Originally posted by pavyracer
-
New Balance: 7770 Net Loss: -22.3 %Comment -
Sunday Quarter Final:
Spain ML +160 to win $4800 LOSS
At Risk: $3000
Balance: $4770 Net Loss: -52.3 %Comment -
Surprised that guy hasn't come to heckle yet.
I think you'll get it back w/ Spain...
Comment -
Spain has lost 6 quarterfinals in Euro. Italy has the experience. SPAIN has not beaten Italy in Senior tournaments in 88 years.Originally posted by crazylSurprised that guy hasn't come to heckle yet.
I think you'll get it back w/ Spain...
IM on Italy to advance.Comment -
Italy is also missing Pirlo and Gattuso as well as Cannavaro. Spain is at its best in recent memory. I have to give a nod to Aragones over Donadoni.Originally posted by shifer
BOL parvy.Comment -
Originally posted by shifer
All very fair - as a nation Italy have the record, Spain don't.
On the other hand of the equation, the team Italy will field will be the weakest from them in living memory: no Cannavaro/Nesta, the defence wobbly every game, Gattuso and Pirlo suspended, Toni missing every chance horribly, age having caught up with Zambrotta. Aside from Buffon, their lineup will be filled with mediocrity.
Spain meanwhile, are the opposite: the strongest they've been in at least 20 years, and easily the best strike pairing in world football.
It's tight for value imo, but I went with Spain a few days ago, at around 2.7 (+170).Comment -
Pirlo is a loss for sure, but Gattuso has not performed at this tournament. Anyway, they have such good backups on every position, it wont be a huge problem. Experience to prevail again. Pick italy to advance. Spain has such a history of choking at this stage, the shadow of the past will always haunt them.Originally posted by canabizComment -
Good observation. Just like this article:Originally posted by HeeeHAWWWW
Shows its plenty of backup.Comment -
What I like about Spain this year is it takes each and every game seriously and is not underestimating any opponent. Aragones has instilled good attitudes in the team and basically they are giving all the respect to the World Champions and rightly so. The Spaniards are not taking anything for granted, the players and the coaches are saying all the right things...Originally posted by shifer
Should be a dandy tomorrow. Look like Del Pierro will be playing, for some reasons he has never looked in place with the national team.Comment -
I could never bet against the Italians, especially in a knockout stage. They're just too good when it comes to these stages, and especially against Italy. Personally, I'll be backing Italy +0.5, or just steering clear of this game all together.Comment -
Another brutal day for the chalk... I'm shocked you went so big on your action today, Pavy. Hopefully Spain can pull through for you tommorrow. I have a feeling on Italy getting by with a weak goal and a follow up. That's probably good news for you, since I'm 0 for the last 10 plays I've made and 2 for 15. Horrible hehe. Best of luck. IMO, that's 3 bad beats in a row.Comment -
I hate to even be remotely agreeing with Shifer (who is getting more obnoxious by the day) but I hate going against Italy tommorow pavy.
Toni has been craptastic the entire tournament. How long will that last? It would seem to me that he is long overdue to turn it around. If Italy has been playing poorly AND advancing, what will happen if they play better?
I'm not saying Italy is a lock, but I really feel like this game can go either way and it's a scary play. Hasn't every Group winner fallen to a dog?
I guess we'll find out tommorow. BOL.Comment -
guy is chasing. Italy looks a solid play tomorrow.Comment -
I never told anyone in this thread what to bet. I'm just posting my daily bets to keep a record. Noone else has a record here for Euro 2008. I'm also not trying to win a contest or make a video announcing my departure. If you don't like the picks make your own or fade them. You are not hurting my feelings if you bet the opposite.
Good Luck.Comment -
Make it your play then. I'm not your bookie.Originally posted by fiveteamerComment -
Does anyone have sites that post number of bets on each team...what is intriguing about this matchup is people have not really given Spain any chance, if you go to the Guardian.co.Uk football blogs, predictions of a Germany-Italy final are all over the places.
I've been browsing multiple forums and blogs and it seems the opinions on this game are slightly leaning towards Italy. Same deal for Portugal, Croatia and the Netherlands and you know how that all turns out. Seem like people have not been giving Spain the respect and i imagine the Spanish is fine with that and will let the results speak for themselves.
I am just afraid if Spain plays the way they did against Russia (mind you Arshavin wasn't available), Italy would be in serious trouble because the Italians are not built to come from behind.Comment -
I don't think anyone's trying to hurt your feelings, just offering advice or their own opinions.Originally posted by pavyracer
Italy have scraped through, as they do. This is when they turn it on and get serious, it's just the way it is. Spain have a knack of failing in tournaments, just like the Dutch and England, and to bet on them in a tight game like this with the sums you have is, in my opinion, ludicrous.Comment -
I placed this bet yesterday and I'll ride it. Italy hasn't shown me anything in this tournament. Did you notice that even though they scored three goals they were all from set pieces. They scored from a corner kick, a penalty kick, and a deflected owngoal from a free kick. Spain has scored many goals by nice passing and shots. I'm not worried about Spain scoring a goal, they will; and Italy will not score one trust me. They have Luca Toni up front. Can you say choker?Originally posted by woodg8I don't think anyone's trying to hurt your feelings, just offering advice or their own opinions.
Italy have scraped through, as they do. This is when they turn it on and get serious, it's just the way it is. Spain have a knack of failing in tournaments, just like the Dutch and England, and to bet on them in a tight game like this with the sums you have is, in my opinion, ludicrous.Comment -
Semi-Finals:
Two team parlay:
Germany ML & Spain ML @ +200 to win $6,000
At Risk: $3000
Balance: $1770Comment -
Good luck with that. I see Germany as pretty much a banker, but I reckon Russia will get tat least get a draw against Spain, especially with Arshavin playing like he is. You might have a chance though, with Kolodin out suspended.Comment -
Ya i think Germany should be easy money... only problem being if they win it in OTComment -
Originally posted by pavyracer
Great lines there pavs ... GL buddy !!
Comment -
Thanks Sharky. It looks like we are not going against each other this time. Let's win one for the gipper!Originally posted by Shark79Great lines there pavs ... GL buddy !!
Comment -
Lets cash this!!!Originally posted by pavyracerThanks Sharky. It looks like we are not going against each other this time. Let's win one for the gipper!
Comment -
New Balance: $10,770Originally posted by pavyracer
Back in the Green Again at last! No more chasing
Comment -
Originally posted by pavyracerNew Balance: $10,770
Back in the Green Again at last! No more chasing
Comment -
Good win Pavy!Comment -
Sunday Final: Mother of All Battles - Winner Takes It All
Spain ML +140 to win $7000
Spain to Raise the Cup -150 to win $3850
At Risk $10770
Balance $0
I have put all my money all in on Spain guys. This is where the stars shine and I am wearing plenty of sun screen for this battle of the Titans. It was fun keeping this thread for the last few weeks and I would like to especially thank everyone that contributed, positive and negative.
Comment -
Is this playmoney or you actually risked ALL in real funds?Originally posted by pavyracerSunday Final: Mother of All Battles - Winner Takes It All
Spain ML +140 to win $7000
Spain to Raise the Cup -150 to win $3850
At Risk $10770
Balance $0
I have put all my money all in on Spain guys. This is where the stars shine and I am wearing plenty of sun screen for this battle of the Titans. It was fun keeping this thread for the last few weeks and I would like to especially thank everyone that contributed, positive and negative.
Comment -
It's money I won in January when I bet 10 dimes on LSU to beat OSU on BCS. So yes is real funds I didn't use from my previous win.Originally posted by shiferComment -
OkOriginally posted by pavyracer
Good luck..
But to quote Gary Lineker:
"Soccer is a game for 22 people that run around, play the ball, and one referee who makes a slew of mistakes, and in the end Germany always wins." Gary Lineker
He was told to explain soccer to some Americans in a bok many years ago..Comment -
True. I could have also bought 10,000 scratch tickets and wish I doubled my money after getting carpal syndrome from scratching all day. I chose to invest my money with Spain. If Turkey's subs can bring it on to Germany, I'm pretty sure Spain's starters will do the same too.Originally posted by shiferOk Good luck..
But to quote Gary Lineker:
"Soccer is a game for 22 people that run around, play the ball, and one referee who makes a slew of mistakes, and in the end Germany always wins." Gary Lineker
He was told to explain soccer to some Americans in a bok many years ago..
Comment -
Just like Portugal did? Backing Spain is the mugs bet.Originally posted by pavyracerTrue. I could have also bought 10,000 scratch tickets and wish I doubled my money after getting carpal syndrome from scratching all day. I chose to invest my money with Spain. If Turkey's subs can bring it on to Germany, I'm pretty sure Spain's starters will do the same too.Comment -
Spain has not conceded a goal for the last two games. Germany conceded 4 goals the last two games. Defense wins championships, offense wins viewers. I'd take Casillas over Lehman anytime.Originally posted by woodg8Comment -
Only worry for me is the Spaniards slightly struggle to create chances outside of an open game. They looked toothless against Italy much of the match, and only really looked good against Russia after getting a goal (and that was a little lucky, Iniesta's shot ended up being a perfect cross), and the game opening up.
Having said that, the German defence is amusing. Mertesacker is a donkey against any movement from the strikers, and Lehman is a liability.Comment
