Stackzilla's Picks

[Stackzilla]

I'm mobile right now and don't have my notes in front of me but I wanted to share a trend I might have come across in Sweden regarding o/u's. Right now games are 2.5 or 3 with 2.5 over juiced and the 3under juiced but by tomorrow I've noticed at least 1 or 2 games will jump .5 so 2.5 jumps to 3 and 3 jumps to 2.5 and we wanna bet before that happens when I get back home tonight I'm going to try and make sure I get it right. Once a game jumps to 3 it might be a no play but at 2.5 we'll be looking good betting tonight for tomorrow.
2-0 in Denmark as predicted no early goals still time for a couple more

[Stackzilla]

Terrible read on my end on the under, the Denmark played out how I read it, all late goals just didn't get that extra one, the Bourne pick was a opinionated pick disregarding simple facts, and once again the Irish come thru late.

[Stackzilla]

If there is a line somewhere for Man U scoring an "Own Goal" I might consider laying down a few bucks.


Add-on : David de Gea punching Louis Van Gaal in the face:
Before game: -110
During game: +125
After game: -250

Finally had some time to see how the Man U game went and I saw that Smalling did this...

Holy shit! If anyone reading my write-up actually laid down a few bucks avg lines on "Own Goal Being Scored" +1000. I wish my book had prop bets like these $5 wouldve saved the day.

[Stackzilla]

Tip 1 for 5/18

Sweden Allsvenskan
Malmo/Hammarby o2.5 -135 (4u)


I mentioned earlier about lines possibly jumping over night this is one that will probably jump to o3 in am. I'd get on this one as soon as you can. At o3 this is probably a pass.

[Stackzilla]

Add-on Elfsborg/Sundsvall o2.5 -128 (2u)

Earlier post applies here as well

[Stackzilla]

Two plays upcoming posted ^^^ I may or may not have a play for EL game going to wait and see lineups, formations, and I'll try and spot pick a winner been very fortunate playing that strategy recently. Also may have a pick for Copa Do Brasil. If everything works according to plan today looking ahead to tomorrow. Gefle/Orebro o2.5 -141 . Gefle last 5 overall 20 goals scored, Orebro last 5 overall 21. That's 4 goals a game... Perfect play for my system and I'll be in on at least 2 units after today's final whistle win or lose today.

[mlb]

im on both of those overs with you.

[Stackzilla]

im on both of those overs with you.

let's get it bro

[Stackzilla]

Bang! Congrats all who tailed. Looked over EL game and I'm passing on the lean u.5 1h. Since these 2 games didn't move and these avg either 3 or a lil over 3 g/m. Tomorrow's pick these teams avg 4+ g/m and it looks like public taking books to the bank in Sweden 2 public over hit, 1 public uner hit. Lines might jump tonight so next tip :

Tomorrow Orebro/Gefle -135 (4u)

Recommending bet today not tonight or tomorrow


8 Games in Ireland on Friday going to line-up 3 perfect picks and that's it. Lower Volume Bigger Bets. Let's get it.

[Louisvillekid1]

[frugalgambler]

Lower Volume Bigger Bets. Let's get it.

Translation: "I am starting to chase". So what is your record, smart-mouth ?

[Stackzilla]

Translation: "I am starting to chase". So what is your record, smart-mouth ?

Thanks for checking-in! Well I'm sure your able to navigate the forum but I'll give you a quick run down. i started out pretty strong and hit some big dogs but I started forcing picks in some of the not so well known leagues and pretty much just testing them out and seeing what leagues I can follow trends or ones that are very unpredictable my bets were 1u or .5 didn't start with 2u til recently. Then I started making about 8+ picks a day and most days I'd either go up a few units or down a few. Then going into Sunday morning I think I was at +.97 YTD and had 7 upcoming picks and went 1-6 and 2 of those were 2u picks. So Monday morning I looked over all my prev picks and made records for all diff leagues I've played and decided to focus on those and those only. Monday had 3 picks hit 2 out of 3, yesterday had 3 picks only hit 1 and the other 1 game I read the game right just didn't get an extra late goal. As for today I made 2 picks and I have 2 winners and one was 4u's my biggest bet so far. So chasing??

What I'm doing is smart play, instead of forcing picks or trying to pick a winner at every game and spending hours looking up stats and trends because there's not many sites that are showing betting trends for Ireland soccer not like how easy it is to go to oddsshark, sbr, espn, etc and you can find out the exact number of freckles Steph Curry has on his face. I'm focusing on a few games a day and that's all. So your claim of me chasing is a falsehood. Congrats on your win today. Good luck with those darts.

[Stackzilla]

Oh and currently I'm undefeated in Ireland 3 days of full sweeps in that league.

[frugalgambler]

Well, good luck to you dude. What I did not understand is why you were hostile in the first place. That whole message that I should not be posting in the thread that you did not start in the first place made you look like a dumbass. But anyways, why did you stop keeping your record ?

Addendum: I almost never troll so I am not planning to troll your thread. And I do wish you GL. But I am still dumbfounded as to why you gotta be hostile and self-righteous vis-a-vis random dudes on the internets.

[Stackzilla]

Well, good luck to you dude. What I did not understand is why you were hostile in the first place. That whole message that I should not be posting in the thread that you did not start in the first place made you look like a dumbass. But anyways, why did you stop keeping your record ?

Addendum: I almost never troll so I am not planning to troll your thread. And I do wish you GL. But I am still dumbfounded as to why you gotta be hostile and self-righteous vis-a-vis random dudes on the internets.

I apologize bro,all the time people come to the soccer forum when big games are on the line and they think it's easy picking these games and you hear a lot of just ignorant comments not saying your comment was ignorant but something in the words triggered something I remembered a few weeks ago about someone bashing someone's thread. So I started looking at your older posts but not actually taking context and just pretty much taking all your words and picking what I wanted to see. I actually never enter the thread again after I posted that very distasteful comment and I truly apologize this is a community and we shouldn't be trying to beat each other the bookies are who we should be focused on beating. Past few days been checking out other popular posters and some of the ignorant shit that people say to the tipster baffles me. I mean they come looking for tips because they dont wanna do the leg work but god forbid if you go on a slump. Sorry if this is taking a while I am working my other job while typing this.
I am usually pretty calm guy and I try to help out as much as I can here and on LKid's thread. I honestly just started posting maybe a month ago but it's fun and I have fun doing it. Check back in anytime once again I apologize and I'm going to take down my post on that thread. That tip I have posted for tomorrow I reccomend getting in on it. But def come back friday I've been killing that league and I'll post a few sharp picks. BOL .\


Edit: Stack was a nickname I was given in high school and I adopted the Zilla when I started playing poker online one of my other jobs

[frugalgambler]

No problem, man. I rarely post on soccer on SBR, but I do bet on La Liga/EPL/Bundesliga and Eurocups. And I grew up a soccer fan. The upcoming Euro 2016 should be fun too.

This particular game, I just had a good feeling about Sevilla, with Emeri being a proven magician. He is more or less a "Phil Jackson of EL". Anyway, that was just a hunch that easily could have been wrong had 'pool scored more than one goal in the 1H. But then again there are no "sure bets" out there, especially in soccer, it is all about long-haul. GL to you and your thread.

[Stackzilla]

Thx bro. Agreed. gl2u2. No such thing as an easy bet only easy women

[Stackzilla]

All i got right now fortomorrow is the already posted tip, might have something in Eng Leag 1 and I've been doing some mock picks on Copa Brasil and I think tomorrow I'm ready to post a winner. If anyone is looking at other o/u's in Sweden pass been over the other 2 games and on paper I'm seeing unders and it's not worth it.

[Stackzilla]

Congrats to all who tailed and if you got it yesterday when line was -135 closing was line was avg above -150 thanks for putting your trust in me. From here on you will only see me post quality, well researched picks. Yes 2 overs hit today but we needed games that on paper thought to be 4 + goals FT to be winner for such a large bet on 2.5 if I thought FT would be 3 it would be either a pass or small wager thats why I passed on other Swede games today.

Going forward: CLE/TOR o100.5 1H -115 (2u)

I made this bet 2u last night hoping it would go down but It's going up. I suggest getting on ASAP just checked o101 1H at -110. 1 point can make or break this tip and with the overall total opening at 196 now up to 198.5 that 1H total may go up even more and if you decide to wait and it goes down. I'm still on the over but may double my tip to 4u's

[Stackzilla]

This is a repost from earlier regarding Irish FAI Cup posted on LouisvillesKid's thread. Please read if you would like me to look into this. Either PM me or post.

So the Irish soccer playing tomo is the FAI Cup my book hasn't posted any lines(still hasn't posted)for these games yet not sure if they will so if anyone is able to bet these let me know and I'll look these games over and make some picks for you guys. FYI I've been killing Irish soccer 2 days of sweeps and hit the game the other day.
Looking further ahead to Sat. I'm seeing something we may want to jump on early China Super League Henan/Shandong o2.5 -115 I gotta do some more looking into this game but take a look at this and see if you can spot the pattern that I'm seeing http://www.flashscore.com/match/pWnd...under;home;2.5,http://www.flashscore.com/match/pWnd...under;away;2.5 this might be a big play like today.

Edit : You probably don't have to click both links just click the home and away tab

[Stackzilla]

Saturday 5/21 China Super League Henan/Shandong o2.5 (2u)

Last fixture was later in season 2nd fixture 0-1 but last season 1st fixture 2-1 and with Shandong last 5 avg. 3.4 and Henan avg 2.8. Also Last 5 Shandong league games at home all 5 o2.5 and last 5 away league games for Henan 3 have ended o2.5.

Now last year's 1st fixture only moved from -111 to -125 between Open and Closing . No need to hurry this bet but I will keep eye on it. Also may add 2u latert.

[Stackzilla]

THESE ARE ONLY TIPS BY BOOK DOES NOT CARRY THESE GAMES AND I AM UNABLE TO BET THEM SO PLEASE BET ACCORDINGLY BUT IF I WAS ABLE TO BET THESE ARE MY PLAYS If you are able to pick Ireland: FAI CuptipOK dont pick any underdogs to win. Looking at prev cup years these teams are for the most part like neighborhood teams and Sligo, St. Pay's, Finn are all in premier league. If I could I'd bet o3.5 on St. Pat's/Pike Rovers being my top pick, u3.5 Sligo/Cabinteely #2 and Finn/Crumlin o3.5 #3...

[Stackzilla]

Dude was does mine say SWWWEEEEETTTTT!!! Bang that 1h o100.5, o101.5 . 1st hump over 1 more to go. By no means am I great at picking NBA but one thing I do well enough is track trends.

[Stackzilla]

Well I've been holding on posting this tip in hopes it might go down but it opened -149 and is staying steady or up a few points. This is only going to be a 2u play and the only reason for that is too juicy for the 4u but I have the same confidence in this as my last 3 picks o/u's in Sweden.
5/20 KO 1pm
Sweden Allsvenskan
Falkenburg/AIK o2.5 -149 (2u)

Edit: I have a feeling this may go down to -130 closer to KO but I don't see it getting much higher but I do recommend bet small tonight for tomorrow and if line goes down double your small but after the books getting beaten up yesterday and 2 overs today as well as some people gettng my pick today at o3 close to KO this has potential to jump tonight

[spicollifcfd]

Well I've been holding on posting this tip in hopes it might go down but it opened -149 and is staying steady or up a few points. This is only going to be a 2u play and the only reason for that is too juicy for the 4u but I have the same confidence in this as my last 3 picks o/u's in Sweden.
5/20 KO 1pm
Sweden Allsvenskan
Falkenburg/AIK o2.5 -149 (2u)

Edit: I have a feeling this may go down to -130 closer to KO but I don't see it getting much higher but I do recommend bet small tonight for tomorrow and if line goes down double your small but after the books getting beaten up yesterday and 2 overs today as well as some people gettng my pick today at o3 close to KO this has potential to jump tonight

my book has 2 3/4 for -115 is that still a 4 unit play? Thanks bro killer job in here n Lkids thread.

[Stackzilla]

my book has 2 3/4 for -115 is that still a 4 unit play? Thanks bro killer job in here n Lkids thread.

Ok at o2 3/4 it's a little tricky because if only 3 goals are scored u only win 1/2 your bet. I'm cappi g this at +4 goals scored but taking o2 3/4 may be pushing risk/reward. If your unable to get 2.5 can you get 2 1/4? Juice is probably very high but that has a higher % to win IMO and as of now the pick is only 2 units it may change close to KO

[spicollifcfd]

Ok at o2 3/4 it's a little tricky because if only 3 goals are scored u only win 1/2 your bet. I'm cappi g this at +4 goals scored but taking o2 3/4 may be pushing risk/reward. If your unable to get 2.5 can you get 2 1/4? Juice is probably very high but that has a higher % to win IMO and as of now the pick is only 2 units it may change close to KO

Thanks for reply I did grab 23/4 for small and realize risk reward so I'm gonna wait and see if it falls. I can't get Alt line on this game it's usually just on the bigger matches I can get Alt lines. GL bro n thanks again

[Stackzilla]

Yea would've gotten back to you sooner but I crashed pretty early last night, day drinking leine's all afternoon didn't even make it to the end of the Cle/Tor game. BOL

[16johnnymac]

I got 2 1/2 -145 I noticed the line dropped its now -138 is that anything to be concerned with in the past when my books have a total drop. It usually goes under what are your thoughts thank you !!

[Stackzilla]

If you look at my prev posts I predicted this wold happen closing line was about -143ish

[16johnnymac]

If you look at my prev posts I predicted this wold happen closing line was about -143ish

I did not see that thank u for the reply on it over aik lets hit this

[Stackzilla]

I did not see that thank u for the reply on it over aik lets hit this

No prob bro, if you look over at LKid's thread on the MLB forum I posted a stream link for anyone if they want to watch.

[Stackzilla]

Had some extra time this morning and didn't see much other than what I have posted today for foots so I took a look at baseball. I want to do a few weeks of mock picks to see where I'm at but I want to post picks here in order to track how I'm doing. Now these are NOT actual tips these are what I am seeing and what I am thinking outcomes could be.
NYM/MIL u7.5
Bos/Cle o9
Wash -131
Minn +114

[Stackzilla]

Humility aside.....This is how I'm feeling right now. Congrats to all who tailed last night, this morning, live, 10sec before KO, EVERYONE WHO LIKE TO MAKE $$$ <span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);">

[Booker1979]

Excellent Eye with AIK Over , I took as soon as it reach the Over 2,5 on -110 Awesome!!!