Pavy's Euro 2008 picks

[pavyracer]

Villa is probably out for the final and Spain will be playing 4-5-1 with Fabregas in the midfield. This system was used by Spain in qualifiers with great success. There are too many holes in the German defensive positions to seriously consider any bets for them. Turkey pulled that team apart with 18 attempts on goal and 12 saves.

[Shark79]

I dont see Spain being affected by Villa ... when he left the field against Russia the game was still scoreless .... NO reason why to worry about them.

[Shark79]

Sunday Final: Mother of All Battles - Winner Takes It All

Spain ML +140 to win $7000
Spain to Raise the Cup -150 to win $3850

At Risk $10770
Balance $0

I have put all my money all in on Spain guys. This is where the stars shine and I am wearing plenty of sun screen for this battle of the Titans. It was fun keeping this thread for the last few weeks and I would like to especially thank everyone that contributed, positive and negative.

Solid picks Pavs!!!

We will be swimming in money on Sunday afternoon !!!!

[ryanXL977]

the way spain has played the last 3 weeks, they wont be losing to the krauts

[rake922]

Sunday Final: Mother of All Battles - Winner Takes It All

Spain ML +140 to win $7000
Spain to Raise the Cup -150 to win $3850

At Risk $10770
Balance $0

What happens if the score after regulation is 1-1 , but then Spain wins in the shootout.

A push? a loss? or a win?

[pavyracer]

What happens if the score after regulation is 1-1 , but then Spain wins in the shootout.

A push? a loss? or a win?

I will lose the first bet but win the second one.

The second bet is to raise the cup; it cashes with a regular time win, overtime win, or penalty shootout.

[Totolover1409]

I Just want to thank Pavy and nasdaq and shark for helpin me out with the bets during the Euro cup. I was for the most part successful.

Good calls guys

[pavyracer]

I Just want to thank Pavy and nasdaq and shark for helpin me out with the bets during the Euro cup. I was for the most part successful.

Good calls guys

Everyone that contributed should be happy. As always be at your own risk and bet only as much as you can afford to lose. The ball is round and sometimes it gets funny hops.

[Tevez]

2 lessons on Soccer finals

1) Be carefull with Germany

2)Don´t trust in Spain

[pavyracer]

2 lessons on Soccer finals

1) Be carefull with Germany

2)Don´t trust in Spain

Can you name which final Spain lost?

Thanks.

[canabiz]

Can you name which final Spain lost?

Thanks.

One that came to mind is the Euro 1984 in France.

GL Pav, I am on the other side of the ball, guess one of us will have to be the winner.

[pavyracer]

One that came to mind is the Euro 1984 in France.

GL Pav, I am on the other side of the ball, guess one of us will have to be the winner.

Germany lost the 1966 WC, 1976 Euro, 1982 WC, 1986 WC, 2002 WC finals.

Germany has actually lost more finals than won, not what you want to call a banker.

[TheLock]

great thread Pavy and every way I look at this match I can't see Germany ending up on top.

Good luck!

[pavyracer]

great thread Pavy and every way I look at this match I can't see Germany ending up on top.

Good luck!

Thanks man. Just presenting the facts. I'll let the jury decide.

[TheLock]

Anyone else gonna be kinda bummed out when the Euro is done?

Loved having those afternoon matches to watch. Gonna be a long 2 years till the Cup in 2010.

[shifer]

Spain won the final in 64, then lost in 1984. Never been in the world cup finals..so cant say they are experienced in this situation. I agree with Pavy, they look really strong, but for some reason..I stick to Germany.

[shifer]

http://www.goal.com/EN/Articolo.aspx?ContenutoId=699120

Germany have a good claim to being the most celebrated football nation in the world. True, Brazil and Italy both have won more world cups with five and four respectively, but overall the Germans' record in the World Cup reads as finalists seven times and winner on three occasions. But, it is in the European Championship where Germans have reigned supreme.

And dont forget Germany was not Germany until 1990.

[nasdaq888]

Germany lost the 1966 WC, 1976 Euro, 1982 WC, 1986 WC, 2002 WC finals.

Germany has actually lost more finals than won, not what you want to call a banker.

You are right Pavy. In fact not too long ago the Germans lost another Final which was EURO 1992. Denmark had caused an upset by beating Germany 2-0 in the Final.

Most people had thought Denmark were just making up the numbers in EURO 1992 cause they had only replaced Yugoslavia at the 11th hour. Yugoslavia were thrown out of EURO 1992 by UEFA due to the Balkan War.

Most people still think Greece (winner EURO 2004) were the Cinderella team in the history of the EUROs but if you ask me, I think Denmark were the real Cinderella team because they were not prepared for EURO 1992 (having been called up to replace Yugoslavia just before the start of the tournament) and also they had played attacking football unlike Greece who played very defensive negative football in EURO 2004.

I have not placed my bet for this Final but I would prefer Spain to win it cause I love teams that have some flair and play touch football like what the Spanish do.

As for the Asian Handicapping (AH) line for the Final of the previous EUROs, just to let you guys know that the favourites have not covered the spead since France beat Spain 2-0 in EURO 1984. For the Final of EURO 1988, 1992, 1996, 2000, and 2004, if you had taken the underdog for the Asian line (meaning +0/+0.5, +0.5, +0.5/+1, etc.), you would have won in all those Finals.

Cheers and GL to everybody !!!

[nasdaq888]

I Just want to thank Pavy and nasdaq and shark for helpin me out with the bets during the Euro cup. I was for the most part successful.

Good calls guys

Totolover, thanks for your compliment. I hope you had enjoyed this EURO and that you will continue to make lots of $$$.

[nasdaq888]

Anyone else gonna be kinda bummed out when the Euro is done?

Loved having those afternoon matches to watch. Gonna be a long 2 years till the Cup in 2010.

The Lock, we...the diehard football (soccer in the USA and Canada) fans are done yet. We are looking forward to the start of European football season in August.

The English FA Community Shield match between Man Utd and Portsmouth on August 10 which is just 6 weeks away, will kickstart the 2008-09 English football season.

[pavyracer]

Great stuff nasdaq888! How can I forget Denmark cinderella story? Another Germany loss at finals. They seem to choke no matter if they are favorites or dogs.

Spain will not lose this game.

[Tevez]

Can you name which final Spain lost?

Thanks.

To loose a final you have to reach one

Spain never won a World Cup

I only say Germany are more experienced at this stage.

Anyway, great thread and GL with Spain

[smallon]

I'm going with you on this one Pavy - we gotta make up for the ridiculous Soto loss

[shantystar]

nice record

[gordon gekko]

Pavy I am following you on this one and taking Spain, how much do you think it will effect Germany with out Ballack?

[pavyracer]

Pavy I am following you on this one and taking Spain, how much do you think it will effect Germany with out Ballack?

If Ballack doesn't play and with Torsten Frings playing with a broken rib and Simon Rolfes playing with stiches after gashing his head in Turkey game it leaves Bastian Schweinsteiger, which is their best goal thread from midfield, to be playing as a defensive midfielder. The Spain midfield which runs relentelsly and is highly skilled in short passes and crafty dribbling will force the tall and slow german midfield into lot's of fouls and possibly a yellow or red card from Schweinsteger who lost his cool against Croatia and was send off. There is a very big disparity at the midfield talent between these two teams and with Spain playing 4-5-1 with five midfielders I believe they will win the midfield battle and by 2nd half they will disect the German defenses which they will collapse worse than V-Day on Normandy beaches.

[gordon gekko]

Ok Pavy I just doubled down on Spain, nice write up.

[McBa1n]

GL today, Pavs. Hope your 'all in' works better than mine did. F, GL to everyone. Love these international tournies... Can't wait for the World Cup in 2 years.

[apk2k6]

Congrats Pavy!!

By the way which book let you bet so much, I'm guessing matchbook?

[McBa1n]

someone's going to sizzler tonight. strong work and nice job in the tournament.

[Rage1hp]

Congratulations. Good Job

[pavyracer]

Guys thanx. I have relatives in Europe where you can bet thousands. It's also tax free from Uncle Sam. I have an escrow account in a Swiss bank for my profits.

[pavyracer]

Sunday Final: Mother of All Battles - Winner Takes It All

Spain ML +140 to win $7000 WIN
Spain to Raise the Cup -150 to win $3850 WIN

At Risk $10770
Balance $0

I have put all my money all in on Spain guys. This is where the stars shine and I am wearing plenty of sun screen for this battle of the Titans. It was fun keeping this thread for the last few weeks and I would like to especially thank everyone that contributed, positive and negative,

Initial Balance: $10,000
Final Balance: $21620
Net Gain: $11,620 116.2%

This is how the pros do it guys. I have yet to lose a major final the last two years. Florida NCAA hoops, LSU NCAA football, Giants Superbowl, Euro 2008 Spain.

[gordon gekko]

round of applause for Pavy banked on Spain thanks pal.

[gordon gekko]