Fading Indian Cowboy-Friday

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  • LightMyFire
    Restricted User
    • 01-29-12
    • 108

    #1
    Fading Indian Cowboy-Friday
    ***Back From The Ban!***
    Last Saturday (2/18) evening this Fading Indian Cowboy thread was deleted by Admin, I was awarded a 2 point infraction for cluttering up the forum, was banned and locked out until today (2/24). A few days prior to this I was awarded a 1 point infraction for inappropriate language. I believe that the next ban I receive will be for life so if this thread and/or I disappear you will know what has happened in the dark of night.

    I am cautiously optimistic that I will, going forward, live up to the high standards this forum expects and demands from registered members.

    Back to work...All stats have been updated using data from other IC related threads.
    -----------------------------------------------------------------------
    Morning, LightMyFire come'in at'cha from www.sbrforum.com where we fade the Indian Cowboy's paid picks at 1 unit per game starting 2/16.
    -----------------------------------------------------------------------
    "Let other people do the hard work of handicapping the games, then fade them." - LightMyFire

    No Work + No Research + Fade = $$$
    -----------------------------------------------------------------------
    Faded Paid Picks/Bankroll
    Friday 2/24 Fades

    (Below plays are the opposite of IC's)
    NBA: All Star break
    CBB: Utah State -5.5
    NHL: Bruins/Sabres under 5.5
    Comp: Passing
    2/23: 2/1 (+.9 u)
    2/22: 2/1 (+.9 u)
    2/21: 1/2 (-1.2 u)
    2/20: 1/2 (-1.2 u)
    2/19: 0/3 (-3.3 u)
    2/18: 1/2 (-1.2 u)
    2/17: 2/1 (+.9 u)
    2/16:1/2 (-1.2 u)
    Total Paid: 10/14 (-5.4 units)
    -----------------------------------------------------------------------
    APO (additional profit opportunities)
    Does not include comps which were also paid picks.
    Total Faded Comps: 3/0 (+3 units)
    -----------------------------------------------------------------------
    Thursday 2/23 Fade Results
    NBA: Knicks/Heat over 199 Lost
    CBB: Weber State -5.5 Won
    NHL: Flyers/Oilers under 5.5 Won
    NBA Comp: Oklahoma City -6 Won
    -----------------------------------------------------------------------
    Inside the Numbers
    Units are approximate as we count a win as +1 unit and loss as -1.1 units regardless of any particular game line being lessor or greater.
    Faded paid by sport
    NBA: 4/4 (-.4 u)
    CBB: 4/4 (-.4 u)
    NHL: 2/6 (-4.6 u)
    Faded comps by sport
    NBA: 1/0 (+1 u)
    CBB: 2/0 (+2 u)
    -----------------------------------------------------------------------
    Analysis
    While overall results are slightly positive for followers, we believe current IC form has a bias to the downside with faders to gather profit momentum in the coming days.
  • Ultimate_Marvel
    SBR Sharp
    • 08-21-11
    • 275

    #2
    Oh Lord.....not again....
    Comment
    • seanrabi09
      SBR Sharp
      • 02-07-12
      • 267

      #3
      Not sure I would waste my time finding data to fade him, but it is obvious he isn't a very good handicapper. He just gets people upset in this forum, because there are a few people who act like he is God. The guy hangs out in his bedroom at his parents house and just throws darts at games and hopes he gets lucky. He had his big hockey play last night with the over in the boston game, which saw 2 goals scored, never had a chance. He's a joke, I just wouldnt pay attention to him. I wish we could just get rid of any and all IC threads
      Comment
      • skyscrapers
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 05-02-11
        • 6168

        #4
        Originally posted by seanrabi09
        Not sure I would waste my time finding data to fade him, but it is obvious he isn't a very good handicapper. He just gets people upset in this forum, because there are a few people who act like he is God. The guy hangs out in his bedroom at his parents house and just throws darts at games and hopes he gets lucky. He had his big hockey play last night with the over in the boston game, which saw 2 goals scored, never had a chance. He's a joke, I just wouldnt pay attention to him. I wish we could just get rid of any and all IC threads
        Dude, his big hockey play last night was the over in the PHI/EDM game not BOS. In fact BOS didn't even play last night.

        Yes, he is a tout but I wouldn't call him a joke. There are so many jokers out there that are way worse. You faders should consider fading the other jokers out there instead of IC as a better option.
        Comment
        • seanrabi09
          SBR Sharp
          • 02-07-12
          • 267

          #5
          My bad - I meant the flyers - THe game ended 2-0, never had a chance. I agree I wouldnt fade him, but I wouldnt follow him either. He is awful and at best will hit 45-50% in the long run.
          Comment
          • bigdonk
            SBR High Roller
            • 12-07-11
            • 114

            #6
            ....While overall results are slightly positive for followers, we believe current IC form has a bias to the downside with faders to gather profit momentum in the coming days....

            Just curious, who is we?
            Comment
            • bigdonk
              SBR High Roller
              • 12-07-11
              • 114

              #7
              Im a very small time gambler and only do this for entertainment, so I really dont have any vested interest in any handicapper, but I have been following IC and from everything I have heard he is a documented winner on an annual basis.

              "He is awful and at best will hit 45-50% in the long run."

              What are you basing this comment off of? Has he ever lost money in any season? I dont know the answer, I'm asking...
              Comment
              • LightMyFire
                Restricted User
                • 01-29-12
                • 108

                #8
                Originally posted by bigdonk
                ....While overall results are slightly positive for followers, we believe current IC form has a bias to the downside with faders to gather profit momentum in the coming days....

                Just curious, who is we?
                I sometimes refer to myself as we. My shrink says I have Multiple Personality Disorder. He says it is due to the fact that I got lost in the woods when I was 6 months old and was raised by a pack of wild sheepdogs until I was 5 years of age.
                Comment
                • BeardedTaco
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 10-18-11
                  • 647

                  #9
                  My personal IC paid plays tracker since November:

                  Risked: $326,127.08 Won: $172,102.86 Lost: -$141,127.00 Net: $30,975.86 Win Percentage 56.98% | 151-114-3

                  Comment
                  • LightMyFire
                    Restricted User
                    • 01-29-12
                    • 108

                    #10
                    Taco, first 10 rounds are on you!
                    Comment
                    • uup115
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 09-28-11
                      • 483

                      #11
                      Originally posted by BeardedTaco
                      My personal IC paid plays tracker since November: Risked: $326,127.08 Won: $172,102.86 Lost: -$141,127.00 Net: $30,975.86 Win Percentage 56.98% | 151-114-3
                      what is your risk per star? $300?
                      Comment
                      • dariofranco
                        SBR Hustler
                        • 05-05-10
                        • 77

                        #12
                        More than 300$, more. I can't understand you follow a guy who hits 56% at cuotes 1.9 with those amounts per bet, maybe 30$. What is his ridiculous ROI? There are better handicappers..
                        Comment
                        • You mad bro
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 01-15-12
                          • 16641

                          #13
                          dude are you down money right now by fading? .. im trying to understand what you are doing here
                          Comment
                          • rglopez
                            SBR MVP
                            • 09-11-10
                            • 1520

                            #14
                            Im quite sure you will be banned before the month and your data is completed...Do yourself a favor and go put together a fade chart on someone else. You obviously aren't risking any of your money doing this otherwise you would have reversed your strategy since you continue to be down units.
                            Comment
                            • You mad bro
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 01-15-12
                              • 16641

                              #15
                              why will he be banned? you cant fade IC i dont get it
                              Comment
                              • RoiScout
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 01-03-12
                                • 130

                                #16
                                Best thing of using a PROFFESIONAL monitoring service is that the data is unbiased and you can trust it.
                                IC's results obtained from The Sports Monitor
                                NBA current season: +$7300 - W/L 26/17, 60.47%
                                NCAAB current season: +$19300 - W/L 49/27 64.47%,
                                NHL current season: +$2500 - W/L 54/47, 53.46%
                                Comment
                                • peppermillrick
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 02-20-10
                                  • 2963

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by LightMyFire
                                  Taco, first 10 rounds are on you!
                                  When did you get out?

                                  Comment
                                  • OpiateBank
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 02-22-10
                                    • 2485

                                    #18
                                    You cant post anything negative or even slightly non positive about the boy blunder. You can cuss and use profanity on Lang but not boy blunder. Could be a racial biased or payments to the forum to keep his appearance pollished for the revenue flow to his site. Thats just the way it is.
                                    Comment
                                    • uup115
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 09-28-11
                                      • 483

                                      #19
                                      if there was a good spot to fade this is it with such a limited card....
                                      Comment
                                      • beastoftheast
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 10-04-10
                                        • 29

                                        #20
                                        cowboy is cold
                                        Comment
                                        • langlover
                                          SBR Hustler
                                          • 02-12-12
                                          • 63

                                          #21
                                          Good to have you back Sheepdog. Keep up the stats for the public. It would be nice to have one on all touts. Two years ago you would have been crucified even harder for fading Ras as he moved the vegas line more than Billy Walters. Now he is almost forgotten, but a few of his loyalists appear from time to time.
                                          Comment
                                          • LightMyFire
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 01-29-12
                                            • 108

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by langlover
                                            Good to have you back Sheepdog. Keep up the stats for the public. It would be nice to have one on all touts. Two years ago you would have been crucified even harder for fading Ras as he moved the vegas line more than Billy Walters. Now he is almost forgotten, but a few of his loyalists appear from time to time.
                                            Ed is a first class guy. I would follow his totals but wear a parachute for a quick exit when things turn south. I would never fade him. He has a reputation to uphold which is probably why he packed in in early this season. Seems like I remember several years ago he was way off form and refunded all subscriber money. Not any cappers that I know of would do that.
                                            Comment
                                            • HoulihansTX
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 02-12-09
                                              • 30566

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by OpiateBank
                                              You cant post anything negative or even slightly non positive about the boy blunder. You can cuss and use profanity on Lang but not boy blunder. Could be a racial biased or payments to the forum to keep his appearance pollished for the revenue flow to his site. Thats just the way it is.
                                              SBR has been trying to prop this guy up for the past year, with videos(endorsements), and allowing him free reign.
                                              Comment
                                              • downsouth
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 01-13-11
                                                • 11580

                                                #24
                                                My guess is you get infraction points/bans because you continue to clutter the service play section of the board with a fade thread. This obviously does not belong here and you have been told a few times but your need/want for people to notice and interact with you continues to lead you to post here. So obviously only a matter of time before you are given a vacation from SBR world again.

                                                Imagine the cluter if everyone pulled this same stunt.

                                                And for the record I neither play nor fade IC and have no problem with fade threads. Just believe they should be posted in the appropriate areas.
                                                Comment
                                                • LightMyFire
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 01-29-12
                                                  • 108

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by downsouth
                                                  My guess is you get infraction points/bans because you continue to clutter the service play section of the board with a fade thread. This obviously does not belong here and you have been told a few times but your need/want for people to notice and interact with you continues to lead you to post here. So obviously only a matter of time before you are given a vacation from SBR world again.

                                                  Imagine the cluter if everyone pulled this same stunt.

                                                  And for the record I neither play nor fade IC and have no problem with fade threads. Just believe they should be posted in the appropriate areas.
                                                  There are quite a few threads in this forum that, per you, are not service threads-threads that fade various cappers and treads that just report records of cappers.

                                                  I would contend that a fade thread is, by any definition, a serivce play thread.

                                                  Today the IC service thread had 2 plays:
                                                  Idaho + 5.5 & Boston/Buffalo over 5.5

                                                  Today this thread had 2 plays:
                                                  Utah State -5.5 & Boston/Buffalo under 5.5

                                                  The first thread is a service play thread.
                                                  The second is not a service play thread.

                                                  Makes no sense.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • dugdogg
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 11-10-10
                                                    • 2708

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by BeardedTaco
                                                    My personal IC paid plays tracker since November:

                                                    Risked: $326,127.08 Won: $172,102.86 Lost: -$141,127.00 Net: $30,975.86 Win Percentage 56.98% | 151-114-3

                                                    IS THIS A JOKE?!?! he's 18 games above .500 so about +15 or +16 units on the year and you're up $30k??

                                                    so you're assuming $2k/unit??? come on dude seriously???

                                                    being up 15 units on the entire year in all sports is honestly pathetic for a tout...he did cfb, nfl, nhl, mlb, nba... really only 15 units combined?
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Stinkfist12
                                                      SBR Hustler
                                                      • 01-12-12
                                                      • 64

                                                      #27
                                                      Solid play on Idaho and BOS over. Honestly, I pick my own games and do my own research and occasionally use these forums to take a play. In my opinion if you can't pick your own games then you shouldn't be gambling because your trusting someone else with your money. If you choose to take plays made by someone else I think we've all followed the results. Pick your own games and if you're not competent enough to do that you shouldn't whine about a touts plays. Just my opinion
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Robert Ferringo
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 12-05-09
                                                        • 1031

                                                        #28
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Robert Ferringo
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 12-05-09
                                                          • 1031

                                                          #29
                                                          <iframe width="420" height="315" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/0MRmxfLuNto" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>

                                                          Yes, I am a retard. I have no idea how to work things in this forum.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Robert Ferringo
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 12-05-09
                                                            • 1031

                                                            #30


                                                            But I will get my point across somehow.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Robert Ferringo
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 12-05-09
                                                              • 1031

                                                              #31
                                                              PS - That picture of the Pillsbury Doughboy was the funniest thing I have seen this month. I couldn't stop laughing. Good show.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • LightMyFire
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 01-29-12
                                                                • 108

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by Robert Ferringo
                                                                <iframe width="420" height="315" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/0MRmxfLuNto" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>

                                                                Yes, I am a retard. I have no idea how to work things in this forum.
                                                                The satisfaction is in trying, even if you fail, then not trying at all.

                                                                I don't want to offend you, but I believe you release too many plays. Love Ya anyway!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • LightMyFire
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 01-29-12
                                                                  • 108

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by Robert Ferringo
                                                                  http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0MRmxfLuNto

                                                                  But I will get my point across somehow.
                                                                  Bravo! A classic that can be used over and over again in almost all situations.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Robert Ferringo
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 12-05-09
                                                                    • 1031

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Haha. Yeah, I have no idea how to embed or any of that nonsense. But I was so giddy that I found a perfect situation to break out that scene that I just had to get it up there somehow.

                                                                    And no worries; I can't be offended. And I am used to people saying that I play too many games. But to them I say, "You can't count."
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • BeardedTaco
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 10-18-11
                                                                      • 647

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by dugdogg
                                                                      IS THIS A JOKE?!?! he's 18 games above .500 so about +15 or +16 units on the year and you're up $30k??

                                                                      so you're assuming $2k/unit??? come on dude seriously???

                                                                      being up 15 units on the entire year in all sports is honestly pathetic for a tout...he did cfb, nfl, nhl, mlb, nba... really only 15 units combined?
                                                                      I'm not sure if you are leveling me with the units comment? My post clearly states a 57% hit rate along with an almost 10% yield. A high volume guy like Ferringo most likely has a 5% yield this season but him and IC both have similar profits. One plays a lot of games and the other is more selective.

                                                                      I can't really comment on my unit size since it has changed multiple times depending on the sport. If you have been betting the same size per unit this year for nba+nhl+nfl as you do for his CBB you are doing it wrong.
                                                                      Comment
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