1. #36
    Fred87
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    Quote Originally Posted by PeterToffee View Post
    Good calls on Braga B and Santa Clara Fred
    Thanks PeterToffee

    Braga B 1-0 Varzim

    Benfica B 1-3 Santa Clara (double confidence)


    Let's see if FC Porto helps finish another beautiful day $

  2. #37
    Fred87
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    Final Score: FC Porto 3-1 RB Leipzig


    We're going on a 7W-1V-0L run.Next days there is more

  3. #38
    Fred87
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    Moreirense - Portimonense
    Football - First League Portugal
    04-11-2017
    16:00 GMT




    Moreirense: Only with a championship victory (against the Last classified) in 10 matches, it reflects the quality of the team, assuming itself as a candidate for descent of division.
    The team has few solutions, the only player above average is the midfielder Tozé.
    Due to the poor results, they dismissed their coach, and made a bet on an inexperienced coach at this level (Sergio Vieira, only trained professionally (and without great success) in Brasil). Team supporters are suspicious of this choice, because they suspect that Sergio Vieira was invited due to friendships (Friend of the president).
    The normal thing about an experienced coach when he enters the middle of the championship is not to change the team / tactical. However the new coach has trained a tactical that has never been used by moreirense, the 4-4-2. In my opinion at this level it is not very smart to make tactical changes, without the routines being created. Goal is to have possession, but for this you need to know what to do with the ball, and the moreirense does not have that talent at the moment.


    Note: The team was set up for 4-3-3 at the beginning of the season, with several options for the extremes, not for midfield filling.


    Portimonense: The team is growing, after a championship start in which they lost some games essentially due to lack of experience in this division, because even with defeats, the team practiced good football.
    The Brazilians of the team are of quality, and seek to make the leap for teams with other objectives, and have been observed in all games by the best teams of the championship (porto, benfica, sporting, braga, guimaraes).
    For this game returns the player Sá (After a suspended game), and will be titular in the middle field.
    Portimonense has the fourth best attack of the league, with 19 goals in 10 games! But it also has the 2nd worst defense in the league.
    For this game I believe that the offensive armada will continue to make effect, against an adversary with the confidence indices below.


    So my pick is:


    Pick: Portimonense AH 0 @ 2.20 Pinnacle 3 Units

  4. #39
    cashin81
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    nice going!

  5. #40
    Fred87
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    CD Cova da Piedade – Braga B
    Football – Second League Portugal
    05-11-2017
    15:00 GMT


    Cova da Piedade: The team has performed a more irregular championship than they expected, since it has brought together a very experienced group, such as Evaldo, Robson, Cleo, Rui Sampaio and Soares .
    For this game, returns William Rock (defense) after a suspension game.
    I saw the last game of Cova Piedade against AC. Viseu (probably the team in better shape), and tactically had well, both in the offensive and defensive chapter.
    Dieguinho (Striker) is in great shape, creating many chances of the goal and I believe he will return to goals on this game.


    Braga B: After 8 games without winning, won the last 3 of 4 matches. They regained the confidence indexes. One of virtues of Braga B is the physical game, as it has some strong African players in this chapter.
    However for Braga B this is the 3rd game in 8 days, and for Cova da Piedade is the 2nd game.
    In short: Cova da Piedade has better players, has a strong attack and is expected to physically be much better than Braga B.
    I foresee that it is a balanced game, but after the 60min it will be is totally dominated by the Cova da Piedade.
    Victory of Cova da Piedade has some value, but the bet in AH -0.25 is very good and safer. So my bet is:

    Pick: Cova da Piedade AH -0,25 @ 1,79 Pinnacle (3 units)


    #AHbettingPT


  6. #41
    Fred87
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    Benfica B – Penafiel
    Football – Second League Portugal
    05-11-2017
    15:00 GMT


    Benfica B
    They defend very badly, they suffered seven goals in last 2 games.(in this season in only two games they did not concede goals)
    For this game they should return 4 starters, who were in the Champions League Youth League.
    Are they:
    Gedson Fernandes
    Florentino Luís
    João Félix
    José Gomes


    Physically the team shows some wear and tear because it is the 3rd game in 8 days, and the team is weakening in some periods of the game and against teams with more solutions (as is the case of Penafiel), this will be a problem.


    Penafiel: Was considered as one of the potential candidates for the title, but a weak championship start made this difficult.
    With the change of coach, came the good results!
    The confidence indexes have increased a lot, and coincide with the recovery of some players who were injured. Penafiel does not lose to four games, won two. (in both wins, they were losing at halftime!)


    Penafiel has an attack with many options, and in the last game, Gleidson (best player in the field against “Santa Clara”) returned, player loaned by FC Porto will be a plus, as he is clearly one of the best players in the league.
    Ludovic, gleidson, fabio abreu, this trio of attack is almost synonymous of the goals.
    For this game volta mais uma opçao atacante, o africano diouf!

    Pick: Penafiel AH +0 [DNB] @ 2,72 Pinnacle (3 units)

    #AHbettingPT


  7. #42
    EasyPicks
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    nice job (picks and write ups), just a little difficult to understand (to keep track) the overall record.

    gl this weekend

  8. #43
    Fred87
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    Sporting B - Oliveirense
    Football - Second League Portugal
    05-11-2017
    15:00 GMT

    Sporting B: The team started the championship very well, but the last games have not gone well.
    This may be the ideal game to return to good results, as Braga B tends to give the opponents possession of the ball, and Sporting B feels more at ease with this type of game.
    Paulinho (player loaned by Fluminense) has been the new figure of the team, scoring 2 goals in 4 games. I watched the last game and I was impressed by the talent of the Brazilian, as it was the necessary balance to help Gelson Dala and Ary Papel, the Angolan "forwards".
    For this game only has as absent "Demiral" (suspension game) (centre defense)


    Oliveirense: Has a short team, without many solutions. Oliveirense is currently in three games without winning and this period coincides with the various injuries that the team has had, such as Mathaus and Sérgio Silva (the centre defense) that remain outside (in the last game they have not participated). Oliveirense go play with a center defense adapted (godinho), and in the last game did not work.
    I believe that Sporting B will prove his favoritism, achieving a comfortable victory, and thus returning to victories.


    Pick: Sporting B AH -0,5 @ 1.86 Dafabet (3 units)

    #AHbettingPT

  9. #44
    Fred87
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    Quote Originally Posted by Fred87 View Post
    Moreirense - Portimonense
    Football - First League Portugal
    04-11-2017
    16:00 GMT

    Pick: Portimonense AH 0 @ 2.20 Pinnacle 3 Units
    Moreirense 1-1 Portimonense
    Void
    Quote Originally Posted by Fred87 View Post
    CD Cova da Piedade – Braga B
    Football – Second League Portugal
    05-11-2017
    15:00 GMT

    Pick: Cova da Piedade AH -0,25 @ 1,79 Pinnacle (3 units)
    #AHbettingPT

    CD Cova da Piedade 0–2 Braga B
    Lose
    Quote Originally Posted by Fred87 View Post
    Benfica B – Penafiel
    Football – Second League Portugal
    05-11-2017
    15:00 GMT

    Pick: Penafiel AH +0 [DNB] @ 2,72 Pinnacle (3 units)

    #AHbettingPT
    Benfica B 3–4 Penafiel
    Won (underdog)
    Quote Originally Posted by Fred87 View Post
    Sporting B - Oliveirense
    Football - Second League Portugal
    05-11-2017
    15:00 GMT
    Pick: Sporting B AH -0,5 @ 1.86 Dafabet (3 units)

    #AHbettingPT
    Sporting B 2-0 Oliveirense
    Won



    It was not perfect, but very good profit.


  10. #45
    Fred87
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    Quote Originally Posted by EasyPicks View Post
    nice job (picks and write ups), just a little difficult to understand (to keep track) the overall record.
    Thanks.

    Summary:

    Update: 05/11/17

  11. #46
    EasyPicks
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    Wow nice wins....that benfica B x Penafiel was a crazy match

  12. #47
    Fred87
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    Guimarães - Oliveirense
    Football - League Cup Portugal
    11-11-2017
    15:00 GMT


    For this second round, all teams in Group C are tied (1 point each).
    Guimares has aspirations to win this competition and although the coach will make some changes in the main team, the players that will play give the guarantees of competitiveness.
    The coach of Guimares indicated that this game should be regarded as a final, as the team has a lot of ambition in this competition.
    Brazilian forward Rafael Martins is in good shape and will play the way he likes, alone in the front supported by two players (rincon and sturgeon).


    Oliveirense:
    You have a short team, without many solutions. Oliveirense is currently in four games without winning and this period coincides with the several injuries that the team has had, such as Mathaus and Sergio Silva (the center defense) that remain outside (in the last two game they have not participated). Oliveirense go play with a center defense adapted (godinho), and in the last two game did not work.


    The goalkeeper will be the Angolan Kadu, is a goalkeeper with some limitations, and that usually gives insecurity to the team.


    Pick: Guimaraes AH -1,5 @ 2.17 Dafabet (3 units)

  13. #48
    Fred87
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    Varzim – Uniao da Madeira
    Football – Second League Portugal
    12-11-2017
    15:00 GMT

    Varzim:Nuno Capucho (coach) bet everything in this game! the team does not score a goal in last 4 games for the championship but in the last game the attitude of the team was better, and have created many goal chances.
    For the game against the Uniao da Madeira, they will have the support of many fans, the city is with the team and wants to push the club to victory.
    Some players come back, and although the team it is not yet complete, this is the match where varzim will have more options in last 2 months.

    Uniao da Madeira: The team comes from two defeats. For this game there are several absentees, including the best forward (Petar Orlandic).
    The coach of the team admitted that the team is very limited for this match, and that the preparation during the week for match was very conditioned.
    At the press conference coach said: “With injuries, suspensions, sick with viruses, all that is missing is the fall the plane”.

    The team is not in a good moment, will play on counter-attack, and with so many adversities the tie is looked upon as a good result.

    Pick: Varzim AH -0,25 @ 2.00 Pinnacle (3 units)

    #AHbettingPT

  14. #49
    Fred87
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    Leixoes – Guimaraes B
    Football – Second League Portugal
    12-11-2017
    15:00 GMT

    Leixoes:In my opinion is the second team in this league that practices better football at the moment.
    Leixoes comes from an excellent match in the field of Santa clara. For this game the team is practically at the maximum strength, and Evandro Brandão and Breitner da Silva (striker) are going through an excellent moment of form.

    Guimaraes B: It’s the worst team in the league, so it’s in last place. For this match some important players will not play. The players are the forward Hélder Ferreira, and the defenders Jorge Sampaio, Marcos Valente and Duarte Duarte (played for the main team this Saturday).
    The team will be pretty weak, essentially in defense.
    I predict that the team will have many difficulties in sustaining the “strikers” of Leixoes, and that can suffer several goals.

    The good moment of the leixoes and the factor home (fans fanaticos), gives much confidence to bet:

    Pick: Leixoes @ 1.70 Sbobet (3 units)

    #AHbettingPT

  15. #50
    Fred87
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    Delete Post

  16. #51
    Fred87
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    Freamunde - Canelas 2010
    Football - Campeonato de Portugal (3rd league)
    12-11-2017
    15:00 GMT

    Freamunde: Team accustomed to the professional championships and although the serious financial difficulties, the team managed to keep some good players.
    The coach of the team rescinded last week, after a defeat in a game (3-2) in which they were winning twice (0-1 and 1-2).
    For this game will be commanded by a assistant Coach.
    The team played a friendly during the week against the "Rio Ave" (1st division), and lost by only 1-0.For this game there was an appeal for fans go to the Match against Canelas, to help financially the club.

    There is the expectation that the membership will be significant, since the city is with the club. It's a very family club.

    Canelas: This team is one of the most talked about in Portugal and is not for the best reasons.
    Canelas is the most aggressive team in Portugal.
    One of the players of the team is "macaco" (cheerleader FC Porto), and whenever is summoned, he has to play, and leaves at the beginning of the 2nd part, because he is already 42!

    Is good opportunity for the Freamunde to win despite the difficulties financial. Freamunde has a team superior to his opponent.

    Pick: Freamunde AH -0.25 @ 1.83 Bet365 (3units)

    (if you have difficulties betting on the Asian handicap, you can bet on the 3way Freamunde @ 2.00 (3units) in sportingbet, titanbet, williamhill, tipico, unibet, bet-at-home, and others sportsbooks).

  17. #52
    Fred87
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    Quote Originally Posted by Fred87 View Post
    Guimarães - Oliveirense
    Football - League Cup Portugal
    11-11-2017
    15:00 GMT
    Pick: Guimaraes AH -1,5 @ 2.17 Dafabet (3 units)
    Guimarães 1-4 Oliveirense
    Lose Bet



    Quote Originally Posted by Fred87 View Post
    Varzim – Uniao da Madeira
    Football – Second League Portugal
    12-11-2017
    15:00 GMT

    Pick: Varzim AH -0,25 @ 2.00 Pinnacle (3 units)

    #AHbettingPT
    Varzim 3–1 Uniao da Madeira
    Won Bet
    Quote Originally Posted by Fred87 View Post
    Leixoes – Guimaraes B
    Football – Second League Portugal
    12-11-2017
    15:00 GMT


    Pick: Leixoes @ 1.70 Sbobet (3 units)

    #AHbettingPT
    Leixoes 3–2 Guimaraes B
    Won Bet

    Quote Originally Posted by Fred87 View Post
    Freamunde - Canelas 2010
    Football - Campeonato de Portugal (3rd league)
    12-11-2017
    15:00 GMT

    Pick: Freamunde AH -0.25 @ 1.83 Bet365 (3units)

    Freamunde 2-1 Canelas 2010
    Won Bet
    Last edited by Fred87; 11-12-17 at 02:56 PM.

  18. #53
    Fred87
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    Update 12/11/2017


    Another Great Weekend It started badly, but it finished out very well.
    Last edited by Fred87; 11-12-17 at 02:39 PM.

  19. #54
    silvap
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    excelent work! Leixoes was a fun sweat!

    BTP
    Week 11
    3-2-0 248 pts


  20. #55
    Fred87
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    Rio Ave - Braga
    Football - Portuguese Cup
    18-11-2017
    20:30 GMT

    Rio Ave:
    Rio Ave has been practicing a good championship. Unlike the last times, this year does not have so many solutions in his team, which makes the 11 starters are usually the same. In front of the attack will play Guedes, a forward limited, of poor quality, and against teams with strong defense usually have many difficulties

    Braga: It is the best Braga of the last years, with a very good team, and practicing a dominant soccer.
    With the return of Dyego Sousas (Brazilian striker) after a long suspension for aggression in a friendly game, the braga in 9 games only lost one, and were difficult games (league europe, sporting sc, among others).
    For this game Ricardo Horta and Ricardo Esgaio will cause problems to the lateral defenses of Rio Ave, delivering the game initiative to Braga.

    Pick: Braga AH 0 (DNB) @ 1.96 Pinnacle (3units)

    #AHbettingPT

  21. #56
    Fred87
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    Penafiel - Gil Vicente
    Football - Second League Portugal
    18-11-2017
    15:00 GMT

    Penafiel: Was considered as one of the potential candidates for the title, but a weak championship start made this difficult.
    With the change of coach, came the good results!
    The confidence indexes have increased a lot, and coincide with the recovery of some players who were injured. Penafiel does not lose to five games, won three. In the last 3 games, penafiel scored 10 goals!

    Penafiel has an attack with many options.
    Ludovic, gleidson, fabio abreu, this trio of attack is almost synonymous of the goals, also having an attacking option, the "african" forward diouf!
    A victory today places the team for the fight of the promotion of division!

    GIl Vicente:
    The best player is still is injured, the Brazilian striker "batatinha".
    For this game regression four players, however the team animally does not cross a good moment. The coach has not been able to unite the group, and if they get lost today, the coach can be fired.

    Pick: Penafiel AH -0.25 @ 1.80 Sbobet (3 units)


    #AHbettingPT

  22. #57
    Fred87
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    Farense – Leixoes
    Football – Portuguese Cup
    19/11/2017
    15:00 GMT


    SC Farense: Leader of one of the series of the 3rd Portuguese league, he is a historical team in Portugal with many fans. It has the ambition to return to the professional championships, and for that it was reinforced with experienced players of the region, including ex international players (Neca, Jorge Ribeiro). In 10 games this season, they only lost one.
    Today there will be thousands of people to watch the game.


    Although they are playing in a semi-professional league, all players are professionals.


    Leixoes:
    The priority of Leixoes is the championship! Coach João Henriques indicated that he is going to make physical management of the players, since the priority of the club is the championship, having summoned some young players of team B to be in the bench.


    If both teams played with their best players, I have no doubt that Leixoes would win, but that will not happen, so I see a lot of value in the following bet


    Pick: Farense AH +0.25 @ 1.81 Dafabet (3 units)

    #AHbettingPT

  23. #58
    Fred87
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    Caldas – Arouca
    Football – Portuguese Cup
    19/11/2017
    15:00 GMT


    Caldas: Team of the Portuguese third league, semi professional. It is composed of quality mid-level players for the league where they play, with no professional experience.


    Arouca:
    Arouca will play with the best players and in anticipation of the game the coach said:
    The passage to the next eliminatory of the Portuguese cUP is important for the Arouca, and to my athletes I passed this message of exigency. I will not make any rotations of players, we will play at full strength.


    I believe that the highest quality of Arouca will be enough to win Caldas, but with little professional experience.
    From 60 minutes, the physical superiority of Arouca could be fundamental to win this Match.


    Pick: Arouca AH -0.5 @ 1.98 188bet (3 units)

    #AHbettingPT

  24. #59
    Fred87
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    Sporting Ideal - CD Cova da Piedade
    Football - Portuguese Cup
    19/11/2017
    16:00 GMT

    Sporting Ideal:
    Semi-professional team of the 3rd Portuguese League. The island of the Azores has good teams, but the "sporting ideal" is the poorest relative, having no financial power to attract professional players, unlike the rivals "Santa Clara", "Praiense" and "Operário".
    For this game have four players injured important, further weakening the team for this game.

    Your worst sector is the defensive.


    Cova da Piedade: The championship was not going well, in that sense they dismissed their coach. For this match, debut a new coach (Bruno Ribeiro), who has a lot of experience, but who was looking for a project that allowed him to stay some years in the same club with a view to a future Promotion of division.


    Sometimes the change of coach alone has an positive effect, and I think this may be the case.
    It is the ideal game for the Cova da Piedade to kick the crisis, and return to the victories against an opponent with few solutions, and limited quality.

    Pick: CD Cova da Piedade @ 2.40 Bet365/ Williamhill / Marathonbet and others (3 units)

    #AHbettingPT

  25. #60
    Fred87
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    Quote Originally Posted by Fred87 View Post
    Rio Ave - Braga
    Football - Portuguese Cup
    18-11-2017
    20:30 GMT

    Pick: Braga AH 0 (DNB) @ 1.96 Pinnacle (3units)

    #AHbettingPT

    Rio Ave 1-0 Braga

    Lose Bet

    Bad decisions of the referee
    https://pt-pt.facebook.com/sportingc...8685453182915/

    Quote Originally Posted by Fred87 View Post
    Penafiel - Gil Vicente
    Football - Second League Portugal
    18-11-2017
    15:00 GMT


    Pick: Penafiel AH -0.25 @ 1.80 Sbobet (3 units)


    #AHbettingPT
    Penafiel 0-0 Gil Vicente
    1/2 Lose Bet

    Quote Originally Posted by Fred87 View Post
    Farense – Leixoes
    Football – Portuguese Cup
    19/11/2017
    15:00 GMT

    Pick: Farense AH +0.25 @ 1.81 Dafabet (3 units)

    #AHbettingPT
    Farense 2-1 Leixoes
    Won Bet

    Quote Originally Posted by Fred87 View Post
    Caldas – Arouca
    Football – Portuguese Cup
    19/11/2017
    15:00 GMT

    Pick: Arouca AH -0.5 @ 1.98 188bet (3 units)

    #AHbettingPT
    Caldas 1-1 Arouca
    Lose Bet

    Quote Originally Posted by Fred87 View Post
    Sporting Ideal - CD Cova da Piedade
    Football - Portuguese Cup
    19/11/2017
    16:00 GMT

    Pick: CD Cova da Piedade @ 2.40 Bet365/ Williamhill / Marathonbet and others (3 units)

    #AHbettingPT
    Sporting Ideal 1-4 CD Cova da Piedade
    Won Bet



    ____
    0.87 units of loss
    It was not a good weekend, more days to come.

  26. #61
    Fred87
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    Update: 19/11/2017

  27. #62
    silvap
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    nice pick with Cova da Piedade!

    BTP
    Week 11
    3-2-0 248 pts


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