sluggy's self accountability thread

[sluggy1616]

3.10.14

hass/nishi over 22 risk .5 unit

courts too slow to hit winners

[sluggy1616]

3.11.14

french dude risk 1 unit- got to bet against the qualifier. Man can't believe im betting on a french dude

parlay
isner+cilic - 1 unit to win .84 - big serves = high bounces versus short dudes is a winner hopefully

[sluggy1616]

3.11.14

french dude risk 1 unit- got to bet against the qualifier. Man can't believe im betting on a french dude

parlay
isner+cilic - 1 unit to win .84 - big serves = high bounces versus short dudes is a winner hopefully

won my plays today. I've had a good day followed up by a crap day throughout the tourney. Tomorrow is set as a crap day for me so i'm just gonna watch.


YTD:+2.70

[sluggy1616]

3.12.14

rancid +105 - 2 units

Got to go with Kenz on this
rancid has not played alot of tennis, but this is a bet against murray. He has been complete garbage. His service games are piss poor and he has faced many break points against garbage players. He has actually played alot of tennis recently for a guy coming back from a major injury. He has been winning ugly(also winning matches he has no business winning) but I would have to think that he has to be getting a bit fatigued mentally and physically.

[sluggy1616]

3.12.14

cilic wins 2 sets to 1 +983 -qtr unit

going for the home run!!!

[sluggy1616]

3.12.14

cilic wins 2 sets to 1 +983 -qtr unit

going for the home run!!!

struck out looking

Don't like anything I see today. Everything looks fair. Over on dogo/rancid trade looks crowded. It will hit if the "good" dogo shows up today. I still think this guy can be a bit inconsistent in his play due to his attitude so I'm staying away.

YTD:+4.55

[sluggy1616]

3.13.14

anderson +4 -114 - half unit

Well he beat stan who kinda quit in the last set. Bet could lose but given Feds playing singles and doubles and his playing a full tourney last week, I'm just not sure he has the strength or will to beat down anderson. I'd expect fed to win 2 close sets like 7-6 6-4 which would pay my bet.

[sluggy1616]

3.13.14

anderson +4 -114 - half unit

Well he beat stan who kinda quit in the last set. Bet could lose but given Feds playing singles and doubles and his playing a full tourney last week, I'm just not sure he has the strength or will to beat down anderson. I'd expect fed to win 2 close sets like 7-6 6-4 which would pay my bet.

Darn it. Wish I would of seen that tweet dumb ass sent out about feds before I made this bet

[sluggy1616]

3.15.14

isner +500 -qtr unit

serve bot has better than a punchers chance of winning

[sluggy1616]

Indian wells:+3.31

YTD:+4.27

Ready to rock Miami.

[sluggy1616]

3.21.14

pies in the sky

zeballos +515 - half unit

gabagaba +625 - qtr unit

[sluggy1616]

3.21.13

ebden +900 - 1/8 unit

[sluggy1616]

3.23.14

dimitov: -125 risk 3 units

robredo: -140; risk 3 units

[sluggy1616]

3.24.14

foggy+125- 1 unit

[sluggy1616]

3.23.14

dimitov: -125 risk 3 units

robredo: -140; risk 3 units

nishi+105 -risk 2 units

I'm taking risk off the dimitov bet. I just don't understand the line so I'm a bit scared.

[sluggy1616]

nishi+105 -risk 2 units

I'm taking risk off the dimitov bet. I just don't understand the line so I'm a bit scared.

damn glad I did this.

Miami:+1.03

ytd:+5.30

[sluggy1616]

3.24.14

foggy+125- 1 unit

miami:+2.28

YTD:+6.55

[sluggy1616]

3.26.14

feds/nishi under 20.5 -110 - qtr unit

[sluggy1616]

3.26.14

parlay
feds+joker 1/2 unit to win .24 units

[sluggy1616]

3.26.14

parlay
feds+joker 1/2 unit to win .24 units

Joker/murray ends in 3 sets +167 -qtr unit

Kind of a hedge/call option to the above parlay. If Joker gonna lose I would think it would have to be in 3 sets. Famous last words thats why these plays are for small unit sizes.

[sluggy1616]

Joker/murray ends in 3 sets +167 -qtr unit

Kind of a hedge/call option to the above parlay. If Joker gonna lose I would think it would have to be in 3 sets. Famous last words thats why these plays are for small unit sizes.

added a half unit to the parlay.

[sluggy1616]

3.27.14

parylay

bird dick+serena+ nadal - 1/2 unit to win .43 units

[sluggy1616]

added a half unit to the parlay.

Hedged out 1 unit with Nishi live +146

[sluggy1616]

Hedged out 1 unit with Nishi live +146

5dimes got live tennis just in time to save me.

[sluggy1616]

Miami:+1.95

YTD:+6.22

[sluggy1616]

3.27.14

parylay

bird dick+serena+ nadal - 1/2 unit to win .43 units

hedge qtr unit on dolgo +262

[sluggy1616]

nadal live 1/2 unit risk -233

[sluggy1616]

nadal live 1/2 unit risk -233

another 1/2 unit nadal risk -205

[sluggy1616]

Miami Final

Joker -140 risk 5 units

Did anyone see the Masters 1000 canada last year when Ass-picker hit Joker in the chin with the ball? I did. Joker was ready to kick his ass and I'm not talking in a tennis sense. This aint business for Joker its personal!!! Joker will do everything in his power to win this match. Ass Picker last beat Joker at the US Open where joker had a brutal encounter with Stan the match before. I'll probably bet the not Nadal in 2 sets in case Nadal pulls a 3 set miracle.

Down with Ass-Picker!!!

[sluggy1616]

Miami Final

Joker -140 risk 5 units

Did anyone see the Masters 1000 canada last year when Ass-picker hit Joker in the chin with the ball? I did. Joker was ready to kick his ass and I'm not talking in a tennis sense. This aint business for Joker its personal!!! Joker will do everything in his power to win this match. Ass Picker last beat Joker at the US Open where joker had a brutal encounter with Stan the match before. I'll probably bet the not Nadal in 2 sets in case Nadal pulls a 3 set miracle.

Down with Ass-Picker!!!

Ass picker looking better than i would have thought. Took 3 units risk off table. Nadal+121

[sluggy1616]

Ass picker looking better than i would have thought. Took 3 units risk off table. Nadal+121

FUXX

Miami:+4.22

ytd:+8.49

[sluggy1616]

davis cup 4.6.14

foggy +240- qtr unit

Fogs is playing at home. He seems like the kind of dude that might not give a crap about his own play at times, but I think he will put up a good fight at home. I don't think he wants to be the guy that lost the tie if he can help it. Also if Murray does get down in the match I'm not sure how hard he will fight. Even if Murray wins, him and James Ward have NO chance of beating Stan and Feds next round. Murray knows this. I think his punk ass will just tank if he gets behind.

[fitguy67]

strongly agree that there's a lot of value here...a clear case of hi-profile (Davis cup which attracts the "patriotic" in addition to the usual "name recognizing" casual fan) event attracting more square = less-discerning $ that don't know the BIG effect that surface has in this match, especially on Fognini, the much lesser-known entity

[sluggy1616]

davis cup 4.6.14

foggy +240- qtr unit

Fogs is playing at home. He seems like the kind of dude that might not give a crap about his own play at times, but I think he will put up a good fight at home. I don't think he wants to be the guy that lost the tie if he can help it. Also if Murray does get down in the match I'm not sure how hard he will fight. Even if Murray wins, him and James Ward have NO chance of beating Stan and Feds next round. Murray knows this. I think his punk ass will just tank if he gets behind.

easy money honey.
Ytd:+9.09

[sluggy1616]

4.8.14

simon says +115- half unit

Del Boner had like 1 good tourney in the ATP last year. When Simon is a dog he usually plays well. I'm not buying the Boner against the experienced veteran who played decently on clay last year.