EP36's Equalizers

[Sportslover]

Just had a good look through this thread and your record is very impressive, you've made some very good picks. I'll be keeping a lookout in this thread in the future and might play some of your picks. I'm particularly looking to play some games from outside Europe because in the past I've mainly concentrated on European soccer betting. I'm trying to expand my soccer betting knowledge to outside of Europe as well so I'll be interested to view your picks, analyse those games myself, pick out the plays that I like, place some bets and win some money.

Good luck and keep up the good work, I'm liking this thread!

[EaglesPhan36]

Play #147: [Brazil Serie A] Santo Andre vs. Fluminense UNDER 2.5 (-130)
Two teams struggling to put the ball in the back of the net meet today. Santo Andre have just 3 goals in their last 5, while Fluminense have 5 in their last 5 (3 in one match). At home, Santo Andre has scored one goal or less in 12 of 14. Fluminense started the season as a decent goal scoring outfit on the road, but in their last 8 away from home, they have just 3 goals and have been kept scoreless in 6 of those. First meeting between these two in July ended with Santo Andre winning 1-0 at Fluminense. Even thought Fluminense's defense is pretty poor on the road, Santo Andre hasn't scored multiple goals since mid-August and doesn't look equipped to explode offensively. Seems like another possible 1-0 match or 1-1, 2-0 hopefully at worst.

[smitch124]

Wow, thats -113 at 5 Dimes. Good Luck EP!

[EaglesPhan36]

Yeah my lines are going to be a bit off if what most can get. I drained my BetPhoenix account, so I am using my free money at DSI - which is the same as Bookflaker.

[demize21]

i like the under on that game as well was gonna throw a half a unit on it and juventude over

[EaglesPhan36]

PK goal late in the 1st half screwed us on this one.

[demize21]

yea i know i like over in juventude and coritiba as well as coritiba for the win

[EaglesPhan36]

Play #148: [World Cup Qualifier] Bolivia vs. Brazil 1st Half OVER 1.5 (+155)
This price seems ridiculous seeing as DSI/Bookmaker have the OVER for the match at 2.5 (-160). Altitude is the big player at home today for Bolivia which will be looking to produce another shocking result despite having been eliminated already. They surprised Argentina 6-1 at home in April. Ecaudor beat them in their last quali, 3-1. Brazil meanwhile have already advanced to the Cup and are playing to finish top in the South American portion of qualifying. Brazil is without some of their big names today as Manager Dunga tries to field a speedier squad that won't be afflicted by the altitude. Still think the altitude will wreak some havoc as the 2nd teamers who are starting adjust to match conditions in the altitude. At the price, I'm taking a shot here - nothing substantial to back this up nor would I make a substantial wager on this - but we'll see what we see.

[Club]

Any idea about the full game over?

[EaglesPhan36]

I would think 3 is a fairly good possibility, although you never know what these lesser name Brazilians are going to do - still it seems that Brazil will play hard as they owe Bolivia after they were held to a scoreless draw when these two last met. I think if you can find 2.5 at a reasonable price, it's worth a shot. I think both teams will score with the tactics used in the altitude where long balls & speed make a difference, just a question of whether or not someone gets a 3rd.

[Club]

Well, I see 1st half over is at 1, -126 at Betphoenix so I'll take that.

[EaglesPhan36]

Good luck. Like I said, not certain on this - but the price is just flat out goofy at my book. Hope we at least get one for a push for ya!

[Club]

Thanks

[EaglesPhan36]

DONE in Minute #31, 2-0 Bolivia.

[Club]

Pretty easy. Thanks for the pick.

[Dashwood Clipper]

Good Call.

[Sportslover]

Very nice call on the over there, great odds for you as well.

[EaglesPhan36]

Updated Record: 84-57-7 (+20.04)

Play #149: [Brazil Serie A] Nautico vs. Palmeiras OVER 2.5 (-115)
When these two teams met in July at Palmeiras, it was the home side throttling Nautico 4-1. Palmeiras has been in a goal scoring groove of late, tallying at least 2 goals in 6 straight and 7 of their last 8 overall. They have also conceded a goal in 7 of their last 8. 9 of their 14 road matches have hit for totals of 3 goals or higher. Since the beginning of September, Palmeiras has scored 12 goals and yielded 9 in 6 matches (All went over 3 goals total). Nautico has conceded 9 goals in their last 5 matches. A footnote here for the home side though as Nautico has kept clean sheets in 5 of their 14 home matches and are yielding an average of just 1 goal per match. Still, with Palmeiras continuing to try and hold onto 1st place, they have upped their away form with 7 goals in their last 3 matches. I believe Palmeiras will score in this one and seems a solid shot to score multiple goals even against a stingy home side in Nautico. Palmeiras isn't letting in a ton on the road, but they have conceded at least once in 5 of their last 6 away from home. I think this one is either going to be a dull low scoring defensive battle if Nautico tries to keep it tight home or the OVER gets done with Palmeiras pounding the back of the net. I'm going with the form of Palmeiras to force this into a goal producing match ... fairly confident, but won't suggest laying more than your normal amount here as Palmeiras did struggle to score on the road before their recent binge and it's possible that they could struggle to score again at some point - just hoping it won't be today!

[EaglesPhan36]

Updated Record: 85-57-7 (+21.04)

Palmeiras is getting skunked, but Nautico got all 3 needed for #149 to cash.

[Club]

[EaglesPhan36]

Play #150: [Under 20 World Cup] Hungary vs. Ghana OVER 2.5 (-135)
You can get a much better price than this, but again I am using free money at a POS book for some plays right now. This is a clash of styles with Ghana preferring the attack, attack, attack style while Hungary is more widely thought of for their defense. I think the OVER has a good shot here because Hungary can score. Each of the last two rounds has seen them score and concede a goal, needing Extra Time to advance. Hungary also tallied 6 goals in their last 2 Group Stage matches. For Ghana, goals follow them. A 3-2 win vs. South Korea. Prior to that, it was a 1-1 match with South Africa that went to Extra Time. Their 3 Group Stage matches all hit for 3 goals or more with Ghana hitting for 8 while giving up 3. I believe Ghana rightfully is the favorite here with their extra prowess on offense. Couple that with a potentially tired Hungary squad that has played two straight matches with the additional 30 minutes for a total of 240 minutes of play since October 6th and I think Ghana has the shot for multiple goals, while their defense is shaky enough to concede. Again, would advise nothing more than a normal unit size here as the further these tourneys go, you never know when a surprise in tactics might step up.

[ACoochy]

Play #150: [Under 20 World Cup] Hungary vs. Ghana OVER 2.5 (-135)
You can get a much better price than this, but again I am using free money at a POS book for some plays right now. This is a clash of styles with Ghana preferring the attack, attack, attack style while Hungary is more widely thought of for their defense. I think the OVER has a good shot here because Hungary can score. Each of the last two rounds has seen them score and concede a goal, needing Extra Time to advance. Hungary also tallied 6 goals in their last 2 Group Stage matches. For Ghana, goals follow them. A 3-2 win vs. South Korea. Prior to that, it was a 1-1 match with South Africa that went to Extra Time. Their 3 Group Stage matches all hit for 2 goals or more with Ghana hitting for 8 while giving up 3. I believe Ghana rightfully is the favorite here with their extra prowess on offense. Couple that with a potentially tired Hungary squad that has played two straight matches with the additional 30 minutes for a total of 240 minutes of play since October 6th and I think Ghana has the shot for multiple goals, while their defense is shaky enough to concede. Again, would advise nothing more than a normal unit size here as the further these tourneys go, you never know when a surprise in tactics might step up.

Cheers for the write-up there EP, like the over on this one myself. Going 2 units. Good luck

[TWEETS]

thanks for the Pick EP! Great job as usual!

[Club]

Goals all over the place in this one. Great call.

[EaglesPhan36]

Play #151: [Ireland Eircom Premier] Sligo Rovers vs. Bray Wanderers OVER 2.5 (+110)
Price seems a little wacky to me, so I am going small here. These two squads have played twice since June with both matches ending with 4 goals scored. Sligo has scored two goals in 4 of their last 7, tallying at least one goal in 6 of 7. Bray has been on the scoresheet in 5 of 6 & conceded 12 goals in their last 6. Sligo has stonewalled some teams at home with 5 clean sheets, but they have also been tore up for multiple goals in 4 of their last 7 at home. Bray may not be quite up to that task, but if they can get on the scoresheet, Sligo may just do enough to get this to 3. Worth a small play IMO.

[lamhung_503]

Going big on the Sligo Rovers game, don't know why but I have that feeling. BOL EP ^_^

[INVINCIBLE]

I'd take the Under here.
BOL anyway

[demize21]

on the over also

[EaglesPhan36]

No dice on this one. Oh well, playing it small helped me stay ahead a slight bit today. Hope you guys made out alright.

[Club]

Played it smaller as well so still a slight profit for the day. That's all that matters.

[EaglesPhan36]

Play #152: [World Cup Qualifier] Bulgaria vs. Georgia OVER 2.5 (-110)
Note to anyone reading, I'm not the best with the World Cup ones in my opinion, so use the information accordingly. Bulgaria has scored in 3 of their last 4 WCQ matches. Georgia plays opponents tough and won't let Bulgaria just "show up" and expect to win. Bulgaria has an outside shot to advance if Ireland flops, so they must bring forth a strong effort - which could mean goals.

[EaglesPhan36]

Play #153: [World Cup Qualifier] Kazakhstan vs. Croatia OVER 3 (+105)
Hunch play here. Kazakhstan's last 5 in qualifying have hit for at least 3 goals. Croatia has a solid offensive attack, but has also let in a fair amount of goals. Croatia should crush the Kazaks & if the home side scores, then I think 4 goals or better is a real possibility.

[Jimmy0607]

Looking good on that over eagles

[EaglesPhan36]

Not any more man. 2 goals in the 1st. Jack Squat now.

[EaglesPhan36]

Lady Luck strikes late for a push. I'll take it!