Prediction Machine CFB Half Time Picks 2015

[Slipknot26]

Wow, 60% they're hammering it.
His 60% projections
ODU Over 28 (45- W)
Penn State Under 21 (20-W)
Auburn Over 23 (38-W)
NC State -10' ( 14- W)
Texas A&M Pk (14-W)
Kentucky Over 28 ( 42- W)
NIU over 28 (42-W)
WVU over 25' (28-W)
Bama over 23 (W- )
That's 9-0 today

[dejong77]

Wow, 60% they're hammering it.
His 60% projections
ODU Over 28 (45- W)
Penn State Under 21 (20-W)
Auburn Over 23 (38-W)
NC State -10' ( 14- W)
Texas A&M Pk (14-W)
Kentucky Over 28 ( 42- W)
NIU over 28 (42-W)
WVU over 25' (28-W)
Bama over 23 (W- )
That's 9-0 today

Yeah they hamerred it big time yesterday. More than makes up the crappy friday going 0-3. Think i allready earned back the total season subscription of $199. Still have to update everything. Guess i was surprised about the big number of picks being normal plays.

So was it possible to follow for everyone interested?

But its hard work getting everything out with 8 games at the same time. So that raises doubt if i wanna check out nfl too. Or just keep with CFB.

But week 1 of CFB aint over yet. Still have 2 games left with possible picks.

today:
3:00 PM Purdue Boilermakers @ Marshall Herd
tomorrow
8:00 pm Ohio State Buckeyes @ Virginia Tech Hokies

[Dakota]

Thanks for all ur hard work and sharing.............have u used their halftime plays in the past for cfb? if so did the totals do better than the sides?ty

[Slipknot26]

Dejong
It seems pretty simple how you put it out there
Team / Spread / confidence % / Play size
Thank you for posting and sharing

[dejong77]

3:00 PM Purdue Boilermakers @ Marshall Herd
Marshall -3 51,8% no play
Under 29,5 51,6% no play

[dejong77]

Thanks for all ur hard work and sharing.............have u used their halftime plays in the past for cfb? if so did the totals do better than the sides?ty

normally i don't start betting CFB or NFL till season is almost halfway. Till this weekend i did never bet on 2nd half so i have no clue totals do better than sides.

normally i only play the lock of the week and the best totals play.

[dejong77]

Dejong
It seems pretty simple how you put it out there
Team / Spread / confidence % / Play size
Thank you for posting and sharing

i will keep the posting format the same then. But when many games start at the same time like the 9:30pm slot, I only have 15 minutes of time to enter the info on the half time analyser, get my bet in, publish it on the site and keep good record of the picks. And then you guys have to get your bets in.

So i am thinking of not posting the no plays, light plays and half plays.

[dejong77]

8:00 pm Ohio State Buckeyes @ Virginia Tech Hokies
no plays

[Dakota]

when u purchase their halftime plays, you have to input the info? They don't tell u what the plays are?

[Semper Fidelis]

when u purchase their halftime plays, you have to input the info? They don't tell u what the plays are?

From my understanding I believe it depends on how the game is progressing vs what their model has calculated, so sometimes there is a play and other times there may not be. Of course Dejong77 can clarify and give more detailed information about that, because it may be something completely separate and totally independent from their regular pre-game plays.

[Dakota]

From my understanding I believe it depends on how the game is progressing vs what their model has calculated, so sometimes there is a play and other times there may not be. Of course Dejong77 can clarify and give more detailed information about that, because it may be something completely separate and totally independent from their regular pre-game plays.

Thank u!! appreciate the input

[nicalanow]

when u purchase their halftime plays, you have to input the info? They don't tell u what the plays are?

You have to key in the 2nd half odds. Then based on the spread or o/u it will give you a percentage chance they think it will win.

[dejong77]

when u purchase their halftime plays, you have to input the info? They don't tell u what the plays are?

It works a little different with the half time picks. With the regular picks you buy a subscription and on wednesday you have access to the picks. They pick on basis of the line at that time. But mostly the line you get is different. You have to use these the play analyser to check if the picks released on wednesday are still plays and what the amount of $ is you have to put on them.

With the half time picks it work kind like that way. In short the difference between your bookie line and de pm sim line decides if something is a pick. You basiclly buy access to there half time web application. In this application you have to put the home spread and the O/U line of your bookmaker. Also you have to enter the odds of your bookie it they are different then the standard -110/1,91. It then analyses your bookie lines with the predicted score for the second half and calculating the spread and the O/U and the margin between the sim lines and your actual bookie lines. If like yesterday the 5D line is close to the sim line then its a no play. If the difference for example is 3 or 7 points then it gets a normal or higher play.

Tricky part is when you have more then one bookie. With regular picks the fulltime line between bookies aren't that different. It can be a half to one point maximum most of the time. But its a different story with half time line. There you see more differences in the lines offered. On a few occasions i bet on a bookmaker or the greek line. Because based on the line of 5d something was a half play but with the geek line it suddenly was a normal play because the OU was 1,5 point different. And another thing is that i never bet on whole points if its a key number. So if the pick is over 24 -110 then i will move the line to over 23,5 -120. I rather lay money to have more wins then have canceled bets. But the picks are based on the 5d lines that are at -110. Its to who evet follows to decide how to bet them.

I have a sports insights account for the 2nd half lines to check who got the best lines. But i must say those 15 minutes of halftime go bye fast. ☺

[dejong77]

Pm got 24 normal plays for week 2 in CFB for the full game lines. So we hope to hit that number too for the halftime picks. We continue with one game tonight with possible picks.
8:00 pm Louisiana Tech at Western Kentucky.

[RickTunnels88]

Are the full game plays posted on here? Thanks

[dejong77]

not bye me but people are welcome to post them here. I am only doing the halftime Picks.

[dejong77]

8:00 pm Louisiana Tech at Western Kentucky.
Under 34,5 57,7% normal play
spread no play

[Dakota]

Thank you!!

[BIG Bets]

any NFL play?

[dejong77]

any NFL play?

NFl plays will be posted in a different thread to keep it seperate.

[dejong77]

8:00 pm Louisiana Tech at Western Kentucky.
Under 34,5 57,7% normal play
spread no play

Okay this is awkward. What i forgot to mention is that 35 is a keyline for me. 5 touchdowns. And because the pick wass just over the 5%, sim %must be at least 5% higher then the odds. I layed down money to move it to Under 35.

Total points for 2nd half was 35 points. So my bet was canceled but if you played at 34,5 it was a loss.

Proves again way to buy up or down to get a keynumber. A half point did make difference here.

[BIG Bets]

What book did you use, I have never seen a book let you buy pts on half time lines...

Okay this is awkward. What i forgot to mention is that 35 is a keyline for me. 5 touchdowns. And because the pick wass just over the 5%, sim %must be at least 5% higher then the odds. I layed down money to move it to Under 35.

Total points for 2nd half was 35 points. So my bet was canceled but if you played at 34,5 it was a loss.

Proves again way to buy up or down to get a keynumber. A half point did make difference here.

[dejong77]

5dimes allows you to buy up or down on halftime lines.

[dejong77]

2 games with possible picks today.
8:00 pm Miami (FL) Hurricanes at Florida Atlantic Owls
9:00 pm Utah State Aggies at Utah Utes

[dejong77]

9:00 pm Utah State Aggies at Utah Utes
utah -5 53,6% no play
over 23 57,1 no play (officially a half play but is less than my 5% rule. )

[dejong77]

9:00 pm Utah State Aggies at Utah Utes
utah -5 53,6% no play
over 23 57,1 no play (officially a half play but is less than my 5% rule. )

moved to over 22,5 59,1% so becomes a normal play.

[dejong77]

8:00 pm Miami (FL) Hurricanes at Florida Atlantic Owls
game will go to half time shortly. was delayed because of a thunderstom.

Under 30 no play
Miami (FL) Hurricanes -8,5 58,6 normal play

[dejong77]

8:00 pm Miami (FL) Hurricanes at Florida Atlantic Owls
Under 30 no play
Miami (FL) Hurricanes -8,5 58,6 normal play

[Dakota]

thanks again for the posting tonight. I know its gonna be difficult to post them all tomorrow. Good luck!!

[dejong77]

We problably did a light schedule last saturday with 21 games. today We have 48 games with possible halftime Picks. Here is the entire list.

there is some heavy traffic with the 12pm, 3:30pm, 7pm and 8pm.

11:30 South Florida at Florida State
12:00 Miami (OH) at Wisconsin
12:00 Buffalo at Penn State
12:00 Army at Connecticut
12:00 Bowling Green at Maryland
12:00 Oregon State at Michigan
12:00 Houston at Louisville
12:00 Kansas State at UTSA
12:30 Appalachian State at Clemson
12:30 Wake Forest at Syracuse
2:00 Massachusetts at Colorado
3:00 UTEP at Texas Tech
3:30 Fresno State at Ole Miss
3:30 Notre Dame at Virginia
3:30 Tulane at Georgia Tech
3:30 Minnesota at Colorado State
3:30 Washington State at Rutgers
3:30 Georgia at Vanderbilt
3:30 Hawaii at Ohio State
4:00 Eastern michigan at Wyoming
4:00 Middle Tennessee at Alabama
4:00 Toledo at Arkansas
4:45 Iowa at Iowa State
5:00 San Diego State at California
6:00 Western Michigan at Georgia Southern
6:00 Pittsburgh at Akron
6:00 Oklahoma at Tennessee
7:00 North Texas at Southern Methodist
7:00 Ball state at Texas A&M
7:00 Missouri at Arkansas State
7:00 Arizona at Nevada
7:00 Memphis at Kansas
7:00 Marshall at Ohio
7:00 East Carolina at Florida
7:30 Kentucky at South Carolina
8:00 Temple at Cincinnati
8:00 Tulsa at New Mexico
8:00 Idaho at USC
8:00 Georgia State at New Mexico State
8:00 South Alabama at Nebraska
8:00 Rice at Texas
8:00 Oregon Ducks at Michigan State
8:00 Florida International at Indiana
9:15 LSU at Mississippi State
10:15 Boise State at Brigham Young
10:15 San Jose at Air Force
10:30 UCLA at UNLV
10:30 UCF at Stanford

[dejong77]

thanks again for the posting tonight. I know its gonna be difficult to post them all tomorrow. Good luck!!

As long as not all the games go to half time at the same time, It should be possible.
Good luck to everyone following. Hopefully picks hit like last week.

Last night picks went 1-1. Utah and utah state went far under the total of 22,5 . Hurricanes covered the spread easy.

overal 1-2 on normal plays.

[Dakota]

noticed last week that any plays 60% +, did extremely well. Should that be the cut -off for playing plays? or do the plays 57%-59% do well over time?Thank u

[dejong77]

Well PM Stated in there newsletter today that they went 12-1 last saturday on normal or above plays. So Also below 60% hit pretty good. But 60% is a good cut off as over a whole season you have a 10% buffer to the hitrate 52,6% you need to break even.

[dejong77]

we start the day with 2 x normal play.
11:30 South Florida at Florida State
Over 24 - 63,5% - 2x normal play
spread - no play

As 24 is a key number, i am taking over 23,5 -125
expected score 21,2 - 6,6

[dejong77]

12:00 Bowling Green at Maryland
No plays