He had the M's tonight as his guaranteed play. This $hit is getting out of hand. My BR has been butchered over these last couple of weeks. I think I've had enough punishment.
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He was a masterful marketer. Went from being a tout that no one had ever heard of, to being someone whose plays were eagerly anticipated by the masses in a matter of days. He was hitting at a very high rate, but don't be naive, regression to the mean affects everyone. There was no way he was going to keep hitting 80%, so naturally this downswing will have him right back to the 45-55% range in no time. Basic math says that if you jumped aboard after the 80% run had hit it's peak, you can look forward to the nice 30% run he is currently on.Comment -
it amazes me that people think an 80% run will continue..they jump in around the middle or end of the streak and keep increasing wagers. then they seem shocked when they loseComment -
gonna wait til he gets back on track before I get back on the train. luckily I got off a couple weeks ago after 1 bad week and kept most my profits from following him. Gotta know when to jump off these cappers when they go cold. I do the same with Indian cowboy - he will have a great week soon as he has a bad day I'm off him til he starts winning. Been off IC for a month now waiting for a spot to get back on. Seems like IC and Lee are very streaky, Best advice is wait until they get hot before getting back in the waterComment -
his bases were never good.
NCAA tourney and nba playoffs were solid...but the tourney was pretty much as square as it gets this year.
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Ncaa solid yes nba platoffs stink he will probably play the celtic game and lose he does not know when to stop cus people keep sending money suckers??????????Comment -
i bought his package 5 weeks ago , two weeks ago when he really started getting hammered . and i got hammered that week ago as well . this week i have been on the fade train and will continue to fade till he gets hot again . just a note jeff scott sports which post his picks on pre game each day his doing really well the past two weeks on his bigger plays . he somedays will lay out 5 to 7 picks per day . his top 2 per day have been doing very well . he picks alot of over and unders . he had both the whitesox over and giants over last night . that both went well over the totol .Comment -
consider fading perhaps?Comment -
i love when people say you have to know when to get off the train and start fading. if you knew when someone was gonna go on a cold or hot streak you'd be the richest person in the world. period. hilariousComment -
if you lose twice in a row, lay off.Comment -
outstanding formulaComment -
nothing today?Comment -
balt Os is his guaranteedComment -
O'sComment -
thanksComment -
You're right lose two in a row get rid of them you can't get killed that way....Comment -
He's desperate 150 favorite .Comment -
Whos a 150 favorite?Comment -
Baltimore was -130. And I'll bet a -150 favorite if it's a winner all day.Comment -
Balt was the same as Mets. -120Comment -
8-0 beatdown.Comment -
hopefully you're being sarcastic...if you go around tailing people and quit when you lose twice in a row you'll never make anything. how do you know it wasn't 2 losses in the middle of a hot streak....
if you bet black on roulette and 2 straight reds come up do you leave the table? same conceptComment -
he had baltimore , giants, clevland ,Comment -
went 2 and 1 on the fade last nightComment -
Impossible to say when hot streaks will begin or end. What is sure is the mean will level things out over time. A crappy capper will level out at 52% with tons of chalk, a great at 56% with a sprinkling of chalk and dogs.
I don't know Earnest that well, except for the hype on his site. If he has proved himself over the long haul, stick with him. If not, find someone you trust. Jumping from capper to capper is a fool's errandComment
