1. #1
    jjgold
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    Why Does Sports Betting Get Harder Every Year?? What IS Going On?

    Even though I lose I had great runs during my career

    Now mainly lose weekly mixed in with an occasional good week

  2. #2
    sweep
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    No money unless agent on a 50/50

  3. #3
    shadymcgrady
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    I think I'm just getting dumber every yr

  4. #4
    Buffalo Nickle
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    Nerds.

  5. #5
    rkelly110
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    Look more deeply into why you won. Everyone losses at some point. Looking into why you won can bring insight.

  6. #6
    Snowball
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    Deceptive strength and parity.

    The younger generation of athletes are soft.
    They grew up with political correctness, smartphones and social media.

  7. #7
    sweep
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    bunch of broke dikk non-pros in this thread-​USCPHILLYGUY

  8. #8
    juicername
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    Selective memory

    You've always lost at the same rate

    Books always win

  9. #9
    rkelly110
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    Quote Originally Posted by sweep View Post
    bunch of broke dikk non-pros in this thread-​USCPHILLYGUY
    sweeper......lend me a c note to go pro pal..........broke dikk here.

  10. #10
    Sam Odom
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    instantaneous info transfer

    99.5% lose $$$ long term at -110 or worse... always have



    .
    Last edited by Sam Odom; 05-26-17 at 10:19 AM.

  11. #11
    Seaweed
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    Books adjusted

    Athletes more unpredictable because of ADHD

  12. #12
    Snowball
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    Just look at an idiot like James Soften
    and you have your answer

    I am still trying to recoup from the damage.

  13. #13
    arie1985
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    Odds are stacked against you.
    Sports can be rigged (e.g. NBA).
    The house always wins.
    Betting is based on randomness and always is.

  14. #14
    Philmill
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    Firing from the hip doesn't get it done
    System play only way Boss
    💡💡💡

  15. #15
    jjgold
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    The athlete more unpredictable is a common them many think is the reason followed by parity

  16. #16
    JIBBBY
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    Playoffs are usually tough and tricky to bet on in NHL and NBA, MLB season just started, hard to get a real feel for most teams and pitchers still...

    Give it time JJ.. I do most of my damage in the middle of sports seasons usually around the half way mark and beyond..

    Keep the chin up and by your time.. Reduce your betting amounts for now is my best advice if you are up against it..

    I actually have done well with these NBA playoffs but got slammed with the NHL so far.. It's pretty much balanced out so I'm not that happy either..
    Last edited by JIBBBY; 05-26-17 at 11:18 AM.

  17. #17
    lakerboy
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    Favorite betting kills.

  18. #18
    boneheaded1
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Even though I lose I had great runs during my career

    Now mainly lose weekly mixed in with an occasional good week
    The answer is simple. Make better bets.

  19. #19
    boneheaded1
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    This is why I ONLY bet football. Every other sport it is OK to lose more than a few games. A bad loss will not potentially put you behind the 8 ball. Mailing one in won't kill your season. Whereas in football, that one bad loss could ruin your season and knock you out of the playoffs.

    Also, I think huge guaranteed contracts makes a big difference, too. The term "contract year" has become synonymous with "actually performing to their peak." It is again why I exclusively bet on football. Not many guys with large guaranteed contracts so they are playing for their contract in every game. And in college, the difference between 1st and 2nd string can be pretty slim and scholarships are year to year.

  20. #20
    rm18
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    More games on tv and advanced stats and models makes it harder to win these days. Also alot of easy money books folded up and merged with big ones.

  21. #21
    Harry N. Lloyd
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    Guys, bet sports for fun or to satisfy your need to be a degenerate. Do not bet sports to make a living. The "Random Walk" theory in the stock market suggests that the market is efficiently priced. Stock prices are set by a cumulation of all the information available and so theoretically there are no bargains out there. If there were, smart money would pounce and a new price would be established.

    It's the same in sports. Each line is efficiently priced. There are no linemakers mistakes. It's a 50/50 proposition, just like flipping coins. Unfortunately we pay a vig on our losses, so mathematics dictates that we will lose in the long run.

    If you don't believe me, look at JJ's spreadsheet. He's consistently around 50%, yet he's down mucho money.
    Points Awarded:

    arie1985 gave Harry N. Lloyd 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  22. #22
    juicername
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    Quote Originally Posted by Harry N. Lloyd View Post
    Guys, bet sports for fun or to satisfy your need to be a degenerate. Do not bet sports to make a living. The "Random Walk" theory in the stock market suggests that the market is efficiently priced. Stock prices are set by a cumulation of all the information available and so theoretically there are no bargains out there. If there were, smart money would pounce and a new price would be established.

    It's the same in sports. Each line is efficiently priced. There are no linemakers mistakes. It's a 50/50 proposition, just like flipping coins. Unfortunately we pay a vig on our losses, so mathematics dictates that we will lose in the long run.

    If you don't believe me, look at JJ's spreadsheet. He's consistently around 50%, yet he's down mucho money.
    That's because JJ is betting favorites. Hit dogs at a 50% clip and you're golden.

  23. #23
    homie1975
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    Easy answer. Internet age changed everything. Computers make the info and data available for everywhere so the edges are razor thin. No soft lines anymore

  24. #24
    jjgold
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    Quote Originally Posted by Harry N. Lloyd View Post
    Guys, bet sports for fun or to satisfy your need to be a degenerate. Do not bet sports to make a living. The "Random Walk" theory in the stock market suggests that the market is efficiently priced. Stock prices are set by a cumulation of all the information available and so theoretically there are no bargains out there. If there were, smart money would pounce and a new price would be established.

    It's the same in sports. Each line is efficiently priced. There are no linemakers mistakes. It's a 50/50 proposition, just like flipping coins. Unfortunately we pay a vig on our losses, so mathematics dictates that we will lose in the long run.

    If you don't believe me, look at JJ's spreadsheet. He's consistently around 50%, yet he's down mucho money.
    Tremendous post

    People do not realize stock market is priced perfectly it is why 50% whether an instrument goes up or down anytime you get in

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