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Prediction machine NFL week 3??
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Bomber230SBR High Roller
- 10-15-11
- 134
#1Prediction machine NFL week 3??Tags: None -
opwSBR High Roller
- 12-01-10
- 216
#2I think the picks dont come out until thursday..Comment -
Rob7168SBR MVP
- 10-01-10
- 2313
#3thats correct Thursday.Comment -
woodsyallinSBR Sharp
- 12-09-10
- 278
#4this guy is good i thinkComment -
hallandaleSBR MVP
- 10-19-11
- 2714
#5Yeah pretty good better then most.Comment -
Bomber230SBR High Roller
- 10-15-11
- 134
#6Oh ok since there was a game tomorrow thought they come out Wednesday night- but still posted to early. Is against the spread plays were I believe 7-1-1 last week.Comment -
elvisncSBR Rookie
- 11-19-11
- 11
#8i have no idea what they are but I have to think that either RAS or Prediction Machine are on the panthers in the nfl, line went from +1 to 2.5 fav's todayComment -
woodsyallinSBR Sharp
- 12-09-10
- 278
#9any pics yet? hakeem knicks is out i heard!!!Comment -
hallandaleSBR MVP
- 10-19-11
- 2714
#10RAS doesn't do nfl it must be someone else??Comment -
woodsyallinSBR Sharp
- 12-09-10
- 278
#11is his picks out yet? who he got carolina or new york...doesnt matter since i bet a nice play on the plus 1 a couple days agoComment -
GodsmackSBR MVP
- 10-04-08
- 1226
#12he is on carolina and atlantaComment -
yogohamaSBR MVP
- 12-04-10
- 1207
#13Confirmed, or just a guess?Comment -
joe3788SBR Rookie
- 12-31-10
- 18
#14He is on Carolina for a small play tonight. He is also on BYU for a little larger play. These are confirmed. He is lights out in football and a great fade in baseball. Benn following him 3 years now.Comment -
DubySBR MVP
- 01-26-09
- 3608
#15Is Carolina a PP?Comment -
opwSBR High Roller
- 12-01-10
- 216
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wwraymondRestricted User
- 12-02-10
- 473
#17Pauls picks and locks? Anyone?Comment -
JOe K>SBR Rookie
- 04-14-11
- 42
#18Free PickWould be nice to get the whole pack. They totally killed it last week!!!
ATS Free Pick of the Week: Cincinnati +3.5 @ Washington (Covers 57.8%)
Who dey think going to beat them Bengals? The Washington Redskins? Maybe. I love Robert Griffin III, but apparently not as much as linesmakers and the public love him. Despite coming off a road loss to a team that won just two games last season, having a rookie quarterback making his third career start and losing two of its best defensive starters - Brian Orakpo and Adam Carriker - to season-ending injuries, Washington is laying more than a field goal at home to a team that made the playoffs last season. Read that sentence again. While it's certainly no lock that Cincinnati keeps this within a field goal (or wins it) to cover (it is probably something close to 57.8% likely to happen), it is not easy to rationalize this line.
The Cincinnati Bengals out-performed their abilities to make it to the NFL Playoffs last season, but that does not mean that, with just about everyone of significance returning this year, they are bad team. In our strength-of-schedule-adjusted NFL Power Rankings, Cincinnati comes in 19th, just four spots behind Washington. More importantly to covering as an underdog, the Bengals do not have any obvious, exploitable weaknesses. They may not rank in the top ten in any category, but there also is not any one area where Washington has a major advantage over the visitors.
Ultimately, that's about all that needs to be said for this non-descript game. More eyeballs than previous games featuring either team will likely be watching the game because of the new quarterback making his home debut. When it is all said and done though, this is a coin flip game between two average NFL teams. In our most likely boxscore, Griffin ranks as our third-best fantasy quarterback for the week with 254 yards passing, 1.7 TDs and 0.9 interceptions to go with 49 yards rushing on 9 carries. However, Andy Dalton of the Bengals throws for more yards (278) and the Bengals come within four total yards on average of Washington (385 to 389).
According to 50,000 simulations by the Predictalator, Washington wins at home over Cincinnati 51.4% of the time and by an average score of 26.5-26.2. As 3.5 underdogs in what is essentially a 50/50 game, the Bengals cover the spread 57.3% of the time, which qualifies as a normal play and warrants a $52 play from a normal $50 player. There are six stronger plays on the week in the NFL. It's a bit of a shootout with over 50 points scored and the OVER 49 covers just enough to be considered a "half-bet" play.
Against the Spread Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times):
Straight-Up Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times):
Over/Under Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times):
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woodsyallinSBR Sharp
- 12-09-10
- 278
#19i just signed up for the site...i dont see any 50 dollar credit...Comment -
jack tellerSBR Rookie
- 09-20-12
- 12
#22pretty sure they suggested playing Car at +1 but now NYG at +3. SmallComment -
scottelSBR MVP
- 10-09-09
- 1326
#23using updated lines NYG are the play but not high% ....under 57.....both side and total tonight are under 57% .....no playsComment -
scottelSBR MVP
- 10-09-09
- 1326
#24slight correction, NYG a play but I use 57% as the deciding line.....under 57...passComment -
woodsyallinSBR Sharp
- 12-09-10
- 278
#25does anybodys have sundays nfl list?Comment -
woodsyallinSBR Sharp
- 12-09-10
- 278
#27bumpComment -
jack tellerSBR Rookie
- 09-20-12
- 12
#28High to Low
ATL +3
ARI +4
IND -3
STL +7.5
HOU -1.5
CIN +3.5
CLE + 3Comment -
woodsyallinSBR Sharp
- 12-09-10
- 278
#29thank u !Comment -
ScamArtistSBR Sharp
- 09-23-10
- 459
#30Which are the PP?Comment -
jack tellerSBR Rookie
- 09-20-12
- 12
#32ATL +3 60.1 PP
ARI +4 59.7 PP
IND -3 58.7 PP
STL +7.5 58.7 PP
HOU -1.5 57.3
CIN +3.5 57.3
CLE + 3 57.2
Only total over 57% is
GB under 47 59.0Comment -
Bomber230SBR High Roller
- 10-15-11
- 134
#33Thanks so much guys!Comment -
wheeljack_1SBR Rookie
- 09-20-12
- 49
#34thanks jackComment -
wenger10SBR Rookie
- 08-14-12
- 13
#35thanks jackComment
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