****Buccaneers
Play - Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Game 268). Edges - Bucs: 4-0 ATS non conference home dogs off a home game; and 5-0 ATS versus AFC West foe off BB SUATS wins. Broncos: 0-3 ATS as non-division favorites off 3 wins and 3 ATS covers-exact when fair a sub. 500 foe off a SUATS loss; and 0-3-1 ATS versus NFC South foe off SUATS loss of 3 or more points. In addition, our all-knowing database informs us that defending Super Bowl champions are 0-6 ATS as favorites of less than 6 points as non-division road favorites in games in which the champs are undefeated and off a SUATS non-division win. We cement the play, though, with this beauty from our PERFECT SYSTEM CLUB as it tells us to: PLAY ON any NFL non-division home dog off a SU favorite loss if they are facing an opponent off back-to-back SUATS wins provided the home dog allowed 32 or more points in the loss. That's because these home dogs are not only 8-0 ATS in this role since 1980, but they have also won 7 of the games in straight-up fashion.
***Jaguars
Play - Jacksonville Jaguars (Game 252). Edges - Jaguars: 8-2-1 ATS as division dogs of less than 6 points during first four games of the season. Colts: 2-9 ATS off home game with revenge versus sub .500 foe off home game. The clincher comes from our powerful database as it notes that 1-2 favorites in the NFL, off their first win of the season, are 10-31-1 ATS, including 0-13-1 ATS when facing a foe that won 8 or less games last year and scored a combined total of 14 or more points in its last two games.
Play - Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Game 268). Edges - Bucs: 4-0 ATS non conference home dogs off a home game; and 5-0 ATS versus AFC West foe off BB SUATS wins. Broncos: 0-3 ATS as non-division favorites off 3 wins and 3 ATS covers-exact when fair a sub. 500 foe off a SUATS loss; and 0-3-1 ATS versus NFC South foe off SUATS loss of 3 or more points. In addition, our all-knowing database informs us that defending Super Bowl champions are 0-6 ATS as favorites of less than 6 points as non-division road favorites in games in which the champs are undefeated and off a SUATS non-division win. We cement the play, though, with this beauty from our PERFECT SYSTEM CLUB as it tells us to: PLAY ON any NFL non-division home dog off a SU favorite loss if they are facing an opponent off back-to-back SUATS wins provided the home dog allowed 32 or more points in the loss. That's because these home dogs are not only 8-0 ATS in this role since 1980, but they have also won 7 of the games in straight-up fashion.
***Jaguars
Play - Jacksonville Jaguars (Game 252). Edges - Jaguars: 8-2-1 ATS as division dogs of less than 6 points during first four games of the season. Colts: 2-9 ATS off home game with revenge versus sub .500 foe off home game. The clincher comes from our powerful database as it notes that 1-2 favorites in the NFL, off their first win of the season, are 10-31-1 ATS, including 0-13-1 ATS when facing a foe that won 8 or less games last year and scored a combined total of 14 or more points in its last two games.
