You sure? Pops barely got by kuznetsov.... He had to come back from 0-40 twice I believe I don't think he would be that lucky vs tomic
sluggy's self accountability thread
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matt1216SBR Posting Legend
- 10-27-11
- 14683
#281Comment -
sluggy1616SBR MVP
- 07-21-13
- 1317
#2827.19.14
mayer -3 @1.90 - 1 unitComment -
sluggy1616SBR MVP
- 07-21-13
- 1317
#283Not sure. I still don't think I've hit my stride this year so I keep most bets to a unit or under. If I hit most of my plays today my unit size will most likely increase per bet. Pops is speculative.Comment -
sluggy1616SBR MVP
- 07-21-13
- 1317
#2847.18.14
Popsicle @2.55 - half unit
Pops has been hurt but he was lights out yesterday. Both him and kunets had good matches. Pops won 91% of 1st serves and 66% of 2nd serves. Kutz was 79% and 64%. A good match!!! I don't think Tomic is so much better than Kutz that he can pull a win if Pops plays the same again.
This is also about the time last year that pops really got hot. I expect it again tomorrow.
Only betting a half unit cause when I think the books are messed up its usually me instead.
Ok reassessed this play. If i wasn't going to bet the tobias/zvrev match because the players were new and doing stuff they haven't done before(WINNING) then I shouldn't try to figure out how 2 players coming off injury are going to perform. Hedging out the half unit risk for tomic. Took small loss due to juice. I'll just hope I get lucky with the 2 set to 0 betComment -
sluggy1616SBR MVP
- 07-21-13
- 1317
#2857.18.14
rosol/korn over 22.5 @1.86 - qtr unit
rosol @2.80 - qtr unit
Rosol has been playing well for a while.
Korn not so much. Saw both of his matches. Both Elias and Frenchie choked when they were serving for the 1st set and just lost heart after that. I could see the match going 3 sets and either player winning or I see Rosol in 2. If Korn in 2 at least I only lose a half unit.Comment -
sluggy1616SBR MVP
- 07-21-13
- 1317
#286
taking the weekend offComment -
sluggy1616SBR MVP
- 07-21-13
- 1317
#287I have social proof bias. It affects my picks and my thoughts. I make plays outside my thread with no problem now.
The thread has been a big success because the record has shown that I tend to make a lot of stupid dog bets. i realize this and make a small silly bet each week that helps keep me focused on all my other solid bets I make.
Peace out!!
YTD+16.0
(ps bet 2 units on mayer over ferrer dick so killed it there but not in record)Comment
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