Corona...the math!

**Mike Huntertz** · 03-24-20, 03:02 PM

NY now has 25,600 cases, jumped a bit since you last looked.
5,000 New Yorker's a day are being added to the list. 100K isn't far off.

Originally posted by unde0087

NY is the only place cases have been high at all. The funny thing is the number of influenza cases in NY state is 106k in 2020, the number of corona cases is 23k. Go ahead and tell me corona is out of control dipshit.

**ace7550** · 03-24-20, 03:02 PM

Originally posted by d2bets

What business are closed now that should be open? Be specific.

All of them.
I don't think closing them is slowing the virus dramatically enough to warrant the negative impacts it will have on our economy.
I understand if you disagree.

**asiagambler** · 03-24-20, 03:03 PM

Economy was a massive bubble anyway. Coronavirus was just the catalyst

**ace7550** · 03-24-20, 03:07 PM

Originally posted by asiagambler

Economy was a massive bubble anyway. Coronavirus was just the catalyst

I agree. But closing so many businesses all at once shouldn't have happened.

**homie1975** · 03-24-20, 03:08 PM

Flu does not leave people with compromised lung capacity after it's long gone like this can.

COVID-19 by all accounts is an absolute B*TCH

**unde0087** · 03-24-20, 03:08 PM

Originally posted by homie1975

flu mortality rate .1%.

corona mortality rate at WORST 1.3%

13X more deady than the Flu and is multiplying exponentially

it is multiplying exponentially by the 10s of people?

we haven't even come close to a thousand people in america bro. Are you okay? Do you need someone to talk to?

**unde0087** · 03-24-20, 03:11 PM

Originally posted by homie1975

Flu does not leave people with compromised lung capacity after it's long gone like this can.

COVID-19 by all accounts is an absolute B*TCH

I hope I get it, before a vaccination. I work almost 14 hours a day everyday in a high stress job and have high blood pressure and smoke, I guarantee it won't even touch me. I want it, I want to tell people it is bullshit. I don't fukin care, give it to me, I will show people this shit is pussy ass shit.

**unde0087** · 03-24-20, 03:13 PM

I don't know one person, that is a celeb, that it did shit too. Other than he couldn't smell or taste for a few days, which actually happens in many other viruses, they don't tell you that though. It is the buggyman virus now.

**raiders72001** · 03-24-20, 03:14 PM

Originally posted by Mike Huntertz

raiders, I had no idea so many "young people" are requiring hospitalization?
I wonder how many 20ish were partying in Florida on Spring Break?
If you get an updated table please post it.
Thanxs

Same with Mardi Gras. That's why Louisiana is having a problem.

**raiders72001** · 03-24-20, 03:16 PM

Originally posted by d2bets

Ya know what that means, right?

population density causes more deaths.

**d2bets** · 03-24-20, 03:22 PM

Originally posted by raiders72001

population density causes more deaths.

Well that is true. I won't disagree with that. But I think it's also that it spreads faster in more dense places, but may just spread later and slower in less dense places. But it will still likely spread, albeit on a different curve.

But there is validity to that.

I mean, if you live in the country on a farm you're just not coming into contact with people and surfaces the way a worker in NY riding the subway would. I get that. Essentially, less dense places have built-in social distancing.

**unde0087** · 03-24-20, 03:22 PM

You fuks buy all the bullshit hook and sinker

**homie1975** · 03-24-20, 03:37 PM

Originally posted by unde0087

You fuks buy all the bullshit hook and sinker

entire countries shut down. something like a dozen US states shut down.

never seen this before in my nearly 45 yrs of life.

but everyone is making it up?

hopefully you or someone you love does not get COVID 19

**d2bets** · 03-24-20, 03:43 PM

Originally posted by unde0087

You fuks buy all the bullshit hook and sinker

And other fukks flunked basic science and math.

**homie1975** · 03-24-20, 03:55 PM

Originally posted by d2bets

And other fukks flunked basic science and math.

and believe everything FOX news says along with their mommies and daddies

**homie1975** · 03-24-20, 03:55 PM

rule #1 in life, don't believe FOX, CNN, and MSNBC

**homie1975** · 03-24-20, 04:02 PM

Originally posted by unde0087

You fuks buy all the bullshit hook and sinker

jump in 10,000 cases since last night. in the last 24 hrs, over 100 americans have died

multiply these numbers by EXPONENTS and see what you get.

**ace7550** · 03-24-20, 04:03 PM

Originally posted by homie1975

rule #1 in life, don't believe FOX, CNN, and MSNBC

That's a pretty good rule.

**floridagolfer** · 03-24-20, 04:08 PM

From 1 case to 100,000, it took 67 days
From 100,000 to 200,000, it took 11 days
From 200,000 to 300,000, it took 4 days

Yeah, we're doing one hell of a job.

**homie1975** · 03-24-20, 04:09 PM

Originally posted by floridagolfer

From 1 case to 100,000, it took 67 days
From 100,000 to 200,000, it took 11 days
From 200,000 to 300,000, it took 4 days

Yeah, we're doing one hell of a job.

all a hoax, just ask unde0087

**fried cheese** · 03-24-20, 04:10 PM

Originally posted by homie1975

jump in 10,000 cases since last night. in the last 24 hrs, over 100 americans have died

multiply these numbers by EXPONENTS and see what you get.

what exponent? 4? 100,000,000 deaths a day in the usa.

**cyclingbettor** · 03-24-20, 04:14 PM

Originally posted by d2bets

And other fukks flunked basic science and math.

**ace7550** · 03-24-20, 04:21 PM

Originally posted by fried cheese

what exponent? 4? 100,000,000 deaths a day in the usa.

I'm not sure if everyone understands the meaning of "exponential."
An exponential graph is like a hockey stick. It looks like this:

The Chinese Bat Plague will create more of a fairly steep bell curve. Like this:

**Goat Milk** · 03-24-20, 04:25 PM

Originally posted by unde0087

You fuks buy all the bullshit hook and sinker

You're partially right but the part you're not considering is that viruses that are left untreated often chill and mutate and get stronger season after season if they're not taken care of. They're unpredictable. What starts out as a simple virus now could turn into something deadly 10 years later if we were living in an earlier era without tech. So you should feel lucky to have medical professionals working on a vaccine or cure right now.

**d2bets** · 03-24-20, 04:25 PM

Originally posted by homie1975

and believe everything FOX news says along with their mommies and daddies

Right. See the data, use your brain and do the math. I realize not everyone is equipped.

Irony is the smartest people -- like doctors and nurses -- are most at risk because of dumb people.

**Yulia74** · 03-24-20, 04:27 PM

watching trump do a press conference is like watching the kid who didn’t read the book give his book report.

**cyclingbettor** · 03-24-20, 04:28 PM

Originally posted by ace7550

I'm not sure if everyone understands the meaning of "exponential."
An exponential graph is like a hockey stick. It looks like this:

That looks almost exactly like the Coronavirus charts!

**ace7550** · 03-24-20, 04:30 PM

Originally posted by cyclingbettor

That looks almost exactly like the Coronavirus charts!

If it were exponential we would all be dead in less than a month.
It's just increasing rapidly, but it's not exponential.

**d2bets** · 03-24-20, 04:32 PM

Originally posted by ace7550

If it were exponential we would all be dead in less than a month.
It's just increasing rapidly, but it's not exponential.

No, but it does mean a good 60-70% of us would contract it within a month without mitigation measures.

**ace7550** · 03-24-20, 04:35 PM

Originally posted by d2bets

No, but it does mean a good 60-70% of us would contract it within a month without mitigation measures.

I'm not sure how many people will get it. I believe that mitigation measures like the 6-feet of separation rule should help slow it.
People keep using the word exponential. It's not.

**cyclingbettor** · 03-24-20, 04:35 PM

Originally posted by ace7550

If it were exponential we would all be dead in less than a month.
It's just increasing rapidly, but it's not exponential.

It's sort of exponential, though, because each day's increase is proportional to the previous day's value. So, the bigger the number gets, the bigger the next day's increase is.

**d2bets** · 03-24-20, 04:37 PM

Originally posted by ace7550

I'm not sure how many people will get it. I believe that mitigation measures like the 6-feet of separation rule should help slow it.
People keep using the word exponential. It's not.

It's hard to say because we still don't have enough data via testing.

**Goat Milk** · 03-24-20, 04:39 PM

Vaccine that gets put out too early could do more damage than good. You never know. You can always gamble and say I'll take my chances on my immune system fighting it.

**ace7550** · 03-24-20, 04:39 PM

Originally posted by cyclingbettor

It's sort of exponential, though, because each day's increase is proportional to the previous day's value. So, the bigger the number gets, the bigger the next day's increase is.

It may double or triple from one day to the next but it wont do that for long. If it did we would all be dead (or at least have it).
There is a big difference between "rapidly increasing" and "exponential"

**ace7550** · 03-24-20, 04:46 PM

Again here is the graph:

We're hoping for the bell curve on the right.