Why Does Sports Betting Get Harder Every Year?? What IS Going On?
Even though I lose I had great runs during my career
Now mainly lose weekly mixed in with an occasional good week
sweep
SBR Posting Legend
10-09-10
16753
#2
No money unless agent on a 50/50
Comment
shadymcgrady
SBR Posting Legend
02-27-12
10036
#3
I think I'm just getting dumber every yr
Comment
Buffalo Nickle
SBR MVP
11-12-14
3228
#4
Nerds.
Comment
rkelly110
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
10-05-09
39691
#5
Look more deeply into why you won. Everyone losses at some point. Looking into why you won can bring insight.
Comment
Snowball
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
11-15-09
30058
#6
Deceptive strength and parity.
The younger generation of athletes are soft.
They grew up with political correctness, smartphones and social media.
Comment
sweep
SBR Posting Legend
10-09-10
16753
#7
bunch of broke dikk non-pros in this thread-USCPHILLYGUY
Comment
juicername
SBR Hall of Famer
10-14-15
6906
#8
Selective memory
You've always lost at the same rate
Books always win
Comment
rkelly110
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
10-05-09
39691
#9
Originally posted by sweep
bunch of broke dikk non-pros in this thread-USCPHILLYGUY
sweeper......lend me a c note to go pro pal..........broke dikk here.
Comment
Sam Odom
SBR Aristocracy
10-30-05
58063
#10
instantaneous info transfer
99.5% lose $$$ long term at -110 or worse... always have
.
Comment
Seaweed
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
01-19-12
26318
#11
Books adjusted
Athletes more unpredictable because of ADHD
Comment
Snowball
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
11-15-09
30058
#12
Just look at an idiot like James Soften
and you have your answer
I am still trying to recoup from the damage.
Comment
arie1985
SBR MVP
03-19-08
1635
#13
Odds are stacked against you.
Sports can be rigged (e.g. NBA).
The house always wins.
Betting is based on randomness and always is.
Comment
Philmill
SBR MVP
09-30-11
4275
#14
Firing from the hip doesn't get it done
System play only way Boss
💡💡💡
Comment
jjgold
SBR Aristocracy
07-20-05
388179
#15
The athlete more unpredictable is a common them many think is the reason followed by parity
Comment
JIBBBY
SBR Aristocracy
12-10-09
83686
#16
Playoffs are usually tough and tricky to bet on in NHL and NBA, MLB season just started, hard to get a real feel for most teams and pitchers still...
Give it time JJ.. I do most of my damage in the middle of sports seasons usually around the half way mark and beyond..
Keep the chin up and by your time.. Reduce your betting amounts for now is my best advice if you are up against it..
I actually have done well with these NBA playoffs but got slammed with the NHL so far.. It's pretty much balanced out so I'm not that happy either..
Comment
lakerboy
SBR Aristocracy
04-02-09
94379
#17
Favorite betting kills.
Comment
boneheaded1
SBR Wise Guy
12-09-10
815
#18
Originally posted by jjgold
Even though I lose I had great runs during my career
Now mainly lose weekly mixed in with an occasional good week
The answer is simple. Make better bets.
Comment
boneheaded1
SBR Wise Guy
12-09-10
815
#19
This is why I ONLY bet football. Every other sport it is OK to lose more than a few games. A bad loss will not potentially put you behind the 8 ball. Mailing one in won't kill your season. Whereas in football, that one bad loss could ruin your season and knock you out of the playoffs.
Also, I think huge guaranteed contracts makes a big difference, too. The term "contract year" has become synonymous with "actually performing to their peak." It is again why I exclusively bet on football. Not many guys with large guaranteed contracts so they are playing for their contract in every game. And in college, the difference between 1st and 2nd string can be pretty slim and scholarships are year to year.
Comment
rm18
SBR Posting Legend
09-20-05
22291
#20
More games on tv and advanced stats and models makes it harder to win these days. Also alot of easy money books folded up and merged with big ones.
Comment
Harry N. Lloyd
SBR MVP
03-26-08
4810
#21
Guys, bet sports for fun or to satisfy your need to be a degenerate. Do not bet sports to make a living. The "Random Walk" theory in the stock market suggests that the market is efficiently priced. Stock prices are set by a cumulation of all the information available and so theoretically there are no bargains out there. If there were, smart money would pounce and a new price would be established.
It's the same in sports. Each line is efficiently priced. There are no linemakers mistakes. It's a 50/50 proposition, just like flipping coins. Unfortunately we pay a vig on our losses, so mathematics dictates that we will lose in the long run.
If you don't believe me, look at JJ's spreadsheet. He's consistently around 50%, yet he's down mucho money.
Comment
juicername
SBR Hall of Famer
10-14-15
6906
#22
Originally posted by Harry N. Lloyd
Guys, bet sports for fun or to satisfy your need to be a degenerate. Do not bet sports to make a living. The "Random Walk" theory in the stock market suggests that the market is efficiently priced. Stock prices are set by a cumulation of all the information available and so theoretically there are no bargains out there. If there were, smart money would pounce and a new price would be established.
It's the same in sports. Each line is efficiently priced. There are no linemakers mistakes. It's a 50/50 proposition, just like flipping coins. Unfortunately we pay a vig on our losses, so mathematics dictates that we will lose in the long run.
If you don't believe me, look at JJ's spreadsheet. He's consistently around 50%, yet he's down mucho money.
That's because JJ is betting favorites. Hit dogs at a 50% clip and you're golden.
Comment
homie1975
SBR Posting Legend
12-24-13
15452
#23
Easy answer. Internet age changed everything. Computers make the info and data available for everywhere so the edges are razor thin. No soft lines anymore
Comment
jjgold
SBR Aristocracy
07-20-05
388179
#24
Originally posted by Harry N. Lloyd
Guys, bet sports for fun or to satisfy your need to be a degenerate. Do not bet sports to make a living. The "Random Walk" theory in the stock market suggests that the market is efficiently priced. Stock prices are set by a cumulation of all the information available and so theoretically there are no bargains out there. If there were, smart money would pounce and a new price would be established.
It's the same in sports. Each line is efficiently priced. There are no linemakers mistakes. It's a 50/50 proposition, just like flipping coins. Unfortunately we pay a vig on our losses, so mathematics dictates that we will lose in the long run.
If you don't believe me, look at JJ's spreadsheet. He's consistently around 50%, yet he's down mucho money.
Tremendous post
People do not realize stock market is priced perfectly it is why 50% whether an instrument goes up or down anytime you get in