Pavy's Euro 2008 picks

[pavyracer]

Morning Euro followers

Here are my picks for today!!

Croatia pk -250 (gave that since yesterday) .. just checked and its at -300
OVER +350 - This here has great value. Turkey received 5 gols in 1st round and made the same amount of gols. On the other hand Croacia received only 1 but made 4. I see this baby going over and the value is worth it.

GL to all !!!

Sharky, the over 2.5 is at +130. What kind of an over is +350?

[Shark79]

Sharky, the over 2.5 is at +130. What kind of an over is +350?

Correct Pavs its at +130 my mistake

[HeeeHAWWWW]

OK, haven't paid attention to lineups etc, and was planning to avoid this. However, my local bookie still has Croatia 1.95 (-105) - that's to win in reg time, it's not an error, they won't palp, they're just slow to move.

Quick poll: small or lump? Even pinnies are 1.85 (-117), so the price is awfully tempting.

[Shark79]

thats very low juice ... and ur correct ... its very tempting.

there has to be a reason why it hasnt been moved.

[HeeeHAWWWW]

thats very low juice ... and ur correct ... its very tempting.

there has to be a reason why it hasnt been moved.

It happens a lot with them - basically they're small, and focused on horse-racing. I think they take their lines from an external compiler, and then don't update em unless they get a big bet. Fortunately, nobody else has noticed......

[fiveteamer]

boys, pavyracer is chasing. not a pretty thing to witness. this could get ugly by day's end. i'm rootin for ya pavy. hang in there. if pavy gets barreled in there is no telling what he will do.

[Shark79]

It happens a lot with them - basically they're small, and focused on horse-racing. I think they take their lines from an external compiler, and then don't update em unless they get a big bet. Fortunately, nobody else has noticed......

then go for it. GL buddy

[pavyracer]

OK, haven't paid attention to lineups etc, and was planning to avoid this. However, my local bookie still has Croatia 1.95 (-105) - that's to win in reg time, it's not an error, they won't palp, they're just slow to move.

Quick poll: small or lump? Even pinnies are 1.85 (-117), so the price is awfully tempting.

-105 for Croatia ML is not an error. Bet what you can afford to lose. I'm up $2500 for tourney.

[Shark79]

boys, pavyracer is chasing. not a pretty thing to witness. this could get ugly by day's end. i'm rootin for ya pavy. hang in there. if pavy gets barreled in there is no telling what he will do.

Dude ... lets get some positive vibes in this thread ... if u dont like em ... we respect it ... but dont talk about a guy thats up and has registered his plays.

[fiveteamer]

I said I was rooting for pavy. gl buddy.

[pavyracer]

boys, pavyracer is chasing. not a pretty thing to witness. this could get ugly by day's end. i'm rootin for ya pavy. hang in there. if pavy gets barreled in there is no telling what he will do.

I might take you and shove you in a big whiskey barrell nail the lid on top and throw you in the sea and have fun watching you barreled in.

[fiveteamer]

pavy is the negative one, not I.

[HeeeHAWWWW]

Looks like Turkey miss 3 starting defenders and the goalie to suspension/injury, and most of the rest of the starting XI are walking wounded.

Croatia have impressed me recently, Turkey haven't. I go for it, midsized bet.

GL all.

[pavyracer]

Friday Quarter Final:

Croatia to advance -190 to win $500 LOSS
Croatia ML -110 to win $500 LOSS

Props:

Will a player be sent off during match? CRO vs TUR Yes +250 to win $125 LOSS

At Risk: $1550
Balance: $10920 Net Gain = 9.2%

After watching Germany today, which Croatia destroyed and Portugal, which destroyed Turkey I decided to add to my original Croatia to advance bet with a very generous -110 Croatia ML. Turkey's squad is depleted and the back up Turk goalie is worse than Nicopolidis cousin.

Bad day today. I will post my picks in a few min.

[pavyracer]

Saturday Quarter Final:

Netherlands over 2.5 +100 to win $1000
Netherlands -140 ML to win $1000
Netherlands -1 +140 to win $1400

Props:

Will R. van Nistelrooy score for Netherlands YES +150 to win $150
Will R. van Persie score for Netherlands YES +250 to win $250

At Risk: $3600
Balance: $7320

[Shark79]

GL pavs ... that over seems very tempting ... but will go with less money ... I think I will spoil myself on the Germ vrs Turk game.

[pavyracer]

[HeeeHAWWWW]

Agreed with >2.5, took some of that a couple days ago at +103.

Think I'll skip the Dutch to win though (even though can get -125), I have too much respect for Hiddink.

[pavyracer]

Agreed with >2.5, took some of that a couple days ago at +103.

Think I'll skip the Dutch to win though (even though can get -125), I have too much respect for Hiddink.

Russia is very overrated. They can't play defense today. Holes will open up in their leaky defense. Van Nisterloy and Van Persie will feast in a couple hours.

[gizmo2431]

I like the over 2.5 play... I also put in OVER 1 1st HALF the other day at +113.

[HeeeHAWWWW]

Just added a small amount on Russia/draw HT/FT, at 22.0 (I think that's +2200). Pure value bet - you can see the Russians scoring, and if they do first then they could easily sit on it, perhaps only concede one and go to extra time. Much harder for the Dutch to hit back against a packed defence, it's not a style they're that effective against.

[shifer]

Russia is very overrated. They can't play defense today. Holes will open up in their leaky defense. Van Nisterloy and Van Persie will feast in a couple hours.

No team that is in a quarterfinal is overrated. Leaky defense was against Portugal, but even then the result seemed a bit unfair. Then they seemed really solid against Sweden and Greece.

Looks like they are dominating the match so far, go Russia to advance.

[HeeeHAWWWW]

Russia playing well. Not sure they can keep it up though - they played 3 days ago, most of the Dutch team hasn't played for 8 days. On top of that, the Dutch game is intrinsically a lot more energy efficient.

[pavyracer]

Easy win the second half. Russia hasn't crossed midfield the last 15 min.

[pavyracer]

No team that is in a quarterfinal is overrated. Leaky defense was against Portugal, but even then the result seemed a bit unfair. Then they seemed really solid against Sweden and Greece.

Looks like they are dominating the match so far, go Russia to advance.

What's your play and how much was for? What's the purpose of posting after the game starts? This is a sporting forum for bettors not a pissing match rookie.

[shifer]

I bumped the other thread to show that I predicted AGAIN before the match..Russia to advance..what I stake, is none of your business, but I do notice that you are on a horrible run...but most importantly your understanding of soccer is just horrible.

I hate to say it but: HAHA you suck. Go Russia and another loss for you.

[shifer]

Easy win the second half. Russia hasn't crossed midfield the last 15 min.

They must have crossed cause my TV is showing 1-0 Russia.

[pavyracer]

When you win $16,000 in less than 6 months come and talk. Till then enjoy your $10 dollar bet on Russia. Make sure you supersize your Big Mac meal. You can afford it now.

[shifer]

When you win $16,000 in less than 6 months come and talk. Till then enjoy your $10 dollar bet on Russia. Make sure you supersize your Big Mac meal. You can afford it now.

1-0 1-0 1-0

TURKEY TURKEY

GERMANY GERMANY

the numbers dont scare me, your generally lack of understanding of soccer as a game, its really your problem.

PAVYRACER - your man when it comes to lack of understanding of soccer..go back to bases baby.

[pavyracer]

I told you the one laughing to the bank right now it's me. You still don't get it. Cool!

[fiveteamer]

pavy bets 10 dimes a time son.

i know because he said so.

respect son.

[pavyracer]

If you knew who is writing my check as we speak you will drop your jaw. I'll leave at that. Gag order.

[Bet Shooter]

Pavy is posting his plays and bets before the games go off. He is having a great run. Why don't you give him some props, and leave him alone. Or crawl back under the rock you popped out from.

Everyone seems to be a hero now Pavy. This is getting mundane.

[gordon gekko]

Russia is about to win.

[gordon gekko]

3 - 1 Russia game over..