the following 13 games...beyond maddening...they should check for a cabbage-like growth on the back of his neck

[matt1216]

ATP Play #48 Memphis

Not Pryziensny in 3 sets. Russle hasn't been playing that well. Prsienzy has just bumped into stiff opponent but he's been playing well.

2-0 @2.20 is worth a shot here

I shoulda taken my earlier advice. Once again not Pryz in 3 sets hits. I have to start playing the dogs when I see this. Same happened in dodig match

[Vinnie Paz]

przys wins 9 of the first 12 games...then implodes, winning just 1 of the following 13 games...beyond maddening...they should check for a cabbage-like growth on the back of his neck

What does a growth like that indicate???(In all seriousness fit)

[DownTheLine]

Not sure how you guys can tail plays when the guys math or methods don't make any sense. GL tho, I chuckled at the I said don't take someone in 3 sets so that means to take the under, not even taking into account that 2 set matches can go over depending on the line. Whacko stuff going on in here.

Best way to welcome myself to the party, what up?????

[matt1216]

Not sure how you guys can tail plays when the guys math or methods don't make any sense. GL tho, I chuckled at the I said don't take someone in 3 sets so that means to take the under, not even taking into account that 2 set matches can go over depending on the line. Whacko stuff going on in here.

Best way to welcome myself to the party, what up?????

R u serious man? Right off the bat I'm telling you who won't win in 3 sets. Yes my analysis was off on a few plays but take a look throughout the entire thread... Maybe 5 plays out of 20+ havnt hit. Take the dog when's its close to a 50/50 match, when the fav isn't supposed to win in 3 sets.$$$

if you were reading above, these plays are just suggestions. My real plays are in my other thread.

[DownTheLine]

I've read through. I actually think you know what you're talking about just fine but the way you're presenting these suggestions and their success is simply flawed. The guy above was pointing it out pretty clearly but gave up because I'm assuming he didn't feel like beating his head against a wall a bunch of times.

If these are mere suggestions why are you posting a 29-13 ytd record which isn't sustainable with the system or whatever it is you're employing/suggesting? Just a mere observation not trying to ruffle any feathers.

[fitguy67]

What does a growth like that indicate???(In all seriousness fit)

cultural reference to one of the great sci-fi/horror classic movies of all time..."Invasion of the Body Snatchers"...super easy to watch online for free (i'd recommend u try "project free tv"...but I'd be surprised if there isn't a super convenient youtubing of it available as well)...watch the 1956 original first...then the 1978 remake...they're both great...

BTW, your avatar (of Toronto thug-mayor) makes a good icon for one of "them"

[matt1216]

I've read through. I actually think you know what you're talking about just fine but the way you're presenting these suggestions and their success is simply flawed. The guy above was pointing it out pretty clearly but gave up because I'm assuming he didn't feel like beating his head against a wall a bunch of times.

If these are mere suggestions why are you posting a 29-13 ytd record which isn't sustainable with the system or whatever it is you're employing/suggesting? Just a mere observation not trying to ruffle any feathers.

What your saying is pretty much what I'm implying. The guy above didnt understand me. I keep a record because I wanted to see how correct the trend was. when I say someone dosnt win in 3 sets it usually hits. My book has a line where I merely just fade it. It works well too. I'll be a little more clear in the future. Sorry I figured by giving who wasn't gonna win in 3 sets would help people out in here. Did u notice how I went huge on Venus Williams 2-0 sets.... One of the few ones that hit this morning... With ease. That was part of the trend. That was a 10 unit play.... First one I've done in a few weeks.

[thetitanlb]

Let's stop this discussion and get back to talking about making money. All of is wanna do that lol

[matt1216]

Let's stop this discussion and get back to talking about making money. All of is wanna do that lol

I would if people would stop pointing out the flaws in here. More plays to come later

[Vinnie Paz]

How you feel about bouchard in straights?

[thetitanlb]

Or about ATP or WTP picks? My books don't have challenger matches

[matt1216]

How you feel about bouchard in straights?

Hey bud I'll take a look tonight. She's playing with confidence.

[matt1216]

Or about ATP or WTP picks? My books don't have challenger matches

I'll post in a bit.

[matt1216]

Play # 49

Not Kanepi in 3 sets. I seem to jinx this shit everytime when I say 2-0 sets so I'm just going to leave it at this. She has the game to win in straights

[matt1216]

Play # 50

Pliskova 2-0 sets 1.57

[matt1216]

Play # 51

Cibulkova 2-0 sets 1.67 *** Hammer time

[matt1216]

Play # 52

*Bouchard 2-0 sets 2.10

[matt1216]

Play # 53

Not svitolina in 3 sets. If you thinks this goes 3 sets, take Zakapolova ML

[matt1216]

Play # 54

Petkovic 2-0 sets 1.67

[matt1216]

Play # 55

Not gulbis in 3 sets.

[matt1216]

Play # 56

Chardy 2-0 sets 1.67

[matt1216]

Play # 57

Parlay based on trends... Kanepi/cibulkova/Bouchard/Chardy @ 3.10

[Bet10Heinekens]

Play # 57

Parlay based on trends... Kanepi/cibulkova/Bouchard/Chardy @ 3.10

Tailed

67143674-1 2/11/2014 3:39AM Parlay
Tennis - 8516 J. Chardy -440 for Game
Tennis - 8625 D. Cibulkova -505 for Game
Tennis - 8629 K. Knapp -170 for Game
Tennis - 8641 E. Bouchard -195 for Game

[matt1216]

Tailed

67143674-1 2/11/2014 3:39AM Parlay
Tennis - 8516 J. Chardy -440 for Game
Tennis - 8625 D. Cibulkova -505 for Game
Tennis - 8629 K. Knapp -170 for Game
Tennis - 8641 E. Bouchard -195 for Game

good luck to us