Fly Me #3 "The Resurrection" Sports Talk,Good Tunes,Great Times, Anything Goes

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • KVB
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 05-29-14
    • 74817

    #157361
    The point of a parlay, say a two pick, is to get both right or both wrong. Going 1-1 is no help.

    A parlay is a good way to minimize risk and increase reward, but if you go 1-1, you may have built it wrong.

    This parlay above is designed to track the flow of money, and there are some "iffy" choices in there.

    I will use this parlay, along with the Forecasts, to help guide LIVE decisions as well as game by game bets.
    Comment
    • KVB
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 05-29-14
      • 74817

      #157362
      I expect Arkansas to start out fast tonight.

      Comment
      • DiggityDaggityDo
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 11-30-08
        • 81454

        #157363
        Originally posted by KVB
        From earlier, this is the sharp moneyflow parlay we are working with...

        K State +107
        Uconn -3.5 (-108)
        FAU +5.5 (-111)
        Gonzaga +1.5 (-109)
        Bama -7.5 (-108)
        MIA +7.5 (-102)
        Texas -4 (-111)


        Comment
        • KVB
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 05-29-14
          • 74817

          #157364
          Don't want a mix of wins and losses here. I want all wins or all losses, going into tomorrow.

          But whatever the results, it should tell us a lot.

          Comment
          • KVB
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 05-29-14
            • 74817

            #157365
            Picking 7 games over two days is bold, if I am on the right track, there should be a spoiler. Possibly a spoiler each day.

            It's the detective work to find the spoiler that makes that parlay useful

            Comment
            • stevenash
              Moderator
              • 01-17-11
              • 65178

              #157366
              Comment
              • stevenash
                Moderator
                • 01-17-11
                • 65178

                #157367
                Comment
                • DiggityDaggityDo
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 11-30-08
                  • 81454

                  #157368
                  KVB, I want to hit ALL THREE of these:

                  CJ McCollum o4.5 Reb -112
                  Jalen Williams o3.5 AST -108
                  Trey Murphy at least 4 Three pointers +158
                  (+850)
                  Comment
                  • DiggityDaggityDo
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 11-30-08
                    • 81454

                    #157369
                    Chances are I got all three wrong though.

                    Go Uconn!!!
                    Comment
                    • stevenash
                      Moderator
                      • 01-17-11
                      • 65178

                      #157370
                      ^
                      I want to hit the UConn cheerleader on the left.



                      Comment
                      • DiggityDaggityDo
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 11-30-08
                        • 81454

                        #157371
                        Comment
                        • KVB
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 05-29-14
                          • 74817

                          #157372
                          Originally posted by DiggityDaggityDo
                          KVB, I want to hit ALL THREE of these:

                          CJ McCollum o4.5 Reb -112
                          Jalen Williams o3.5 AST -108
                          Trey Murphy at least 4 Three pointers +158
                          (+850)
                          Make no mistake, I want to hit them all.

                          But I also have little two picks in there, like KState/Uconn and Uconn/FAU.

                          If you hit the +158 and another play and lose the parlay, that sucks. If that happens betting them individually you would have won money.

                          You don't want hit those 2 fave prices and lose the +158. Then you've lost your one bet. But if you bet them all individually, and hit get that result, you also would be up money.

                          But if you hit all three, or lose all three, then you can rest easy knowing those were the best possible outcomes for pulling the trigger on the parlay over betting them individually.


                          Comment
                          • KVB
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 05-29-14
                            • 74817

                            #157373
                            Obviously when you start talking about 3 picks and up, allthose equations change.

                            But the two pick is the classis example.

                            If you go 1-1, you will have wished you bet them individually. Any other result and you are glad you made the parlay.

                            Comment
                            • Nate rasta
                              SBR MVP
                              • 05-30-22
                              • 2952

                              #157374
                              Originally posted by KVB
                              Obviously when you start talking about 3 picks and up, allthose equations change.

                              But the two pick is the classis example.

                              If you go 1-1, you will have wished you bet them individually. Any other result and you are glad you made the parlay.

                              What about when you bet 3 three games,and you lose all 3 and then you wished you just did one parlay.i hate those
                              Comment
                              • KVB
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 05-29-14
                                • 74817

                                #157375
                                There aren't just two picks, there's a 4 pick parlay with those first four plays, because as I said going into day 2 is bold as are missing so much information...

                                K State +107
                                Uconn -3.5 (-108)
                                FAU +5.5 (-111)
                                Gonzaga +1.5 (-109)


                                There is likely a spoiler in there. If the first two hit, it will be tough to decipher in those 45 minutes between the start of FAU and then the final game.

                                That means FAU could play tough for the first 45 minutes, then the game could turn. I will be looking at potential LIVE trades based on what I expect from a parlay that should have a spoiler. I mentioned having parlays last week that I sold back the last play.

                                This is what I was doing. I did share it all with a poster, who got so many texts over a couple of days it was ridiculous. I never had time to shave.

                                Comment
                                • stevenash
                                  Moderator
                                  • 01-17-11
                                  • 65178

                                  #157376
                                  ^
                                  21.6% of all the DFS contest players tonight are on McCollum as their PG.
                                  Me included.
                                  I thought SGA would be the high volume PG tonight, because of matchups, but no.
                                  Comment
                                  • DiggityDaggityDo
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 11-30-08
                                    • 81454

                                    #157377
                                    KVB be spittin knowledge like..

                                    Comment
                                    • KVB
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 05-29-14
                                      • 74817

                                      #157378
                                      Shaved today though, had to.

                                      Took my son to the AT&T store and got him an iPhone13.

                                      He's stoked. Little fukker dropped his last phone in water and I come down and see a bag of rice with the phone in pieces.

                                      I'm like...

                                      Comment
                                      • DiggityDaggityDo
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 11-30-08
                                        • 81454

                                        #157379
                                        Huskies looking good Nasher.

                                        Are you erect yet?

                                        Maybe semi woody at the moment?
                                        Comment
                                        • Nate rasta
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 05-30-22
                                          • 2952

                                          #157380
                                          Originally posted by DiggityDaggityDo
                                          KVB be spittin knowledge like..

                                          KVB is always ahead of the game.i want to be like him when I grow up
                                          Comment
                                          • DiggityDaggityDo
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 11-30-08
                                            • 81454

                                            #157381
                                            Originally posted by KVB
                                            Shaved today though, had to.

                                            Took my son to the AT&T store and got him an iPhone13.

                                            He's stoked. Little fukker dropped his last phone in water and I come down and see a bag of rice with the phone in pieces.

                                            I'm like...

                                            See KVB?

                                            I told you. I said what I said.
                                            Comment
                                            • DiggityDaggityDo
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 11-30-08
                                              • 81454

                                              #157382
                                              Originally posted by DiggityDaggityDo
                                              See KVB?

                                              I told you. I said what I said.
                                              Rasta, the only way you can ever be like KVB is to master the art of rafter hanging.

                                              Rafter hanging is an art that only KVB has managed to master.
                                              Comment
                                              • DiggityDaggityDo
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 11-30-08
                                                • 81454

                                                #157383
                                                Originally posted by stevenash
                                                ^
                                                21.6% of all the DFS contest players tonight are on McCollum as their PG.
                                                Me included.
                                                I thought SGA would be the high volume PG tonight, because of matchups, but no.
                                                Nasher, do you have McCollum on speed dial?

                                                Hit him up and tell him those zero rebounds in the 1st ain’t gonna fukkin cut it.
                                                Comment
                                                • Nate rasta
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 05-30-22
                                                  • 2952

                                                  #157384
                                                  Originally posted by DiggityDaggityDo
                                                  Rasta, the only way you can ever be like KVB is to master the art of rafter hanging.

                                                  Rafter hanging is an art that only KVB has managed to master.
                                                  Well, then I'm screwed haha
                                                  Comment
                                                  • DiggityDaggityDo
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 11-30-08
                                                    • 81454

                                                    #157385
                                                    Originally posted by Nate rasta
                                                    Well, then I'm screwed haha
                                                    It’s tough, man. It takes balls.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • KVB
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 05-29-14
                                                      • 74817

                                                      #157386
                                                      Originally posted by DiggityDaggityDo
                                                      Rasta, the only way you can ever be like KVB is to master the art of rafter hanging.

                                                      Rafter hanging is an art that only KVB has managed to master.
                                                      Originally posted by DiggityDaggityDo
                                                      It’s tough, man. It takes balls.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • KVB
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 05-29-14
                                                        • 74817

                                                        #157387
                                                        That wasn't me, it was DDD.

                                                        That said, there is certain meditation element that can't be denied. Especially up there in the rafters.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • KVB
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 05-29-14
                                                          • 74817

                                                          #157388
                                                          Originally posted by DiggityDaggityDo
                                                          Huskies looking good Nasher.

                                                          Are you erect yet?

                                                          Maybe semi woody at the moment?
                                                          Oh Nasher's erect alright.

                                                          Uconn putting the entire heavyweight division on notice...

                                                          Comment
                                                          • DiggityDaggityDo
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 11-30-08
                                                            • 81454

                                                            #157389
                                                            Originally posted by KVB
                                                            That wasn't me, it was DDD.

                                                            That said, there is certain meditation element that can't be denied. Especially up there in the rafters.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • stevenash
                                                              Moderator
                                                              • 01-17-11
                                                              • 65178

                                                              #157390
                                                              Originally posted by DiggityDaggityDo
                                                              Huskies looking good Nasher.

                                                              Are you erect yet?

                                                              Maybe semi woody at the moment?
                                                              So hard the kitty cat couldn't scratch it.



                                                              Comment
                                                              • DiggityDaggityDo
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 11-30-08
                                                                • 81454

                                                                #157391
                                                                Originally posted by stevenash
                                                                So hard the kitty cat couldn't scratch it.





                                                                My only two futures are still alive.

                                                                Now go Bruins!

                                                                0.2u Connecticut +1100
                                                                0.2u UCLA +1200


                                                                Comment
                                                                • stevenash
                                                                  Moderator
                                                                  • 01-17-11
                                                                  • 65178

                                                                  #157392
                                                                  I feel like Stevie Adams in a Lily AT&T commercial right now.



                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • KVB
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 05-29-14
                                                                    • 74817

                                                                    #157393
                                                                    Originally posted by DiggityDaggityDo


                                                                    My only two futures are still alive.

                                                                    Now go Bruins!

                                                                    0.2u Connecticut +1100
                                                                    0.2u UCLA +1200


                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • KVB
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 05-29-14
                                                                      • 74817

                                                                      #157394
                                                                      Originally posted by KVB
                                                                      From earlier, this is the sharp moneyflow parlay we are working with...
                                                                      K State +107
                                                                      Uconn -3.5 (-108)

                                                                      FAU +5.5 (-111)
                                                                      Gonzaga +1.5 (-109)
                                                                      Bama -7.5 (-108)
                                                                      MIA +7.5 (-102)
                                                                      Texas -4 (-111)
                                                                      Here we go again.



                                                                      Pressure on FAU, were they spoiler? Can't imagin both FAU and Gonza win their games.

                                                                      But a spread cover not out of the question.

                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • stevenash
                                                                        Moderator
                                                                        • 01-17-11
                                                                        • 65178

                                                                        #157395
                                                                        I wanna have Lauren Shehadi's babies.
                                                                        Comment
                                                                        SBR Contests
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Working...