Why Does Sports Betting Get Harder Every Year?? What IS Going On?

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  • jjgold
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 07-20-05
    • 388179

    #1
    Why Does Sports Betting Get Harder Every Year?? What IS Going On?
    Even though I lose I had great runs during my career

    Now mainly lose weekly mixed in with an occasional good week
  • sweep
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 10-09-10
    • 16753

    #2
    No money unless agent on a 50/50
    Comment
    • shadymcgrady
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 02-27-12
      • 10036

      #3
      I think I'm just getting dumber every yr
      Comment
      • Buffalo Nickle
        SBR MVP
        • 11-12-14
        • 3228

        #4
        Nerds.
        Comment
        • rkelly110
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 10-05-09
          • 39691

          #5
          Look more deeply into why you won. Everyone losses at some point. Looking into why you won can bring insight.
          Comment
          • Snowball
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 11-15-09
            • 30058

            #6
            Deceptive strength and parity.

            The younger generation of athletes are soft.
            They grew up with political correctness, smartphones and social media.
            Comment
            • sweep
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 10-09-10
              • 16753

              #7
              bunch of broke dikk non-pros in this thread-​USCPHILLYGUY
              Comment
              • juicername
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 10-14-15
                • 6906

                #8
                Selective memory

                You've always lost at the same rate

                Books always win
                Comment
                • rkelly110
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 10-05-09
                  • 39691

                  #9
                  Originally posted by sweep
                  bunch of broke dikk non-pros in this thread-​USCPHILLYGUY
                  sweeper......lend me a c note to go pro pal..........broke dikk here.
                  Comment
                  • Sam Odom
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 10-30-05
                    • 58063

                    #10
                    instantaneous info transfer

                    99.5% lose $$$ long term at -110 or worse... always have



                    .
                    Comment
                    • Seaweed
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 01-19-12
                      • 26318

                      #11
                      Books adjusted

                      Athletes more unpredictable because of ADHD
                      Comment
                      • Snowball
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 11-15-09
                        • 30058

                        #12
                        Just look at an idiot like James Soften
                        and you have your answer

                        I am still trying to recoup from the damage.
                        Comment
                        • arie1985
                          SBR MVP
                          • 03-19-08
                          • 1635

                          #13
                          Odds are stacked against you.
                          Sports can be rigged (e.g. NBA).
                          The house always wins.
                          Betting is based on randomness and always is.
                          Comment
                          • Philmill
                            SBR MVP
                            • 09-30-11
                            • 4275

                            #14
                            Firing from the hip doesn't get it done
                            System play only way Boss
                            💡💡💡
                            Comment
                            • jjgold
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 07-20-05
                              • 388179

                              #15
                              The athlete more unpredictable is a common them many think is the reason followed by parity
                              Comment
                              • JIBBBY
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 12-10-09
                                • 83686

                                #16
                                Playoffs are usually tough and tricky to bet on in NHL and NBA, MLB season just started, hard to get a real feel for most teams and pitchers still...

                                Give it time JJ.. I do most of my damage in the middle of sports seasons usually around the half way mark and beyond..

                                Keep the chin up and by your time.. Reduce your betting amounts for now is my best advice if you are up against it..

                                I actually have done well with these NBA playoffs but got slammed with the NHL so far.. It's pretty much balanced out so I'm not that happy either..
                                Comment
                                • lakerboy
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 04-02-09
                                  • 94379

                                  #17
                                  Favorite betting kills.
                                  Comment
                                  • boneheaded1
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 12-09-10
                                    • 815

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by jjgold
                                    Even though I lose I had great runs during my career

                                    Now mainly lose weekly mixed in with an occasional good week
                                    The answer is simple. Make better bets.
                                    Comment
                                    • boneheaded1
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 12-09-10
                                      • 815

                                      #19
                                      This is why I ONLY bet football. Every other sport it is OK to lose more than a few games. A bad loss will not potentially put you behind the 8 ball. Mailing one in won't kill your season. Whereas in football, that one bad loss could ruin your season and knock you out of the playoffs.

                                      Also, I think huge guaranteed contracts makes a big difference, too. The term "contract year" has become synonymous with "actually performing to their peak." It is again why I exclusively bet on football. Not many guys with large guaranteed contracts so they are playing for their contract in every game. And in college, the difference between 1st and 2nd string can be pretty slim and scholarships are year to year.
                                      Comment
                                      • rm18
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 09-20-05
                                        • 22291

                                        #20
                                        More games on tv and advanced stats and models makes it harder to win these days. Also alot of easy money books folded up and merged with big ones.
                                        Comment
                                        • Harry N. Lloyd
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 03-26-08
                                          • 4810

                                          #21
                                          Guys, bet sports for fun or to satisfy your need to be a degenerate. Do not bet sports to make a living. The "Random Walk" theory in the stock market suggests that the market is efficiently priced. Stock prices are set by a cumulation of all the information available and so theoretically there are no bargains out there. If there were, smart money would pounce and a new price would be established.

                                          It's the same in sports. Each line is efficiently priced. There are no linemakers mistakes. It's a 50/50 proposition, just like flipping coins. Unfortunately we pay a vig on our losses, so mathematics dictates that we will lose in the long run.

                                          If you don't believe me, look at JJ's spreadsheet. He's consistently around 50%, yet he's down mucho money.
                                          Comment
                                          • juicername
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 10-14-15
                                            • 6906

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by Harry N. Lloyd
                                            Guys, bet sports for fun or to satisfy your need to be a degenerate. Do not bet sports to make a living. The "Random Walk" theory in the stock market suggests that the market is efficiently priced. Stock prices are set by a cumulation of all the information available and so theoretically there are no bargains out there. If there were, smart money would pounce and a new price would be established.

                                            It's the same in sports. Each line is efficiently priced. There are no linemakers mistakes. It's a 50/50 proposition, just like flipping coins. Unfortunately we pay a vig on our losses, so mathematics dictates that we will lose in the long run.

                                            If you don't believe me, look at JJ's spreadsheet. He's consistently around 50%, yet he's down mucho money.
                                            That's because JJ is betting favorites. Hit dogs at a 50% clip and you're golden.
                                            Comment
                                            • homie1975
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 12-24-13
                                              • 15452

                                              #23
                                              Easy answer. Internet age changed everything. Computers make the info and data available for everywhere so the edges are razor thin. No soft lines anymore
                                              Comment
                                              • jjgold
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 07-20-05
                                                • 388179

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by Harry N. Lloyd
                                                Guys, bet sports for fun or to satisfy your need to be a degenerate. Do not bet sports to make a living. The "Random Walk" theory in the stock market suggests that the market is efficiently priced. Stock prices are set by a cumulation of all the information available and so theoretically there are no bargains out there. If there were, smart money would pounce and a new price would be established.

                                                It's the same in sports. Each line is efficiently priced. There are no linemakers mistakes. It's a 50/50 proposition, just like flipping coins. Unfortunately we pay a vig on our losses, so mathematics dictates that we will lose in the long run.

                                                If you don't believe me, look at JJ's spreadsheet. He's consistently around 50%, yet he's down mucho money.
                                                Tremendous post

                                                People do not realize stock market is priced perfectly it is why 50% whether an instrument goes up or down anytime you get in
                                                Comment
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