EP36's Fuzzy Tennis Balls

fitguy67 · 02-19-14, 05:38 AM

Originally posted by Cessation

RE Isner future, I found this when looking for info on a few at the top of the futures market...

It is the sort of tournament that if he was fit Isner would win on his ear. That put me off quite a lot. I ended up taking Haas at 6.50 with Cilic/Nishi/Isner all in the bottom half.

i grabbed some Anderson at +1026 a few hours ago (at pinnacle)...i expect him to go deeper than either of the other two damn-near-7-footers...hopefully deep enough to hedge out and keep some of the 10.26units...

a healthy Isner and a healthy Anderson is an amazing match...a few months ago these guys went three sets without a single service break...all three sets were 7-6'ers

Hardcoar · 02-19-14, 05:56 AM

Originally posted by fitguy67

i grabbed some Anderson at +1026 a few hours ago (at pinnacle)...i expect him to go deeper than either of the other two damn-near-7-footers...hopefully deep enough to hedge out and keep some of the 10.26units...

a healthy Isner and a healthy Anderson is an amazing match...a few months ago these guys went three sets without a single service break...all three sets were 7-6'ers

I don't have much faith in Mr. Anderson, although this tournament sure is a holy shitfest and with Isner, Japman and Cilic all major questionmarks and being Kev's favorite playground this would be his best shot at a comeback to form.

Cessation · 02-19-14, 06:34 AM

I reckon the winner of Hewitt/Matosevic will make a nice dog against the winner of Anderson/Karlovic.

Both the Aussie guys like playing the big servers. God knows who wins those two games first though.

Semper Fidelis · 02-19-14, 08:22 AM

EP, if you would pick one more future for Del Ray, who would it be? I already have one for Anderson and Nishi, and was thinking about placing one on Haas. If neither Anderson nor Nishi win out, and if Cilic is fatigued and Isner still rusty/injured, you'd have to think Haas has the next best shot at this, right? Then again part of me wants to take one of the qualies or someone like Baghdatis or Lopez. This tourney literally seems less certain and more up for grabs than others.

EaglesPhan36 · 02-19-14, 08:32 AM

It is a crapshoot. Based on history, Haas is a tough pick since the top seed is rarely in the Final here. Might make sense to see what hPpens today - you obviously lose some price, but may see a better map of who could take this.

Semper Fidelis · 02-19-14, 08:38 AM

Good point man, I'm sure they'll offer the futures again after play today, no sense in making another gamble without seeing everyone play. Of course you lose the good odds like you said, but it's worth it to get a better view of everyone's form. I'm definitely tempted to place a little more on Nishi (price unchanged) and Anderson (actually went up slightly), but Anderson needing an extra set to take care of Smyczek has me thinking twice.

addictedto · 02-19-14, 09:04 AM

You guys overreacting on Anderson being at his own town. Forget about it, the guy is a choker and have not played competitive tennis recently. He does not have chances against the top seeded guys here.

EaglesPhan36 · 02-19-14, 09:52 AM

Originally posted by Semper Fidelis

Good point man, I'm sure they'll offer the futures again after play today, no sense in making another gamble without seeing everyone play. Of course you lose the good odds like you said, but it's worth it to get a better view of everyone's form. I'm definitely tempted to place a little more on Nishi (price unchanged) and Anderson (actually went up slightly), but Anderson needing an extra set to take care of Smyczek has me thinking twice.

It had been a month since his last match and once he got going, he did cruise thru the other two sets. Hard to gauge guys on one match unless they appear injured.

Hardcoar · 02-19-14, 10:21 AM

You people do realize this is basically nazi-boy's home tournament, don't you?

addictedto · 02-19-14, 10:26 AM

Who is nazi-boy?

EaglesPhan36 · 02-19-14, 12:57 PM

Well a reduced profit since Klizan withdrew today, but a win is a win. So it's +0.38

matt1216 · 02-19-14, 01:00 PM

Originally posted by addictedto

Who is nazi-boy?

Cappinpicks · 02-19-14, 01:00 PM

Originally posted by addictedto

Who is nazi-boy?

who knows? that tard doesnt know what hes saying half the time

matt1216 · 02-19-14, 01:01 PM

Originally posted by Cappinpicks

who knows? that tard doesnt know what hes saying half the time

Are you guys serious??? Obviously it's Hass

Hardcoar · 02-19-14, 01:04 PM

Matt hass it.

Cappinpicks · 02-19-14, 01:07 PM

why would haas be a nazi cause hes german? lol

that wont go over with the 50% jewish crowd

DownTheLine · 02-19-14, 01:21 PM

Anderson had more to do with Ivo hitting the wall and his retirement clearly proved that. Anderson was the play today, he was gonna smack Ivo. Plus he's been working with a new coach and getting things figured out from what I hear.

EaglesPhan36 · 02-19-14, 02:08 PM

Actually if it's anyone;s home tournament, Anderson was the correct answer. Lives in Delray Beach. Haas & Nishikori both live/train in Bradenton which is about three hours from Delray Beach on the other FLA coast.

EaglesPhan36 · 02-19-14, 04:41 PM

I am Jack's Instant Regret.

ATP Rio: Bellucci +125

fitguy67 · 02-19-14, 07:11 PM

the Rio crowd is doing its damnedest to not let Bellucci faak this one up...hopefully u won't need to use that regret on this bet (i said hopefully)...

unfortunately, tennis scoring and choking seemm to go together like salt and pepper...

aaaahhhh...finally...there are two sports where the "fat lady sings" expression is so painfully true: baseball and tennis (two sports that do not rely on a clock to say when it's over...it literally is NOT over for the side that is winning until they make the things that must happen...happen...the only way for the "W" to register...till then, there's agony and the omnipresent "fear of the choke"...)

..."closing it out" is always so much easier said than done

a nice win on Bellucci for Matt, Hardcoar, and EP (usually doesn't work out so well when all agree like that)

Mase of Base · 02-19-14, 07:12 PM

4 match points gone, guy better not blow this.

Mase of Base · 02-19-14, 07:14 PM

There it is, nice call.

EaglesPhan36 · 02-19-14, 08:00 PM

Would continue fading Monaco. Guy got one win this year against Zeballos who pretty much gifted it to him.

matt1216 · 02-19-14, 09:05 PM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

Would continue fading Monaco. Guy got one win this year against Zeballos who pretty much gifted it to him.

Yeah I wasn't sure how Monaco played vs zaballos. Thanks for clearing that up

EaglesPhan36 · 02-20-14, 10:04 AM

2.20.14
ATP Rio: Dolgopolov-Bagnis Ends in 3 Sets +170

Fully expect this to lose as I should know better, but I'm trying anyhow.

matt1216 · 02-20-14, 10:11 AM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

2.20.14
ATP Rio: Dolgopolov-Bagnis Ends in 3 Sets +170

Fully expect this to lose as I should know better, but I'm trying anyhow.

it would make sense. Everybody should be pounding dolgo so I expect a rollercoaster ride

matt1216 · 02-20-14, 10:38 AM

lol I swear Dolgo is a ploy inserted from Vegas at times haha

CallMeGENO · 02-20-14, 10:39 AM

easy to say now after hes up a break, but thought of dabbling on bagnis. dogo is a chump.

addictedto · 02-20-14, 10:52 AM

anyone watching the game, does Dolgo plan to fight back?

addictedto · 02-20-14, 10:53 AM

Oh he just did it while I was typing the above LOL

EaglesPhan36 · 02-20-14, 10:58 AM

Clay matches normally have plenty of breaks. Over on the total might have been safer, but I went for the bigger payout ... and likely will get boned for trying - but sometimes you gotta live a little.

DownTheLine · 02-20-14, 11:08 AM

Now we just have to hope Dolgo doesn't lose interest here and is up for it

CallMeGENO · 02-20-14, 11:09 AM

sucks that u have to worry about a big fav getting beat in two seats. unfortunately thats what u get with bolgochump

EaglesPhan36 · 02-20-14, 11:15 AM

It was a calculated risk either way. Bagnis could have lost in two. Dog could lose in two. Based on Bagnis' track record at this time of year, I expected a decent fight and a chance for him to win a set. Of course the caveat is that I need Dog to win one now, which is usually where the hair pulling out of the nutsack begins.

EaglesPhan36 · 02-20-14, 11:46 AM

Mmmm, smells like mother f-ing victory.