Matty's Soccer Tips 2012

[Puda]

Perth v Wellington.

Hard to go past Perth @ $1.80.. considering form, lack of injuries, home factor..

predicting: 2-1 ...

What do you reckon mati?

[MatI]

yeah, hard to go against Glory, and I also like the over. I'm not keen on playing both though... I do think the easier option is the over as my golden rule is elimination games usually produce lots of goals.

[Puda]

Goals usually do come if one team scores, then the other teams hand is forced.

[ultrasouth]

Hopefully a 2-1...3-1 even 3-2 win for perth...Good luck

[MatI]

Updating my W/L's so I don't lose track of where i'm at. Devastating end in the Sydney/Fremantle game. Freo peppered the goals in the last 4-5 mins and couldnt convert, which would have won both bets.

ACL, ULSAN HYUNDAI vs BRISBANE ROAR
ULSAN HYUNDAI to WIN @ 1.90 - 1.5u - LOSS

ACL, BURIRAM UNITED vs JEONBUK MOTORS
BURIRAM UNITED - DNB @ 2.00 - 1u - LOSS

CHELSEA vs BENFICA
CHELSEA to WIN @ 1.71 - 1u - WIN

MLB, St Louis @ Miami Marlins, 1st Innings - Draw @ 1.70 - 1u - LOSS

EPL, Swansea v Newcastle
Newcastle - DNB @ 2.20 - 1u - WIN

SEATTLE(Vargas,J) @ OAKLAND(McCarthy,B) 1st Innings Draw @ 1.70 - risking 1u - WIN

AFL, Sydney v Fremantle
Over 178.5 @ 1.90 - 1u - LOSS
FREMANTLE +7.5 @ 1.91 - 1u - LOSS

Thread Total YTD-
58-62-7
-10.57 units

[MatI]

A-League, Perth Glory v Wellington Phoenix FC - Over 2.5 @ 2.05 - 1u

Elimination final coming up here, winner takes all. I like the overs in these types of games because whoever is a goal down needs to start attacking and this usually means more opportunities for both teams. Both teams gave healthy squads going into this game and with Smeltz for Perth finding the net 7 times in his last 2 games & Ifill for Wellington always a danger to score I like the over score.

Previous games this season between these two teams have all been 1 goal affairs - Two to Perth & one to Wellington. This game should play out very differently and I expect this game to be end to end. At plus odds, i'd take it any day. Hopefully either team scores early and then we can see some attacking football all the way to the whistle.

[Puda]

Glory ML.

gl

[MatI]

Glory ML.

gl

Let's get it!

Looks like some late money coming against Glory which is giving slightly better odds.

[Puda]

Also for tonight, all value plays...

Hoffenheim ML
Freiburg ML
Sttugart ML
Lille ML


lets get glory first

[Punter101]

A-League, Perth Glory v Wellington Phoenix FC - Over 2.5 @ 2.05 - 1u

Elimination final coming up here, winner takes all. I like the overs in these types of games because whoever is a goal down needs to start attacking and this usually means more opportunities for both teams. Both teams gave healthy squads going into this game and with Smeltz for Perth finding the net 7 times in his last 2 games & Ifill for Wellington always a danger to score I like the over score.

Previous games this season between these two teams have all been 1 goal affairs - Two to Perth & one to Wellington. This game should play out very differently and I expect this game to be end to end. At plus odds, i'd take it any day. Hopefully either team scores early and then we can see some attacking football all the way to the whistle.

GL. I'm gonna live bet this one hopefully no one scores in the first 10 mins and price goes up for glory ML

[MatI]

i hope you got on in time!

[Optional]

Phoenix looking stronger so far I thought.

[MatI]

yep, def looked stronger in 1st half, but you spoke to soon! Still, im liking it now for the over.

[MatI]

Cash it!

[Punter101]

Someone check the wellington players for drugs. Coming out of the half guns blazing

[MatI]

They certainly have. That was a gorgeous goal, that 2nd one for the sheep fuckers.

[Punter101]

They certainly have. That was a gorgeous goal, that 2nd one for the sheep fuckers.

they certainly have. Commentator was funny after first goal "Van Persie Eat your heart out"
Now 2-2

[MatI]

yeah, they can be hilarious at times.

Mehmet take a bow son!

[MatI]

EPL, SUNDERLAND vs TOTTENHAM HOTSPUR - Under (2.5) @ 1.88 - 1u

Spurs away games have been painful to watch as of late. Apart from the top of the table teams, most EPL teams have been playing very defensively against Tottenham and trying to frustrate them. This has worked and Sunderland are in a perfect position to do just that this time out. Only 1 of Tottenhams last 4 away games have gone over, and that was against a firing Arsenal. Likewise, recent Sunderland home games have only gone over against the same Arsenal and a QPR who don't seem themselves unless they are giving up multiple goals.

[ultrasouth]

Good luck with your play

[MatI]

Thx mate. Last minute play here but Cesena are in deep doo doo. I expect Bologna to win easy here. They need it, Cesena are pretty much already relegated.

Serie A, Cesena v Bologna
Bologna - DNB @ 1.80 - risking 2u

[MatI]

Also for tonight, all value plays...

Hoffenheim ML
Freiburg ML
Sttugart ML
Lille ML

Shame about Glory not getting it done for you in 90mins mate. I really like Stuttgart & Freiburg, GL tonight.

[showtiime]

Nice, like the bologna play, was looking over Serie A just before & that was a game that stood out, Cesena no wins in last 12, old Di Vaio to score!

Good to see an oz playing bases, don't think theres too many others on here.

[MatI]

CHICAGO White Sox(J Peavy) @ TEXAS Rangers(D Holland)
Texas Rangers ML @ 1.58 - risking 1u

Holland had an impressive year while Peavy was hot and cold last year. Holland also had the much more impressive Spring Training. Bring it hom Rangers!

[MatI]

Nice, like the bologna play, was looking over Serie A just before & that was a game that stood out, Cesena no wins in last 12, old Di Vaio to score!

Good to see an oz playing bases, don't think theres too many others on here.

Bologna just couldnt get it done sadly. But got the push. Freakin Italian teams...

Yeah, im a big MLB fan. Much better than all other american sports I reckon. Im very excited to have it back!

[MatI]

EPL, Arsenal v Man City - Over 2.5 @ 1.80 - 1u

[Punter101]

EPL, Arsenal v Man City - Over 2.5 @ 1.80 - 1u

said what? GL

[MatI]

A-League, Perth Glory v Wellington Phoenix FC - Over 2.5 @ 2.05 - 1u - WIN

EPL, SUNDERLAND vs TOTTENHAM HOTSPUR - Under (2.5) @ 1.88 - 1u - WIN

Serie A, Cesena v Bologna
Bologna - DNB @ 1.80 - risking 2u - PUSH

CHICAGO White Sox(J Peavy) @ TEXAS Rangers(D Holland)
Texas Rangers ML @ 1.58 - risking 1u - LOSS

EPL, Arsenal v Man City - Over 2.5 @ 1.80 - 1u - LOSS

Good start and a terrible ending. Just can't make any progress at the moment...

Thread Total YTD-
60-64-8
-10.79 units

[Puda]

epl Plays for tonight?

[MatI]

I only really like Newcastle ML to be honest, but no value. And maybe maybe Chelsea but would need to see starting XI.

What are you liking amigo?

[Puda]

not much. really.

[Sol]

Had a chance to catch much baseball yet mate? I didn't catch any of the Lions/Sox games but sounds as though Cabrera/Fielder and the rest of their bats are off to a fast start.

[MatI]

You mean tigers/sox? I didn't watch any of their games over the weekend but Detroit will be dangerous this year. Some big bats in their lineup, especially with the inclusion of Fielder. I am not convinced about the Red Sox, IMO they have some big troubles in their clubhouse still and they do not have a quality pitching staff to get them out of it. Yankees off to a slow start too which is awesome to see!

I have watched one game a day over this weekend, usually depending on who i have money down on. I doubled up on texas again today and watched that game. I think they will be strong again this year. I also try to catch my Cubbies whenever I can, but they are freakin useless. I will be fading them whenever I feel confident they lose.

[MatI]

EPL, Newcastle v Bolton
Newcastle -1 @ 1.85 - 1u

No time for a write-up as it's getting late here and back to work in the morning. I would prefer to take Newcastle on the ML here but its just too much juice. After a quick turnaround from the weekend, Newcastle will have a slight advantage with an extra day to prepare compared to Bolton and while the visitors have been in fairly good form as of late, they cannot compare to Newcastle's line-up and form. The addition of Cisse has been a real positive for them and I see Newcastle winning this game at least 2-0.

[Sol]

You mean tigers/sox? I didn't watch any of their games over the weekend but Detroit will be dangerous this year. Some big bats in their lineup, especially with the inclusion of Fielder. I am not convinced about the Red Sox, IMO they have some big troubles in their clubhouse still and they do not have a quality pitching staff to get them out of it. Yankees off to a slow start too which is awesome to see!

I have watched one game a day over this weekend, usually depending on who i have money down on. I doubled up on texas again today and watched that game. I think they will be strong again this year. I also try to catch my Cubbies whenever I can, but they are freakin useless. I will be fading them whenever I feel confident they lose.

i am an NFL nut so the Lions naturally came to me. Tigers will no doubt win a lot of games, i know a lot of people are favoring the Angels but i still really like Texas, just a real strong lineup. I don't think the Red Sox have done much to improve upon last seasons meltdown, Yanks seemed to do a decent job retooling their pitching staff but still have a few holes even with a gazillion dollar roster. Phillies are off to a bit of a slow start as well, i had a future on them last season thinking their pitching would be too dominant, but they need another bat or two as well.

Haha, are you confident Epstein will build a winner? Had a look at their box score earlier today, not many names i recognize, Castro is meant to develop into a stud? Hopefully we can make a bit of money this season!