The Seer's 2011 NCAAF & NFL thread

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  • The Seer
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 10-29-07
    • 10641

    #736
    adding
    2nd half Cincy +3 the Ravens offense has struggled against 4-3 defenses all year. I like getting a double digit adjusted game line (+10).
    Comment
    • The Seer
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 10-29-07
      • 10641

      #737
      late games, 2 units each:
      Arizona +10-105
      St Louis -3 -105
      Tennessee +7 -125
      San Diego +4 +110
      Comment
      • The Seer
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 10-29-07
        • 10641

        #738
        late game, all 1 unit:
        Philly +7-125
        over 5 sacks even
        McCoy over 93.5 yds -115
        Manning under 284.5 yds -105

        GL
        Comment
        • dkeller949
          Restricted User
          • 11-04-11
          • 14

          #739
          nice hit on the mccoy prop. lmao
          Comment
          • The Seer
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 10-29-07
            • 10641

            #740
            Originally posted by dkeller949
            nice hit on the mccoy prop. lmao
            it was lucky but that's part of it
            Comment
            • jaeguyoon
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 09-27-11
              • 992

              #741
              U taking kc tonight?
              Comment
              • The Seer
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 10-29-07
                • 10641

                #742
                Originally posted by jaeguyoon
                U taking kc tonight?
                I never saw a 17 point dog in the NFL that I didn't like.

                Kansas City +17 -105 1 unit
                under 47 -115 2 units
                This isn't Kent vs LSU. KC is still a team of professional athletes. KC is a bend but don't break type defense. They allow the 6th most rushing yards in the league though. I think New England will try to get a lead and then run the ball more than normal and shorten the game. I do expect the KC defense to force a few fgs.in the redzone.
                17 points also allows for a backdoor cover.
                I added these props for a unit each as well:
                Brady under 315.5 yds passing -105
                Woodhead rushing/receiving under 47.5 -115
                under 3.5 total sacks +105
                over 3.5 field goals +170
                Comment
                • Mully85
                  SBR Hustler
                  • 08-23-10
                  • 56

                  #743
                  Nice Calls tonight Seer, you're doing a great job
                  Comment
                  • The Seer
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 10-29-07
                    • 10641

                    #744
                    Tues:
                    Mia Oh/Ohio under 55 1 unit
                    Comment
                    • bengals888
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 09-27-07
                      • 272

                      #745
                      Comment
                      • Joe Sharp
                        SBR MVP
                        • 06-01-09
                        • 3011

                        #746
                        Can't wait for tomorrow. Food, drinks & football all day! Happy Thanksgiving Seer!! Good Luck tomorrow.
                        Comment
                        • The Seer
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 10-29-07
                          • 10641

                          #747
                          Originally posted by Joe Sharp
                          Can't wait for tomorrow. Food, drinks & football all day! Happy Thanksgiving Seer!! Good Luck tomorrow.
                          Happy Thanksgiving to you too man.
                          Comment
                          • The Seer
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 10-29-07
                            • 10641

                            #748
                            Thanksgiving:

                            Detroit +7 -125 2 units
                            Short week with 2 of the best scoring & redzone offenses in the NFL. However, they are division opponents and are familiar with each other. I think Detroits pass rush will be too much in front of a deafening home crowd in the end. It's hard to believe their last game was 7-3. I'm staying away from the total for now.

                            Dallas is near the bottom of the league in redzone offense, Mia has been getting much better the last 3 weeks. Redzone defense, Mia is 6th and Dallas 12th. On a short week vs an out of division opponent is a big advantage for the home team though. I expect fgs here.
                            Dallas/Detr under 45 1 unit
                            Dallas -310 ML 1 unit
                            tease Dallas -1 & Detroit +13 -110 (bodog) 2 units

                            late games later
                            Happy Thanksgiving guys, GL on your wagers
                            Comment
                            • blackbeSSt
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 09-06-08
                              • 9398

                              #749
                              seer, i guess you mean dallas/miami under 45 right?
                              Comment
                              • Rixsaw
                                SBR MVP
                                • 10-23-08
                                • 4532

                                #750
                                Happy Thanksgiving Seer. I want to thanks you for sharing your picks.
                                Comment
                                • jjgold
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 07-20-05
                                  • 388179

                                  #751
                                  I see a big day for Seer
                                  Kid not even celebrating today

                                  "JJ gambling is more important"
                                  Comment
                                  • The Seer
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 10-29-07
                                    • 10641

                                    #752
                                    Originally posted by blackbeSSt
                                    seer, i guess you mean dallas/miami under 45 right?
                                    Yes it was Dal/Mia under 45. I was in a hurry.
                                    Comment
                                    • The Seer
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 10-29-07
                                      • 10641

                                      #753
                                      Originally posted by jjgold
                                      I see a big day for Seer
                                      Kid not even celebrating today

                                      "JJ gambling is more important"
                                      I've got it all today gold:Family, football, & food.
                                      Comment
                                      • The Seer
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 10-29-07
                                        • 10641

                                        #754
                                        Late add: det/gb under 55.5 1 unit
                                        Comment
                                        • jjgold
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 07-20-05
                                          • 388179

                                          #755
                                          Under looks good as of now
                                          Comment
                                          • NYSportsGuy210
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 11-07-09
                                            • 11347

                                            #756
                                            Any prop bets you like in the Cowgirls-Fins or Ravens-Niners games?
                                            Comment
                                            • The Seer
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 10-29-07
                                              • 10641

                                              #757
                                              Originally posted by NYSportsGuy210
                                              Any prop bets you like in the Cowgirls-Fins or Ravens-Niners games?
                                              I didn't have much time to look at props. I wished I could have. Too much family stuff going on.
                                              Comment
                                              • Joe Sharp
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 06-01-09
                                                • 3011

                                                #758
                                                There are days when i feel that none of us should put a dollar on these games. How can you account for dumb shit like that? Should be a fg - instead Suh acts like a bitch, gets kicked out of the GAME & GB get a 1st & goal. Ughh
                                                Comment
                                                • The Seer
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 10-29-07
                                                  • 10641

                                                  #759
                                                  I almost had a heart attack after that last game but it saved my ass.

                                                  late games:
                                                  Both teams actually have similar rankings but I've been favoring Balt all week because these are the types of games they show up in. I think even without Lewis, Baltimore is going to force SF to have to throw more than they want and this will lead to turnovers.
                                                  the only fact I need for Balt vs SF is: The 49ers are traveling over 2,700 miles on short rest to the east coast.
                                                  To confirm it, I found this stat: over the previous 15 seasons, teams that had to travel 1,500+ miles to play a midseason Thursday game on short rest have gone 0-10 against the spread and straight up, losing by an average of 19.7 points per game.
                                                  give me Baltimore -3 -125 2 units


                                                  also 1 unit each:
                                                  Texas +7.5
                                                  Tex/Tex AM under 53

                                                  GL
                                                  Comment
                                                  • shocktopme
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 10-15-10
                                                    • 940

                                                    #760
                                                    .

                                                    Happy bird day Seer!!!!Good luck my friend
                                                    Comment
                                                    • The Seer
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 10-29-07
                                                      • 10641

                                                      #761
                                                      Originally posted by Rixsaw
                                                      Happy Thanksgiving Seer. I want to thanks you for sharing your picks.
                                                      Originally posted by shocktopme
                                                      Happy bird day Seer!!!!Good luck my friend
                                                      thanks guys

                                                      went 3-0 late to make it 6-1-1 today for + 4.5 units made the day even better
                                                      Comment
                                                      • The Seer
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 10-29-07
                                                        • 10641

                                                        #762
                                                        NCAA is now 129-112 for +16.65
                                                        NFL 102-90 for +11 units
                                                        total 231-202-7 for +27.65 units
                                                        Comment
                                                        • The Seer
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 10-29-07
                                                          • 10641

                                                          #763
                                                          early game:

                                                          Louisville +3.5
                                                          Comment
                                                          • The Seer
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 10-29-07
                                                            • 10641

                                                            #764
                                                            adding early games:
                                                            Iowa +9.5 -105
                                                            Tulsa ML +120
                                                            Comment
                                                            • dfberger23
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 11-08-10
                                                              • 5069

                                                              #765
                                                              On Iowa and Louisville too.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • The Seer
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 10-29-07
                                                                • 10641

                                                                #766
                                                                Originally posted by dfberger23
                                                                On Iowa and Louisville too.
                                                                these are probably going to be decided in the last minute
                                                                Comment
                                                                • The Seer
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 10-29-07
                                                                  • 10641

                                                                  #767
                                                                  adding:
                                                                  2nd half Tulsa pick -105
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • The Seer
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 10-29-07
                                                                    • 10641

                                                                    #768
                                                                    You would think Arkansas was the favorite after listening to the talking heads on TV. They want to play this game up so bad to have upset potential. In actuality Arkansas has struggled on the road. The got crushed by Bama, they got a gift from the gods at Vandy with a goal line fumble returned the length of the field for a td to win by 3, and they beat a slap dick Ole Miss team by 5. Now they are expected to go on the road and face the best pass rush and biggest, fastest, deepest secondary in college football (not to mention history) and give them a game. Please. It's wishful thinking. This Arkansas team is no different than a typical Big 12 or Pac 12 team, alot of flash on offense vs lesser opponents only to be shut down by good SEC defenses (ex. Ole Miss-Tex Tech, Fla-Okl, Bama-Tex, LSU-Oreg). Vandy held them to 72 yds rushing and even out gained them by almost 80 yds. There is a misconception that Arkansas has a much better offense. The fact is Arkansas has 54 offensive TDs this year; LSU has 54 offensive TDs. I think this is actually a worse match up for Arkansas than Alabama was. LSU will force Arky into several bad throws into that secondary resulting into turnovers. Lsu's run game will steam roll that weak Arkansas defense. MS St and UT even had 500 yds offense. This has huge blow out potential IMO. Even in letdown situations, LSU has continued to destroy the competition. I wished it was a night game down in Baton Rouge. That alone would be worth 7 points. Good defenses whip good offenses everyday of the week and twice on Sunday and LSU's offense is just as good.

                                                                    LSU -11.5 3 units
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • rfr3sh
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 11-07-09
                                                                      • 10229

                                                                      #769
                                                                      am on Tulsa that 4th down 33yrd td hurt..lots of time..need a stop and a td drive for us here

                                                                      as for LSU game probably gonna pass but although the line has dropped for ark i think you have the right side
                                                                      unless it drops to 10 then im on ark..but it wont so i pass
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • blackbeSSt
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 09-06-08
                                                                        • 9398

                                                                        #770
                                                                        o/u thoughts on lsu/arky seer?
                                                                        Comment
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