sluggy's self accountability thread

**sluggy1616** · 04-08-14, 07:51 PM

Originally posted by sluggy1616

4.8.14

simon says +115- half unit

Del Boner had like 1 good tourney in the ATP last year. When Simon is a dog he usually plays well. I'm not buying the Boner against the experienced veteran who played decently on clay last year.

got F'ed by del boner. Guess I f'ed myself. No more bets on clay until 500 or 1000 tournies. I started after wimbledon last year and did not follow clay court season at all.

I was a good junior in the states and went to germany when I 16 for a student exchange deal. I played alot of kids on the red clay and just got my ass kicked. I would have owned most of the dudes on a hard court. Tennis on clay is a much different game than on any other surface. I had promised myself I'd wait awhile before I bet the clay but couldn't resist. Boner f'ed me in a parlay with taro so I guess deep down I wanted my revenge. Lame of me

YTD:+8.59

**sluggy1616** · 04-14-14, 10:55 PM

4.15.14- DO NOT TAIL!!!-speculative-i need some action

Kornscriber +170 - 1/2 unit

loose 1st round bet. Tsonga playing like crap. Tsonga favored french dude. Tsonga had many good results against Korn most recently in 2012. Tsonga had a very strong year in 2012. I like the German to dispatch the Frenchman.

**sluggy1616** · 04-14-14, 11:05 PM

I'll blow thru some more cash-DO NOT TAIL

verdasco +170 -half unit

he is showing some confidence. Nice win in Texas. I think he sees the light at the end of his tennis career tunnel and wants to take it more seriously while he still can play.

**sluggy1616** · 04-15-14, 12:14 AM

more garbage

Jerzy shore -140 to win 1/2 unit

**sluggy1616** · 04-15-14, 06:29 PM

Ytd:+7.39

**sluggy1616** · 04-19-14, 08:37 AM

4.19.14

feds+240-qtr unit

the wrist

**sluggy1616** · 04-19-14, 09:58 AM

Originally posted by sluggy1616

4.19.14

feds+240-qtr unit

the wrist

ytd:+7.99

**sluggy1616** · 04-19-14, 10:45 AM

4.20.14

Stan+115 - half unit

Stan should push fed's sh.t in. Little worried about Stan's past mental state against Fed, but based on the body of work this tourney Stan has been far superior.

**sluggy1616** · 04-19-14, 09:27 PM

Originally posted by sluggy1616

4.20.14

Stan+115 - half unit

Stan should push fed's sh.t in. Little worried about Stan's past mental state against Fed, but based on the body of work this tourney Stan has been far superior.

wawa to win 2 sets to 0 +303 -qtr unit

Stan the man.

**sluggy1616** · 04-19-14, 09:44 PM

Originally posted by sluggy1616

wawa to win 2 sets to 0 +303 -qtr unit

Stan the man.

**sluggy1616** · 04-20-14, 10:31 AM

ytd:+8.32

**sluggy1616** · 04-20-14, 10:47 AM

Note to self: I'm done with the early round crap. I suck at it. Might tail EP some cause that in my opinion is his best work.

**sluggy1616** · 04-21-14, 07:32 PM

4.22.14 Barca open 2nd rd

Agut +115 - 1unit

Agut looked very solid today. Kei played well last tourney before his injury but that was a month ago. You just don't up and play good on the clay after being on hard courts a month ago. I was ready to pay up to -140 for Agut.

**sluggy1616** · 04-23-14, 12:02 AM

Originally posted by sluggy1616

4.22.14 Barca open 2nd rd

Agut +115 - 1unit

Agut looked very solid today. Kei played well last tourney before his injury but that was a month ago. You just don't up and play good on the clay after being on hard courts a month ago. I was ready to pay up to -140 for Agut.

I suck.

YTD:+7.32

**sluggy1616** · 04-24-14, 06:28 PM

4.25.14 barca qtr

gulbis -230 - to win 2 units

**sluggy1616** · 04-24-14, 06:40 PM

4.25.14 barca qtrs

almangro +615 - half unit

**sluggy1616** · 04-25-14, 12:08 PM

Originally posted by sluggy1616

4.25.14 barca qtrs

almangro +615 - half unit

Ytd:+12.8

**sluggy1616** · 04-27-14, 07:34 AM

4.27.14 barca finals

Nishi/Girardo ends in 3 sets +177 - half unit

Anything could happen in this match. Taking this bet based on the match between Nishi/agut. Girardo is a Agut type of player that gave Nishi trouble and Nishi was on that day. I just think this is the best value bet out there.

**sluggy1616** · 04-27-14, 10:41 AM

Originally posted by sluggy1616

4.27.14 barca finals

Nishi/Girardo ends in 3 sets +177 - half unit

Anything could happen in this match. Taking this bet based on the match between Nishi/agut. Girardo is a Agut type of player that gave Nishi trouble and Nishi was on that day. I just think this is the best value bet out there.

nishi taking my money all week

ytd+12.3

**sluggy1616** · 04-28-14, 08:34 PM

4.29.14 BMW Ger 1st rd

Istomin +260 -qtr unit

Korn just retired from the last tourney. Isto was not too bad on the clay last tourny. Taking a small stab. 5 dimes pays out after 1 set so I get paid if Korn retires. He could also lose straight out. (screwed myself last tourney thinking Nishi might be a little rusty after his injury. WRONGO) I would have done this anyway even if Kohl not injured

**sluggy1616** · 04-28-14, 09:57 PM

4.29.14 portugal 1st rd

deverman/ebden over 22 -114 - qtr unit risk

**sluggy1616** · 04-29-14, 09:03 AM

Ytd:+12.7

**sluggy1616** · 04-29-14, 11:42 PM

4.30.14 BMW 2nd round

struff/sthowsky over 22 -116 - risk qtr unit

**sluggy1616** · 04-30-14, 08:28 AM

Originally posted by sluggy1616

4.30.14 BMW 2nd round

struff/sthowsky over 22 -116 - risk qtr unit

Loss!! I'm reaching. I'm taking off until the big tourney next week.

YTD:+12.45

**sluggy1616** · 05-01-14, 08:00 PM

Time to step back from my thread. There are lots of great cappers on here who have their own threads and then there is me. I started betting tennis last July. I have never bet anything else before. I finished up 15 units last year. Doing ok this year, but people should be following the best cappers and not my work. I can be accountable to myself in my private tennis log.

I'll comment in other threads when I feel I can add value. If I get good like these other guys on here I'll start the thread again.

YTD:+12.45

**sluggy1616** · 05-15-14, 11:26 AM

Everyone and their momma are starting threads so I'm gonna keep mine going.

I'm gonna relax and start playing again @French Open

I made a few dumb parlay bets that cost me a unit that I'm gonna deduct from my total.

Excited for Rolland Garros and 5 set matches!!

YTD:11.45

**sluggy1616** · 05-17-14, 01:33 AM

5.17.14

semis - rome

parlay: joker+serena risk 1 units to win 0.34 units

Joker needs/wants these 1000 points. Joker missed last tourney and was a made the qtrs here last year. If he can beat ass picker(who won tourney last year) in final it will be a nice swing.

Serena is playing well and I know she still has to be pissed about the A/O loss to my hottie and will take her revenge tomorrow.

Got fried on my last parlay so keeping this to 1 unit.

**sluggy1616** · 05-17-14, 12:40 PM

Originally posted by sluggy1616

5.17.14

semis - rome

parlay: joker+serena risk 1 units to win 0.34 units

Joker needs/wants these 1000 points. Joker missed last tourney and was a made the qtrs here last year. If he can beat ass picker(who won tourney last year) in final it will be a nice swing.

Serena is playing well and I know she still has to be pissed about the A/O loss to my hottie and will take her revenge tomorrow.

Got fried on my last parlay so keeping this to 1 unit.

Nice to get a winner to get my enthusiasm up for the French!!! I'm gonna be ready to kick butt!!!

"I'm good enough, I'm smart enough and doggone it people like me!!!"

YTD:+11.79

**sluggy1616** · 05-17-14, 03:26 PM

5.18.14- rome final

Ass picker -130- risk 2 units

He's the prince of clay and I does look like he has done something to improve his energy level since yesterday(a legal method used or not I'm not saying

). I'd normally lay off the match given Joker hates ass picker and really dials in when they play. I don't think Jokers arm will hold up if Nadal is bringing his A game like I expect. Could be like Kei and Nadal last week. Kei was just too beat up to go the full 10 rounds.

**sluggy1616** · 05-17-14, 03:31 PM

Originally posted by sluggy1616

5.18.14- rome final

Ass picker -130- risk 2 units

He's the prince of clay and I does look like he has done something to improve his energy level since yesterday(a legal method used or not I'm not saying

). I'd normally lay off the match given Joker hates ass picker and really dials in when they play. I don't think Jokers arm will hold up if Nadal is bringing his A game like I expect. Could be like Kei and Nadal last week. Kei was just too beat up to go the full 10 rounds.

If Nadal somehow goes to even money or better I'll add another Nadal unit.

**sluggy1616** · 05-17-14, 11:17 PM

Originally posted by sluggy1616

5.18.14- rome final

Ass picker -130- risk 2 units

He's the prince of clay and I does look like he has done something to improve his energy level since yesterday(a legal method used or not I'm not saying

). I'd normally lay off the match given Joker hates ass picker and really dials in when they play. I don't think Jokers arm will hold up if Nadal is bringing his A game like I expect. Could be like Kei and Nadal last week. Kei was just too beat up to go the full 10 rounds.

2 more units risk on ass picker @-130. Rome is Nadals house!!! Joker rented it a few times, but Nadal gonna lay his claim on the crown tomorrow. I think Joker made a lot of mistakes with the giraffe in not being able to close when he should. See same issues tomorrow.

**sluggy1616** · 05-18-14, 08:46 AM

Originally posted by sluggy1616

2 more units risk on ass picker @-130. Rome is Nadals house!!! Joker rented it a few times, but Nadal gonna lay his claim on the crown tomorrow. I think Joker made a lot of mistakes with the giraffe in not being able to close when he should. See same issues tomorrow.

Sluggy might be over reaching. Took off 2 units of risk.

**sluggy1616** · 05-18-14, 10:11 AM

Originally posted by sluggy1616

Sluggy might be over reaching. Took off 2 units of risk.

took the last 2 units off at +304 to Joker.live have small profit locked in for the match

**sluggy1616** · 05-18-14, 10:57 AM

Joker live 1 unit risk@ -125

**sluggy1616** · 05-18-14, 05:04 PM

I'm happy i could see what was going on and get out of my ass picker bet and make some money on a Joker who has Ass pickers number.

YTD:+12.54