sluggy's self accountability thread

**sluggy1616** · 06-26-14, 10:28 AM

Originally posted by Hardcoar

Says who?

Herm Edwards NY Jets

Germany has better talent than the US. I dont think the german coach wants to hear from the media and public that Klisman should have been the coach of the German team because he drew or won with a less talented team. Thats my thinking on all this.

**sluggy1616** · 06-26-14, 01:28 PM

6.27.14

Agut @11.0 - qtr unit

would not blow my mind if he beat murray

**matt1216** · 06-26-14, 04:18 PM

Originally posted by sluggy1616

6.27.14

Agut @11.0 - qtr unit

would not blow my mind if he beat murray

Murray has been a beast so far.... he hasnt played vs alot of Talent but i see him quickly disposing of AGUT. if this was maybe on some nuetral court on a 1000 event.... i think these odds would be fair but i wouldnt touch Agut at any odds in England vs Murray

**sluggy1616** · 06-27-14, 02:31 PM

I'm gonna do some paper betting for a while. I am not seeing things very well. Will be back when I have a better bead on things.

YTD:+10.9

**sluggy1616** · 07-01-14, 07:48 PM

7.2.14 wimbly

parlay: stan+rancid @5.05 - 1 unit

Stan/feds over 3.5 sets @1.65 - 2 units

**sluggy1616** · 07-01-14, 07:50 PM

Originally posted by sluggy1616

7.2.14 wimbly

parlay: stan+rancid @5.05 - 1 unit

Stan/feds over 3.5 sets @1.65 - 2 units

add rancid @1.47 - 2 units

**sluggy1616** · 07-02-14, 07:31 PM

Stan sucks

YTD:+12.3

**sluggy1616** · 07-03-14, 08:16 PM

LAdies Wimbly final

Kivota @1.71 - 1 unit

Cashaholic has turned me over to the dark side(WTA Betting)!!!

That Bouchard chick is wild. Shes lucky half her shots went in the court today. Kivota has had a decent winners/unforced for a chick. Bouchard is firmly in the unforced>winners in most of her matches. Bitches is crazy so who knows what will ultimately happen.

DA FUK have I done. These bitches worse than challenger players trying to hold serve. I played with a buddy this week who is my equal and we had a tie break. Both of us held serve everytime but once. We hold better than the bitches.

I do see value in what hardcoar does with the bitches early in the year. Lines all messed up. He hit the books before they got their shizzle straight.

**sluggy1616** · 07-04-14, 04:27 PM

Wim final

fed/joker over 3.5 sets @1.50 - risk 2 units

I like Fed to potentially take this down, but you can't count out the joker. I don't think either one has much of a chance winning in 3. If either guy gets down 2 sets to 0 there will be no quit in either guy. This is a slam!!! Fed has played much cleaner tennis(winners/unforeced) and I think Edberg has done very well in helping fed move forward to finish points early. Fed is standing on to slightly inside the baseline most of the time and is putting immense pressure on his opponents. Without Edberg, I think Fed is flat to on a downswing in his career right now. Hope I'm right!!!

**sluggy1616** · 07-05-14, 09:12 AM

Originally posted by sluggy1616

LAdies Wimbly final

Kivota @1.71 - 1 unit

Cashaholic has turned me over to the dark side(WTA Betting)!!!

That Bouchard chick is wild. Shes lucky half her shots went in the court today. Kivota has had a decent winners/unforced for a chick. Bouchard is firmly in the unforced>winners in most of her matches. Bitches is crazy so who knows what will ultimately happen.

DA FUK have I done. These bitches worse than challenger players trying to hold serve. I played with a buddy this week who is my equal and we had a tie break. Both of us held serve everytime but once. We hold better than the bitches.

I do see value in what hardcoar does with the bitches early in the year. Lines all messed up. He hit the books before they got their shizzle straight.

Thanks for the win babe!!! Now get in that kitchen and make me a Sammwich!!!

**sluggy1616** · 07-06-14, 09:37 AM

Originally posted by sluggy1616

Wim final

fed/joker over 3.5 sets @1.50 - risk 2 units

I like Fed to potentially take this down, but you can't count out the joker. I don't think either one has much of a chance winning in 3. If either guy gets down 2 sets to 0 there will be no quit in either guy. This is a slam!!! Fed has played much cleaner tennis(winners/unforeced) and I think Edberg has done very well in helping fed move forward to finish points early. Fed is standing on to slightly inside the baseline most of the time and is putting immense pressure on his opponents. Without Edberg, I think Fed is flat to on a downswing in his career right now. Hope I'm right!!!

live hedge on my feddy future but wont post future results in my record

**sluggy1616** · 07-06-14, 12:16 PM

YTD:+14.0

Cant wait for the newport futures to hit the board.

**sluggy1616** · 07-08-14, 04:07 PM

soccer live

brazil to win rest of game @50 min

+186-1unit

**sluggy1616** · 07-08-14, 04:35 PM

Originally posted by sluggy1616

soccer live

brazil to win rest of game @50 min

+186-1unit

oops blitzkrieg

**sluggy1616** · 07-08-14, 04:50 PM

Originally posted by sluggy1616

soccer live

brazil to win rest of game @50 min

+186-1unit

YTD+13.0 Loved the game!!!

**sluggy1616** · 07-10-14, 11:45 PM

Parlay

verdaso +1.5 sets and agut +1.5 sets @1.47 - 1 unit

**sluggy1616** · 07-10-14, 11:48 PM

Originally posted by sluggy1616

Parlay

verdaso +1.5 sets and agut +1.5 sets @1.47 - 1 unit

I'm like tyrone biggums with the chalk on my face

**sluggy1616** · 07-11-14, 02:13 PM

Ytd +13.5

**sluggy1616** · 07-11-14, 10:35 PM

7.12.14

Agut +1.5 sets @1.69- 1 unit

Agut fights and fog dog is too lazy to win in straights against a good player

**sluggy1616** · 07-12-14, 09:15 AM

Originally posted by sluggy1616

7.12.14

Agut +1.5 sets @1.69- 1 unit

Agut fights and fog dog is too lazy to win in straights against a good player

winner

YTD+14.2

**sluggy1616** · 07-12-14, 08:56 PM

7.13

Agut @1.56 risk 1 unit

agut has not lost to an inferior player all year except in chianea(sp) back in his first tourney of the year. He has not been perfect in this tourney but hopefully he can turn it on in the final. In my book this dudes the player of the year. This might lose so keeping it 1 unit risk.

**matt1216** · 07-12-14, 09:14 PM

I think Agut wins bud... Let's get it!

**sluggy1616** · 07-13-14, 02:56 PM

Originally posted by sluggy1616

7.13

Agut @1.56 risk 1 unit

agut has not lost to an inferior player all year except in chianea(sp) back in his first tourney of the year. He has not been perfect in this tourney but hopefully he can turn it on in the final. In my book this dudes the player of the year. This might lose so keeping it 1 unit risk.

Wiener YTD+14.8

**sluggy1616** · 07-14-14, 05:29 PM

7.15.14

girardo @1.41 - risk 1 unit

a bet against the french dude. Plus only 1 more clay atp tourney after this one. This is where this guy makes dough. And his early draw is favorable.

**sluggy1616** · 07-14-14, 05:32 PM

Originally posted by sluggy1616

7.15.14

girardo @1.41 - risk 1 unit

a bet against the french dude. Plus only 1 more clay atp tourney after this one. This is where this guy makes dough. And his early draw is favorable.

f it. 2 units risk

**sluggy1616** · 07-15-14, 09:18 AM

Originally posted by sluggy1616

7.15.14

girardo @1.41 - risk 1 unit

a bet against the french dude. Plus only 1 more clay atp tourney after this one. This is where this guy makes dough. And his early draw is favorable.

win

YTD+15.0

**sluggy1616** · 07-15-14, 11:18 PM

7.16.14

seppi/monaco over 22.5 @1.88 - half unit

little action bet-dont tail

**sluggy1616** · 07-15-14, 11:37 PM

7.16.14

Nut job parlay

tobias+seppi @5.25 - qtr unit

**sluggy1616** · 07-16-14, 09:49 AM

Originally posted by sluggy1616

7.16.14

Nut job parlay

tobias+seppi @5.25 - qtr unit

Lady luck sucking me balls.

High Water mark:YTD +16.5

**sluggy1616** · 07-17-14, 05:27 PM

7.18.14

Popsicle @2.55 - half unit

Pops has been hurt but he was lights out yesterday. Both him and kunets had good matches. Pops won 91% of 1st serves and 66% of 2nd serves. Kutz was 79% and 64%. A good match!!! I don't think Tomic is so much better than Kutz that he can pull a win if Pops plays the same again.

This is also about the time last year that pops really got hot. I expect it again tomorrow.

Only betting a half unit cause when I think the books are messed up its usually me instead.

**sluggy1616** · 07-17-14, 06:20 PM

7.18.14

rosol/korn over 22.5 @1.86 - qtr unit

rosol @2.80 - qtr unit

Rosol has been playing well for a while.

Korn not so much. Saw both of his matches. Both Elias and Frenchie choked when they were serving for the 1st set and just lost heart after that. I could see the match going 3 sets and either player winning or I see Rosol in 2. If Korn in 2 at least I only lose a half unit.

**sluggy1616** · 07-17-14, 06:38 PM

7.18.14

speculative play-dont tail

ferrer/adnj over 20.5 @1.91 - qtr unit

andu @5.15 - qtr unit

Probably reaching here. Ferrer has been sh.t this tourney!!! 3 sets against scrubs. Seppi should have won his match. His 2nd serve % was higher in all 3 sets then his 1st serve WTF?? 2nd serve % was 71% for the match!!! Ferrers was 54%. Ferrer faced lots of break points in both his matches.

Also I have memories of andu playing Nadal in Rio. That match was sick and anybody else in the world but Nadal would have lost that match. Andu has a a tough year but historically when he puts a few wins together in a tourney is becomes a tough out.

**sluggy1616** · 07-17-14, 06:40 PM

Tobias/Zerev

If those dudes play at the same level they have been that match will be AWESOME!!! Not betting cause both dudes are in uncharted waters

**AceAce** · 07-17-14, 07:06 PM

I'm loving Zverev, kid just won a clay tournament before this one and should be rolling. He's the clay Kyrgios haha

**sluggy1616** · 07-18-14, 01:38 AM

Originally posted by sluggy1616

7.18.14

Popsicle @2.55 - half unit

Pops has been hurt but he was lights out yesterday. Both him and kunets had good matches. Pops won 91% of 1st serves and 66% of 2nd serves. Kutz was 79% and 64%. A good match!!! I don't think Tomic is so much better than Kutz that he can pull a win if Pops plays the same again.

This is also about the time last year that pops really got hot. I expect it again tomorrow.

Only betting a half unit cause when I think the books are messed up its usually me instead.

pops wins 2-0 @4.35 - qtr unit