Fly Me #3 "The Resurrection" Sports Talk,Good Tunes,Great Times, Anything Goes

KVB · 10-10-16, 07:33 PM

Originally posted by stevenash

Good one, John Popper so underrated.

Yeah, but that analysis was shitty. The only thing decent was that it wasn't Houston. The song saved the otherwise embarrassing post.

stevenash · 10-10-16, 07:37 PM

Originally posted by KVB

I put Tampa Bay +5.5 in the Smoke em contest, that hook could be a killer.

I'm on the other side, I laid six.

Did you say "Killer"?

PerfectGrape · 10-10-16, 07:37 PM

fukk kvb on the cubs, watch em lose now. arrieta sucks like a hoover

stevenash · 10-10-16, 07:41 PM

Originally posted by PerfectGrape

fukk kvb on the cubs, watch em lose now. arrieta sucks like a hoover

I'm in love with Mad-Bum tonight.

KVB · 10-10-16, 07:58 PM

Originally posted by PerfectGrape

fukk kvb on the cubs, watch em lose now. arrieta sucks like a hoover

We'll see. I think the forecat is a little pissed, I took his brush away.

KVB · 10-10-16, 09:40 PM

Tampa position is in Vegas but I'll take any Tampa Bay that's better than the 6 point spread and all they'll give...

Point Spread: TB Buccaneers +7.5 +112.871 - Mon Oct 10 2016 20:16EST: TB Buccaneers @ CAR Panthers

KVB · 10-10-16, 09:43 PM

Originally posted by PerfectGrape

fukk kvb on the cubs, watch em lose now. arrieta sucks like a hoover

KVB · 10-10-16, 10:44 PM

Well, I picked Tampa and the Cubs. Both teams started out ahead 3-0.

I hate to lead early.

Tampa held. You may be right about the Cubs Grapes...its 3-2.

DiggityDaggityDo · 10-11-16, 03:06 PM

DiggityDaggityDo · 10-11-16, 04:28 PM

KVB · 10-11-16, 04:33 PM

Took Dodgers live when Wash still had guys on, one helluva price...

Money Line: LA Dodgers -147.475 - Tue Oct 11 2016 16:47EST: WAS Nationals @ LA Dodgers

KVB · 10-11-16, 04:34 PM

lol, Dodgers scored while I was looking for a chick gif...lol

DiggityDaggityDo · 10-11-16, 04:37 PM

Here is one you can save for next time, KVB.

KVB · 10-11-16, 04:40 PM

PerfectGrape · 10-11-16, 05:32 PM

F you kvb, thanks for the jinx last night

KVB · 10-11-16, 05:37 PM

Originally posted by PerfectGrape

F you kvb, thanks for the jinx last night

PerfectGrape · 10-11-16, 05:44 PM

me-ow

KVB · 10-11-16, 05:51 PM

stevenash · 10-11-16, 07:12 PM

Final hand in Rounders

KVB · 10-11-16, 07:42 PM

Originally posted by PerfectGrape

me-ow

Took the Cubbies again.

KVB · 10-11-16, 07:54 PM

Also been playing live, picking up Minnesota at -6.5, -4.5, and -5.5.

Maybe they bounce back from the atrociousness that was the last game, maybe.

Fidel_CashFlow · 10-11-16, 07:59 PM

god damn lip/chin tightness , makes no fukkin sense
surgery was not even in that area

KVB · 10-11-16, 08:09 PM

Patience Cashflow paaayshuunz.

Also, will shoot you a PM after a discussion at dinner.

PerfectGrape · 10-11-16, 08:41 PM

woah

KVB · 10-11-16, 09:33 PM

Some solid men on the Lynx.

Now turn it up for this one...

PerfectGrape · 10-12-16, 12:08 AM

once in a lifetime game

Bostongambler · 10-12-16, 08:17 AM

Great comeback

PerfectGrape · 10-12-16, 06:24 PM

dodgers the obvious play

DiggityDaggityDo · 10-13-16, 11:50 AM

KVB · 10-13-16, 02:30 PM

Originally posted by DiggityDaggityDo

...

DiggityDaggityDo · 10-13-16, 02:46 PM

Fidel_CashFlow · 10-13-16, 05:39 PM

Originally posted by DiggityDaggityDo

guessed and lost on the 3rd question
Most of my 3rd question choices are guesses anyways
good job

DiggityDaggityDo · 10-13-16, 05:50 PM

Originally posted by Fidel_CashFlow

guessed and lost on the 3rd question
Most of my 3rd question choices are guesses anyways
good job

This was the first time in months I went for the third question. I actually knew the answer too (kobe bryan question).

I may try for these more often. But I hear ya, Fidels, question #3 is usually a guess.

KVB · 10-13-16, 05:54 PM

I was going to do a Forum write up for the football game, but I think it's best to follow the story and the adjustments I make. So here's some info:

Sharpest forecast say Denver 41-31. That's triggers Denver up to -4 and the OVER. I think the Total and my forecast are entering a broader short term slump this year, I think this forecast could easily be wrong. I'm not betting the other way, and if it pops as the OVER (last week totals were 2-6 against the number) I don't give a shit. It's a pass. I need more information from the marketplace on this issue.

In my opinion, the market reset a bit last week so I am passing on the side and moneyline tonight. It's just too easy to see San Diego getting the win here but it's the first game of the week.

The forecast that stacks percentages actually gives Sand Diego a win with 24 or 27 points (equal probability, in my opinion) to Denver's 21 points. This should not be taken lightly, San Diego can play with these guys and has motivation to do so.

Public gauge says Denver wins 24-17. It's the lowest total, non predictive but could easily be the winner tonight.

I believe the sharpest long term forecasters and market readers understand there is a rift in the total markets. It appears as though the UNDER has been hit pretty hard by sharper money. To move off of 45.5 and onto 44 is pretty significant and implies oddsmaker error or intention. It's easy to believe they did not realize the pressure that would come by groups identifying what I call a "rift" or more like a shift.

Or, they opened on the high side of two consecutive significant numbers, to increase the tastiness of the UNDER, and indeed we saw some bites get taken. After all, who created the rift in the first place?

And what audience gets influenced by both significant numbers and market analysis? Sounds like bait to me.

The play is to not be enticed by the market attempts to draw you in; be patient. I wouldn't be surprised to see an UNDER, but I also wouldn't be surprised to to see that UNDER get stolen away late, NFL style.

Good Luck.

KVB · 10-13-16, 05:56 PM

Dayam, guess it was a "write-up" after all.