sluggy's self accountability thread

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  • sluggy1616
    SBR MVP
    • 07-21-13
    • 1317

    #106
    3.10.14

    hass/nishi over 22 risk .5 unit

    courts too slow to hit winners
    Comment
    • sluggy1616
      SBR MVP
      • 07-21-13
      • 1317

      #107
      3.11.14

      french dude risk 1 unit- got to bet against the qualifier. Man can't believe im betting on a french dude

      parlay
      isner+cilic - 1 unit to win .84 - big serves = high bounces versus short dudes is a winner hopefully
      Comment
      • sluggy1616
        SBR MVP
        • 07-21-13
        • 1317

        #108
        Originally posted by sluggy1616
        3.11.14

        french dude risk 1 unit- got to bet against the qualifier. Man can't believe im betting on a french dude

        parlay
        isner+cilic - 1 unit to win .84 - big serves = high bounces versus short dudes is a winner hopefully
        won my plays today. I've had a good day followed up by a crap day throughout the tourney. Tomorrow is set as a crap day for me so i'm just gonna watch.


        YTD:+2.70
        Comment
        • sluggy1616
          SBR MVP
          • 07-21-13
          • 1317

          #109
          3.12.14

          rancid +105 - 2 units

          Got to go with Kenz on this
          rancid has not played alot of tennis, but this is a bet against murray. He has been complete garbage. His service games are piss poor and he has faced many break points against garbage players. He has actually played alot of tennis recently for a guy coming back from a major injury. He has been winning ugly(also winning matches he has no business winning) but I would have to think that he has to be getting a bit fatigued mentally and physically.
          Comment
          • sluggy1616
            SBR MVP
            • 07-21-13
            • 1317

            #110
            3.12.14

            cilic wins 2 sets to 1 +983 -qtr unit

            going for the home run!!!
            Comment
            • sluggy1616
              SBR MVP
              • 07-21-13
              • 1317

              #111
              Originally posted by sluggy1616
              3.12.14

              cilic wins 2 sets to 1 +983 -qtr unit

              going for the home run!!!
              struck out looking

              Don't like anything I see today. Everything looks fair. Over on dogo/rancid trade looks crowded. It will hit if the "good" dogo shows up today. I still think this guy can be a bit inconsistent in his play due to his attitude so I'm staying away.

              YTD:+4.55
              Comment
              • sluggy1616
                SBR MVP
                • 07-21-13
                • 1317

                #112
                3.13.14

                anderson +4 -114 - half unit

                Well he beat stan who kinda quit in the last set. Bet could lose but given Feds playing singles and doubles and his playing a full tourney last week, I'm just not sure he has the strength or will to beat down anderson. I'd expect fed to win 2 close sets like 7-6 6-4 which would pay my bet.
                Comment
                • sluggy1616
                  SBR MVP
                  • 07-21-13
                  • 1317

                  #113
                  Originally posted by sluggy1616
                  3.13.14

                  anderson +4 -114 - half unit

                  Well he beat stan who kinda quit in the last set. Bet could lose but given Feds playing singles and doubles and his playing a full tourney last week, I'm just not sure he has the strength or will to beat down anderson. I'd expect fed to win 2 close sets like 7-6 6-4 which would pay my bet.
                  Darn it. Wish I would of seen that tweet dumb ass sent out about feds before I made this bet
                  Comment
                  • sluggy1616
                    SBR MVP
                    • 07-21-13
                    • 1317

                    #114
                    3.15.14

                    isner +500 -qtr unit

                    serve bot has better than a punchers chance of winning
                    Comment
                    • sluggy1616
                      SBR MVP
                      • 07-21-13
                      • 1317

                      #115
                      Indian wells:+3.31

                      YTD:+4.27

                      Ready to rock Miami.
                      Comment
                      • sluggy1616
                        SBR MVP
                        • 07-21-13
                        • 1317

                        #116
                        3.21.14

                        pies in the sky

                        zeballos +515 - half unit

                        gabagaba +625 - qtr unit
                        Comment
                        • sluggy1616
                          SBR MVP
                          • 07-21-13
                          • 1317

                          #117
                          3.21.13

                          ebden +900 - 1/8 unit
                          Comment
                          • sluggy1616
                            SBR MVP
                            • 07-21-13
                            • 1317

                            #118
                            3.23.14

                            dimitov: -125 risk 3 units

                            robredo: -140; risk 3 units
                            Comment
                            • sluggy1616
                              SBR MVP
                              • 07-21-13
                              • 1317

                              #119
                              3.24.14

                              foggy+125- 1 unit
                              Comment
                              • sluggy1616
                                SBR MVP
                                • 07-21-13
                                • 1317

                                #120
                                Originally posted by sluggy1616
                                3.23.14

                                dimitov: -125 risk 3 units

                                robredo: -140; risk 3 units
                                nishi+105 -risk 2 units

                                I'm taking risk off the dimitov bet. I just don't understand the line so I'm a bit scared.
                                Comment
                                • sluggy1616
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 07-21-13
                                  • 1317

                                  #121
                                  Originally posted by sluggy1616
                                  nishi+105 -risk 2 units

                                  I'm taking risk off the dimitov bet. I just don't understand the line so I'm a bit scared.
                                  damn glad I did this.

                                  Miami:+1.03

                                  ytd:+5.30
                                  Comment
                                  • sluggy1616
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 07-21-13
                                    • 1317

                                    #122
                                    Originally posted by sluggy1616
                                    3.24.14

                                    foggy+125- 1 unit
                                    miami:+2.28

                                    YTD:+6.55
                                    Comment
                                    • sluggy1616
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 07-21-13
                                      • 1317

                                      #123
                                      3.26.14

                                      feds/nishi under 20.5 -110 - qtr unit
                                      Comment
                                      • sluggy1616
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 07-21-13
                                        • 1317

                                        #124
                                        3.26.14

                                        parlay
                                        feds+joker 1/2 unit to win .24 units
                                        Comment
                                        • sluggy1616
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 07-21-13
                                          • 1317

                                          #125
                                          Originally posted by sluggy1616
                                          3.26.14

                                          parlay
                                          feds+joker 1/2 unit to win .24 units
                                          Joker/murray ends in 3 sets +167 -qtr unit

                                          Kind of a hedge/call option to the above parlay. If Joker gonna lose I would think it would have to be in 3 sets. Famous last words thats why these plays are for small unit sizes.
                                          Comment
                                          • sluggy1616
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 07-21-13
                                            • 1317

                                            #126
                                            Originally posted by sluggy1616
                                            Joker/murray ends in 3 sets +167 -qtr unit

                                            Kind of a hedge/call option to the above parlay. If Joker gonna lose I would think it would have to be in 3 sets. Famous last words thats why these plays are for small unit sizes.
                                            added a half unit to the parlay.
                                            Comment
                                            • sluggy1616
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 07-21-13
                                              • 1317

                                              #127
                                              3.27.14

                                              parylay

                                              bird dick+serena+ nadal - 1/2 unit to win .43 units
                                              Comment
                                              • sluggy1616
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 07-21-13
                                                • 1317

                                                #128
                                                Originally posted by sluggy1616
                                                added a half unit to the parlay.
                                                Hedged out 1 unit with Nishi live +146
                                                Comment
                                                • sluggy1616
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 07-21-13
                                                  • 1317

                                                  #129
                                                  Originally posted by sluggy1616
                                                  Hedged out 1 unit with Nishi live +146
                                                  5dimes got live tennis just in time to save me.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • sluggy1616
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 07-21-13
                                                    • 1317

                                                    #130
                                                    Miami:+1.95

                                                    YTD:+6.22
                                                    Comment
                                                    • sluggy1616
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 07-21-13
                                                      • 1317

                                                      #131
                                                      Originally posted by sluggy1616
                                                      3.27.14

                                                      parylay

                                                      bird dick+serena+ nadal - 1/2 unit to win .43 units
                                                      hedge qtr unit on dolgo +262
                                                      Comment
                                                      • sluggy1616
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 07-21-13
                                                        • 1317

                                                        #132
                                                        nadal live 1/2 unit risk -233
                                                        Comment
                                                        • sluggy1616
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 07-21-13
                                                          • 1317

                                                          #133
                                                          Originally posted by sluggy1616
                                                          nadal live 1/2 unit risk -233
                                                          another 1/2 unit nadal risk -205
                                                          Comment
                                                          • sluggy1616
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 07-21-13
                                                            • 1317

                                                            #134
                                                            Miami Final

                                                            Joker -140 risk 5 units

                                                            Did anyone see the Masters 1000 canada last year when Ass-picker hit Joker in the chin with the ball? I did. Joker was ready to kick his ass and I'm not talking in a tennis sense. This aint business for Joker its personal!!! Joker will do everything in his power to win this match. Ass Picker last beat Joker at the US Open where joker had a brutal encounter with Stan the match before. I'll probably bet the not Nadal in 2 sets in case Nadal pulls a 3 set miracle.

                                                            Down with Ass-Picker!!!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • sluggy1616
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 07-21-13
                                                              • 1317

                                                              #135
                                                              Originally posted by sluggy1616
                                                              Miami Final

                                                              Joker -140 risk 5 units

                                                              Did anyone see the Masters 1000 canada last year when Ass-picker hit Joker in the chin with the ball? I did. Joker was ready to kick his ass and I'm not talking in a tennis sense. This aint business for Joker its personal!!! Joker will do everything in his power to win this match. Ass Picker last beat Joker at the US Open where joker had a brutal encounter with Stan the match before. I'll probably bet the not Nadal in 2 sets in case Nadal pulls a 3 set miracle.

                                                              Down with Ass-Picker!!!
                                                              Ass picker looking better than i would have thought. Took 3 units risk off table. Nadal+121
                                                              Comment
                                                              • sluggy1616
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 07-21-13
                                                                • 1317

                                                                #136
                                                                Originally posted by sluggy1616
                                                                Ass picker looking better than i would have thought. Took 3 units risk off table. Nadal+121
                                                                FUXX

                                                                Miami:+4.22

                                                                ytd:+8.49
                                                                Comment
                                                                • sluggy1616
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 07-21-13
                                                                  • 1317

                                                                  #137
                                                                  davis cup 4.6.14

                                                                  foggy +240- qtr unit

                                                                  Fogs is playing at home. He seems like the kind of dude that might not give a crap about his own play at times, but I think he will put up a good fight at home. I don't think he wants to be the guy that lost the tie if he can help it. Also if Murray does get down in the match I'm not sure how hard he will fight. Even if Murray wins, him and James Ward have NO chance of beating Stan and Feds next round. Murray knows this. I think his punk ass will just tank if he gets behind.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • fitguy67
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 03-13-11
                                                                    • 5082

                                                                    #138
                                                                    strongly agree that there's a lot of value here...a clear case of hi-profile (Davis cup which attracts the "patriotic" in addition to the usual "name recognizing" casual fan) event attracting more square = less-discerning $ that don't know the BIG effect that surface has in this match, especially on Fognini, the much lesser-known entity
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • sluggy1616
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 07-21-13
                                                                      • 1317

                                                                      #139
                                                                      Originally posted by sluggy1616
                                                                      davis cup 4.6.14

                                                                      foggy +240- qtr unit

                                                                      Fogs is playing at home. He seems like the kind of dude that might not give a crap about his own play at times, but I think he will put up a good fight at home. I don't think he wants to be the guy that lost the tie if he can help it. Also if Murray does get down in the match I'm not sure how hard he will fight. Even if Murray wins, him and James Ward have NO chance of beating Stan and Feds next round. Murray knows this. I think his punk ass will just tank if he gets behind.
                                                                      easy money honey.
                                                                      Ytd:+9.09
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • sluggy1616
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 07-21-13
                                                                        • 1317

                                                                        #140
                                                                        4.8.14

                                                                        simon says +115- half unit

                                                                        Del Boner had like 1 good tourney in the ATP last year. When Simon is a dog he usually plays well. I'm not buying the Boner against the experienced veteran who played decently on clay last year.
                                                                        Comment
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